DraftKings MLB: Tuesday Picks

DraftKings MLB: Tuesday Picks

This article is part of our DraftKings MLB series.

PITCHER

Adam Morgan, PHI at ATL ($5,500): Morgan in no way profiles as a good pitcher. Against the Braves and their 46 wRC+ and 26 percent K rate versus lefties, he's usable at such a low price. In 17.2 innings at Triple-A, Morgan had a 26.7 percent K rate and solid 3.57 ERA. His nine innings in the majors have been subpar, but the K rate is still 22 percent and the SIERA is under 4.00. With six games having at least an 8.5-run over/under, there are lots of enticing bats to pay up for, and Morgan allows for enough salary relief to do so.

Jon Lester, CHC vs. SDP ($12,200): There's rain once again in the Chicago region, so make sure to check the forecast as lineup lock approaches. It's hard to ever argue against targeting a pitcher against the Padres; their wRC+ against lefties sits at a respectable 93, but a .335 BABIP inflates that and the K rate is a league-worst 26.6 percent. Lester has a 3.28 SIERA and 24.7 percent K rate, going at last seven innings in four of his six starts this year.

CATCHER

Yadier Molina, STL at LAA ($2,900):Hector Santiago has consistently kept his ERA significantly below his xFIP and SIERA in recent years, so those numbers may not indicate that he's actually much worse than his mid-3's ERA. He has, however, always struggled some against right-handed bats, allowing a .326 wOBA over his career. After a poor season at the plate last uear, Molina has a 118 wRC+ this season with his career split against lefties standing six points higher than against righties. A .127 ISO (compared to .110 against righties) indicates more power upside for Molina, who has lost most of his home-run upside in recent years. Maybe above all is the fact that his price is under $3,000.

FIRST BASE

Edwin Encarnacion, TOR at SF ($4,200): After a poor April, Encarnacion has a .412 wOBA and 171 wRC+ this month. Matt Cain's ERA of 7.84 (after a 5.79 last season) showcases his leash may be nearing it's end. This season, Cain has a 6.01 xFIP against righties compared to a 4.12 xFIP against lefties, and the meat of the Toronto lineup is made up of righties who will take advantage of this split.

SECOND BASE

Derek Dietrich, MIA vs. MIL ($3,300): The obvious beneficiary of Dee Gordon's PED suspension, Dietrich has been very good this season, sporting a 169 wRC+, and he draws Milwaukee's end-of-the-rotation guy in Zach Davies, who comes in with an xFIP and SIERA over 5.00. Dietrich also has 3B eligibility.

THIRD BASE

Josh Donaldson, TOR at SF ($4,700): Donaldson's bat is really good and with Cain's struggles this season, getting him under $5,000 regardless of the park is extremely enticing. After a career year last year, Donaldson is on pace for yet another one with a .162 wRC+ and .400 wOBA.

SHORTSTOP

Jung Ho Kang, PIT at CIN ($3,900): Kang has a wRC+ of 130 this season, including two home runs in his four games back after an injury. Rain is a potential issue in Cincy tonight, so keep an eye on that.

OUTFIELD

Alex Presley, MIL at MIA ($2,000): This isn't to say that Presley is superb, in fact he's very average, but he merits mentioning at the minimum price because he's in the leadoff spot against a pitcher who's oddly enough faired far worse against lefties in his short career despite being a southpaw.

Josh Reddick, OAK at BOS ($4,300): The over/under in Boston is 9.5 and Reddick will be facing Sean O'Sullivan, who has a career 5.96 ERA and 1.66 HR/9 and has allowed a .390 wOBA to lefties. Despite still showing complete incompetence against southpaws, Reddick has an elite .169 wRC+ and .403 wOBA against right-handed pitching this season.

Carlos Gonzalez, COL vs. ARI ($4,700): The over/under is ONLY 10.5, so you don't have to empty the bank to afford batters from the game. Rubby De La Rosa has been fairly good this year, but left-handed batters still have a .372 wOBA against him during his career, and despite being fairly mediocre so far this season, Gonzalez still has a .394 wOBA against righties.

The author(s) of this article may play in daily fantasy contests including – but not limited to – games that they have provided recommendations or advice on in this article. In the course of playing in these games using their personal accounts, it's possible that they will use players in their lineups or other strategies that differ from the recommendations they have provided above. The recommendations in this article do not necessarily reflect the views of RotoWire. Alex Spalding plays in daily fantasy contests using the following accounts: FanDuel: ajump08, DraftKings: ajump08.
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ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Alex Spalding
Alex splits his expertise between College Basketball, NBA, NFL, MLB, and Saturday morning BPL. You'll find him under the username ajump08 on DraftKings and FanDuel.
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