Minnesota Vikings vs. 
Chicago Bears: Odds, Picks, and Predictions for Week 1
The Minnesota Vikings travel to Chicago to take on the Bears in an NFC North divisional matchup on Monday Night Football. The Vikings are starting J.J. McCarthy at quarterback after he missed all of his rookie season, while the Bears added former Lions offensive coordinator Ben Johnson as their new head coach.
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Minnesota Vikings vs. Chicago Bears Betting Odds
Vikings -1.5 (FanDuel -105) / Bears +1.5 (BetMGM -110)
Vikings ML (ESPN Bet -115) / Bears ML (BetMGM +105)
Total OVER 43.5 (FanDuel -110) / UNDER 44.0 (Bet365 -110)
First-half spread: Vikings -0.5 (-100), Bears +0.5 (-120)
First-half money line: Vikings (-114), Bears (+100)
Vikings total points: 22.5 (Over -108/Under -108)
Bears total points: 21.0 (Over -105/Under -115)
The Bears opened as 1.0 point home favorites , but the money has shifted the line to Vikings -1.5. The line moving to the Vikings is all public perception and hype over J.J. McCarthy.
The total opened 44.5 and it climbed as high as 45.5 and dipped as low as 43.0, but it has settled in at 43.5.
The majority of the bets (63%) have come in on the Vikings, and the handle (58%) has also come in on Minnesota which reflects where the "sharp" money has landed. There is a 5% difference on bets versus handle.
The total sees money on the Under at 83% of total bets, and 79% of the handle. The moneyline shows who has taken a position on the game, and the Vikings have received 68% of the bets and 66% of the handle.
Key Injuries
Vikings - WR Jordan Addison (S), LT Christian Darrisaw (Q), S Harrison Smith (Q)
Bears - RB Roschon Johnson (Q), LB T.J. Edwards (O), CB Jaylon Johnson (Q)
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Vikings vs. Bears Betting Picks
TRENDS
Divisional home dogs in Week 1 are 18-4 against the spread over the last 22 games.
The Vikings finished 9-2 straight up in their last 11 games.
Minnesota is 7-1 in their last 8 games against the Bears.
The Bears finished 1-10 in their last 11 games.
Caleb Williams against the Vikings blitz - 88.9 passing grade, 27/39, 308 passing yards, 3 TD
Williams had one of his best games in 2024 at home against the Vikings going 32/47 for 340 yards, 2 touchdowns, 0 interceptions.
Vikings vs. Bears Best Bet: Bears +1.5 for 1 unit (Caesars)
Secondary Bet: Caleb Williams OVER 219.5 passing yards for 1 unit (FanDuel -110)
Vikings vs. Bears Prediction
This is McCarthy's first start and it is on the road on Monday night football. This is a huge statement game for the Bears and I like them to win this game outright.
I think Ben Johnson will elevate this Bears' offense and especially Caleb Williams in this game.
