NBA Expert Picks Today: Best Bets For Tuesday, May 10

NBA Expert Picks Today: Best Bets For Tuesday, May 10

This article is part of our NBA Picks series.

Phoenix Suns -6.0 (-110) vs. Dallas Mavericks

DraftKings Sportsbook: 2:30 PM CT

Nick Whalen: I can't make up my mind on the early game tonight, but I really like Phoenix to have a major bounceback game at home. Virtually everything that could've gone wrong went wrong in Game 4, including Chris Paul being a complete non-factor due to foul trouble. Paul won't be officiated that closely again, the Suns won't commit 17 turnovers, and Dallas won't hit 20 three-pointers. While the Mavs should get a better effort from Luka Doncic, I expect to see a refocused Suns team looking to reassert itself as the undisputed best and most consistent team in the NBA.

Chris Paul to score at least 20 points (+180) vs. Dallas

FanDuel Sportsbook: 12:30 PM CT

Kirien Sprecher: Paul struggled mightily during the two games in Dallas, but the Suns will need him to be the Point God on Tuesday if they hope to head back to Dallas with a chance to advance to the Western Conference Finals. Paul's scoring total is set at 16.5 (-118) but by rolling the dice on 20+ we get this bet to plus-money. Paul has attempted double-digit shots seven times during the postseason and has averaged 25.3 points during those contests.

Philadelphia 76ers to win (+130 ML) at Miami Heat

DraftKings Sportsbook: 2:30 PM CT

Alex Barutha: Miami hasn't looked great over the past two games, and I'm not convinced they get this game at home without Kyle Lowry. Would Miami be favored in this situation if this was a regular-season game? I'm not so sure. It will take a huge games from all three of Jimmy Butler, Bam Adebayo and Tyler Herro to keep this thing close, unless Max Strus catches fire from deep or Duncan Robinson is raised from the dead to have the game of his life.

Spencer Dinwiddie U10.5 points (-120)

DraftKings Sportsbook: 12:45 PM CT

Ken Crites: A few years ago, I got to hear Warriors GM Bob Myers speak at the MIT Sloane Sports Analytics Conference. Everyone was obviously discussing analytics, but Myers kept repeating "the playoffs are different" and "not everyone can replicate their regular season performance in the playoffs" (I'm paraphrasing). I worry Dinwiddie is one of those guys. The 29-year-old has only played in 16 career playoff games. He's shot an ugly 38.1% from the field in those 16 playoff contests. Rotations shrink come playoff time and Dinwiddie's minutes, as a reserve, are down.  Maybe for good reason.

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ABOUT THE AUTHORS
Alex Barutha
Alex is RotoWire's Chief NBA Editor. He writes articles about daily fantasy, year-long fantasy and sports betting. You can hear him on the RotoWire NBA Podcast, Sirius XM, VSiN and other platforms. He firmly believes Robert Covington is the most underrated fantasy player of the past decade.
Ken
An early RotoWire contributor from the 90's, K-Train returns with the grace of Gheorghe Muresan and the wisdom of Joe Gibbs. Ken is a two-time FSWA award winner and a co-host on the RW NBA Podcast. He's also the 2016 Champion of the prestigious RW NBA Keeper League and the 2019 Champion of the RW NFL Ottoneu Keeper League. Ken still owns a RotoNews shirt.
Kirien Sprecher
Kirien Sprecher is a University of Wisconsin-Madison graduate who has covered the NBA, NFL and MLB for RotoWire since early 2021. In his free time, Kirien is probably arguing a foul call during a pickup basketball game at a local rec center.
Nick Whalen
Now in his 10th year with the company, Nick is RotoWire's Senior Media Analyst, a position he took on after several years as the Head of Basketball Content. A two-time FSWA award winner, Nick co-hosts RotoWire's flagship show on Sirius XM alongside Jeff Erickson. He also co-hosts RotoWire's Football and Basketball podcasts. You can catch Nick's NBA and NFL analysis on VSiN and DraftKings, as well as RotoWire's various social and video channels. Follow him on Twitter and Instagram @wha1en.
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