NFL Picks and Predictions:Detroit Lions vs. Philadelphia Eagles
What could turn out to be the best game of the Week 11 slate unfolds in this Sunday night showdown between a Lions squad eager to continue being considered as a legitimate Super Bowl contender and the perfect opponent that can give them such credibility, the defending champions.
With Detroit enjoying a rest advantage but the Eagles riding a three-game winning streak, we break down odds and best bets for this Sunday night battle.
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Detroit Lions vs. Philadelphia Eagles Betting Odds
*Best lines at time of writing listed
- Moneyline: Lions +130 (DraftKings) / Eagles -140 (BetMGM)
- Point spread: Lions +2.5 (ESPN Bet) / Eagles -2.5 (BetRivers)
- Totals: Over 46.5 points (BetMGM) / Under 46.5 points (DraftKings)
The spread for this game has risen since before Week 10 kicked off, and despite how the team's two games unfolded. Bettors have actually pushed the Eagles' projected advantage up from 1.5 to 2.5 points in recent days, hitting a high as 3.0 at one point.
Meanwhile, the total has gone in the opposite direction. The number sat at 49.5 before Week 10, but with the Eagles' offense looking abysmal against the Packers in a 10-7 Monday night win, the number was bet down all the way to 46.5. It has subsequently bounced between 46.5 and 47.5 and sits at the former heading into the weekend.
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Detroit Lions vs. Philadelphia Eagles Betting Picks
The Lions come into this Sunday night showdown fresh off a 44-22 thumping of the Commanders, a game where Dan Campbell took over play-calling duties and made quick work of a short-handed Washington squad. While the caliber of opponent naturally rises this week, Detroit's offense is virtually matchup-proof when it's clicking as it was last week.
The Lions will be without Sam LaPorta (back) this week, but with a pair of highly capable pass-catching backs like David Montgomery and Jahmyr Gibbs available, LaPorta's role can be adequately filled. Another player who could step up and lend a hand is Jameson Williams, who comes in off having a season-high 119 yards against the Commanders. Williams is a terror against the man coverage the Eagles play at a league-high rate at home, potentially setting him up for a successful encore performance.
The Lions' defense is often overshadowed by its high-octane offense, but Detroit is highly capable at stopping the run. The Lions are allowing 90.6 rushing yards per road game, and the combination of their sturdiness against opposing ground attacks and the pressure Detroit's offense puts on opponents has led to Campbell's squad facing a 59.9 percent pass-play rate, including 61.4 percent in the last three games.
As such, this is a game where Jalen Hurts will have to put in some work through the air, as no lead is likely to feel safe versus the Lions and Saquon Barkley may find running room at a premium. Therefore, the Over on Hurts' pass attempts is very much in play, especially considering Hurts is averaging 26.5 pass attempts per contest overall.
Lions vs. Eagles Best Bets
- Lions +2.5 (-104 on FanDuel Sportsbook)
- SGP: Lions Alt. Spread +3.5 and Jameson Williams 40+ receiving yards (+121 on FanDuel Sportsbook)
- Jalen Hurts Over 26.5 pass attempts (-108 on DraftKings Sportsbook)
Lions vs. Eagles Prediction
Lions 27, Eagles 23
This is likely to turn into every bit the nip-and-tuck battle it's projected to be. There's plenty of incentive on both sides, but the Lions are simply playing better, more consistent offensive football and have the confidence to believe they can win anywhere. LaPorta's absence is one Detroit can overcome, and I see the Eagles' inconsistent ways catch up to them against a fellow Super Bowl contender.
