NFL Picks: Jaguars, Seahawks and Dolphins

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Updated on September 24, 2010 3:37AM EST

Pianowski had another 10-win week to pull into sole possession of first place. I went 8-7-1 and am now two games back. Stopa turned it around after a bad Week 1, going 9-6-1 and is not back in the thick of things. We also went 4-3-1 on our eight consensus picks last week, which doesn't sound too impressive, but if you made seven $11 bets at -110, you'd win $40 and lose $33 for a profit of $7 after paying the juice, i.e., 4-3 is 57 percent. This week we have three consensus picks: Seahawks, Jaguars and Dolphins.

Enjoy the games.

	Erickson	Pianowski	Liss	Stopa	Del Don
49ers -2 at Chiefs	49ers	49ers	49ers	Chiefs	49ers
Bengals -3 at Panthers	Bengals	Panthers	Panthers	Panthers	Panthers
Browns +11 at Ravens	Ravens	Ravens	Ravens	Browns	Ravens
Lions +11.5 at Vikings	Lions	Lions	Lions	Vikings	Lions
Titans +3 at Giants	Giants	Titans	Giants	Giants	Giants
Steelers -2.5 at Buccaneers	Steelers	Steelers	Buccaneers	Buccaneers	Steelers
Falcons +3.5 at Saints	Saints	Falcons	Falcons	Falcons	Falcons
Bills +14.5 at Patriots	Bills	Patriots	Bills	Bills	Bills
Cowboys +3 at Texans	Texans	Cowboys	Cowboys	Cowboys	Cowboys
Redskins -3.5 at Rams	Rams	Rams	Rams	Rams	Redskins
Eagles -3 at Jaguars	Jaguars	Jaguars	Jaguars	Jaguars	Jaguars
Chargers -5.5 at Seahawks	Seahawks	Seahawks	Seahawks	Seahawks	Seahawks
Colts -6 at Broncos	Broncos	Colts	Broncos	Broncos	Broncos
Raiders +4 at Cardinals	Raiders	Raiders	Cardinals	Raiders	Raiders
Jets +1.5 at Dolphins	Dolphins	Dolphins	Dolphins	Dolphins	Dolphins
Packers -3 at Bears	Packers	Packers	Bears	Packers

Enjoy the games.

	Erickson	Pianowski	Liss	Stopa	Del Don
49ers -2 at Chiefs	49ers	49ers	49ers	Chiefs	49ers
Bengals -3 at Panthers	Bengals	Panthers	Panthers	Panthers	Panthers
Browns +11 at Ravens	Ravens	Ravens	Ravens	Browns	Ravens
Lions +11.5 at Vikings	Lions	Lions	Lions	Vikings	Lions
Titans +3 at Giants	Giants	Titans	Giants	Giants	Giants
Steelers -2.5 at Buccaneers	Steelers	Steelers	Buccaneers	Buccaneers	Steelers
Falcons +3.5 at Saints	Saints	Falcons	Falcons	Falcons	Falcons
Bills +14.5 at Patriots	Bills	Patriots	Bills	Bills	Bills
Cowboys +3 at Texans	Texans	Cowboys	Cowboys	Cowboys	Cowboys
Redskins -3.5 at Rams	Rams	Rams	Rams	Rams	Redskins
Eagles -3 at Jaguars	Jaguars	Jaguars	Jaguars	Jaguars	Jaguars
Chargers -5.5 at Seahawks	Seahawks	Seahawks	Seahawks	Seahawks	Seahawks
Colts -6 at Broncos	Broncos	Colts	Broncos	Broncos	Broncos
Raiders +4 at Cardinals	Raiders	Raiders	Cardinals	Raiders	Raiders
Jets +1.5 at Dolphins	Dolphins	Dolphins	Dolphins	Dolphins	Dolphins
Packers -3 at Bears	Packers	Packers	Bears	Packers	Bears
Best Bet	Lions	Cowboys	Dolphins	Raiders	49ers
Last Week's Record	8-7-1	10-5-1	8-7-1	9-6-1	7-8-1
2010 Record	16-13-3	20-9-3	18-11-3	13-16-3	15-14-3
Best Bet Record	1-1	0-1-1	1-1	1-0-1	0-1-1
Consensus Pick Record	5-4-1
2009 Record	123-130-3	132-121-3	131-122-3	130-123-3	126-127-3
2008 Record	132-114-10	128-118-10	124-122-10	125-121-10	130-116-10
2007 Record	127-120	118-129	127-120	N/A	130-117
2006 Record	118-129	N/A	139-108	N/A	N/A
2005 Record	121-126	N/A	127-120	N/A	N/A
2004 Record	124-124	N/A	130-118	N/A	N/A
2003 Record	121-126	118-129	124-123	N/A	N/A
2002 Record	113-136	123-126	141-108	N/A	N/A
2001 Record	124-113	117-120	118-119	N/A	N/A
2000 Record	123-117	134-106	141-99	N/A	N/A

Consensus Picks

This week we have three consensus picks: Jaguars, Seahawks and Dolphins.

Last week we went 4-3-1 on consensus picks, winning with the Bengals, Steelers, Chargers and 49ers, losing with the Browns, Panthers and Giants and pushing with the Redskins.

We're 5-4-1 on consensus picks this year. We finished 2009 at 19-23-1 on consensus picks, and were 24-19-2 on them in 2008.

Comments:

Writer	Comment
Erickson	There are a lot of "trap" lines this week, some of which I'm going to jump right into, like Bengals-Panthers. Love the Lions getting so many points - while their LB/DB's need work, they're still a much better team than they were a year ago. Plus, they've given the Vikings their share of fits over the last couple of years.
Pianowski	I recognize Dallas hasn't shown a thing, but desperation and a line adjustment makes for an obvious lean... I get the idea I might be on the Rams most of the year, not sure how I feel about that.
Liss	By far the toughest week to date. A lot strange lines that seem too good to be true, and the question is whether the obvious is the sucker play, or just the obvious.
Stopa	The Jaguars, Broncos and Seahawks have significant home/road splits over the past few years. I'll take all three as home dogs... I agree with what Chris said about the Dolphins in ECO... The Steelers can't go undefeated without Roethlisberger at QB, can they? I don't see the Chiefs or Bucs as 3-0 teams, but I'll take both getting points at home... Last week the Bills got less than 14; this week it's more. It's only a point, but that point is huge, I think... Best bet is a Raiders team that is markedly better with Gradkowski under center. I see that as a 50/50 type of game, so getting more than a FG against a bad Cardinals team is nice value.
Del Don	Not one "best bet" jumped out at me this week, and I know I'm taking the sucker side with S.F. - a road favorite coming off a short week after playing Monday night.

The players:

Jeff Erickson: RotoWire Senior editor, 2001, 2008 Staff Picks Champ. Writes the Value Meter. Covers and roots for the Bengals.
Scott Pianowski: Fantasy expert for Yahoo! Sports, and also contributes to Rotowire.com. 2009 Staff Picks Champ. Roots for the Patriots.
Chris Liss: RotoWire Managing Editor, 2000, 2002, 2006 Staff Picks Champ, 2003, 2004 co-champ. Writes Beating the Book and Surviving the Week in addition to Staff Picks. Covers and roots for the Giants.
Mark Stopa: Staff Writer, Writes Working the Wire. Roots for the Bills.
Dalton Del Don: RotoWire Senior Staff Writer. 2007 Staff Picks Champ. Writes the Game Capsules and the Barometer. Covers the Eagles and roots for the 49ers.