NFL Week 14 Predictions, Picks, Props and Best Bets for Every Game

It feels weird to be in the final home stretch of the NFL calendar. I'm not really a sentimental person, but it does feel like just a short while ago we were debating whether or not Jacory Croskey-Merritt should go in the seventh round of fantasy drafts and if the Colts were a sneaky favorite to have the No. 1 overall pick in 2026. Obviously only one of those will be correct. I basically was incorrect on every major surprise team this season, but for the most part I do think I've sniffed out the truly bad teams entering the year, Indianapolis excluded. I'm relying on that intuition to carry me through a pretty difficult Week 14 slate to pick.

Week 13 Record ATS: 11-5
Week 13 Record on Totals: 7-9

2025 Season Record ATS: 86-91-2
2025 Season Record on Totals: 99-81

NFL Week 14 Picks For Each Game

NFL Week 14 Predictions

In this article, we also take a look at NFL Week 14 odds and our predictions for each NFL game. Home teams are listed last.

Cowboys vs. Lions

I'm going to feel pretty let down if this isn't a fantastic game. It's effectively a "loser leaves town" match given the Cowboys realistically can't make the playoffs unless this win this game, and Detroit absolutely cannot lose another potential tiebreaker with a wildcard opponent. I know Dallas' run defense has been tremendous with the addition of Quinnen Williams, but I wonder if Detroit just can't spam outside runs with Jahymr Gibbs enough to set up the play action. I believe the Lions are the better team, but above all else I'm just hoping for a great game between two similarly flawed teams.

Spread Pick: Lions -3
Total Pick: Over 54.5

Seahawks vs. Falcons

I don't see how this game is going to be remotely competitive. To be clear, I've been wrong about this exact archetype of a game far too often. Incredibly hot team going against a non division opponent that on paper has nothing remotely positive to play for. These are professionals after all. Just the idea of Kirk Cousins generating more than two drives that can yield a touchdown seems incredibly unlikely, and while I was a bit alarmed Minnesota's defense shut down Sam Darnold and the Seattle passing attack, I don't think it's a bad omen....at least not at this stage of the season.

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Spread Pick: Seahawks -7
Total Pick: Under 44.5

Steelers vs. Ravens

This isn't quite for the division given the two teams play again Week 18, but it does feel like someone will get the preverbally momentum boost to carry them to the AFC North crown with a win. Obviously both teams are in a bit of a freefall although on paper Pittsburgh's should look worse. I'm assuming Aaron Rodgers (wrist) will play, but I just think Baltimore's offense is inept enough where it probably doesn't matter much regardless. Feels like an early 2000s sort of BAL/PIT bout where either team will be lucky to scrape 17 points.

Spread Pick: Steelers +6
Total Pick: Under 42.5

Titans vs. Browns

I think the total tells you everything that you need to know about this game. On a Week 14 slate where there's significant ramifications across the board, it's heartwarming that there's a contest that means so very little to the grand scheme of things. Please don't bet this game in any sort of way.

Spread Pick: Browns -4.5
Total Pick: Under 33.5

Colts vs. Jaguars

What a juxtaposition compared to the contest above. Indianapolis is arguably in more of a freeball than the Steelers because another loss this week would have them potentially on the outside looking in with the wildcard, much less the division that three weeks ago seemed to be all but locked up. The Colts in recent memory have struggled mightily in Jacksonville to boot. You'd like to think that the stakes are high enough that there shouldn't be any sort of silly errors affecting the result of this one, but I wouldn't put it past a damaged Daniel Jones. I'm betting on Jonathan Taylor being used heavily, but you could easily put a same-game parlay together that takes a few JT unders and couples it with the Jacksonville moneyline.

Spread Pick: Colts -1.5
Total Pick: Over 47.5

Commanders vs. Vikings

Jayden Daniels (elbow) could potentially make his return, but this feels like a bad spot to test him out against what has been a relentless Minnesota defense as of late. I do think Washington's defense can take advantage of J.J. McCarthy somewhat, so while I don't have any sort of confidence in either team, I'm going to lean towards the one that's playing marginally better as of late.

Spread Pick: Commanders +2.5
Total Pick: Under 42.5

Dolphins vs. Jets

Am I a sicko if I admit I'm somewhat excited for this game? Not in the sense that I think it'll be good football or anything, but I think both teams can do enough things offensively to elevate above the perceived levels that people have just pigeonholed them in to. There's a handful of comical divisional set ups, but I do think a Miami team making its first cold-weather travel all year to what will likely be a rainy/snowy mix in New York will forever be at the top of "why did they group these teams together."

Spread Pick: Jets +2.5
Total Pick: Over 41.5

Saints vs. Buccaneers

The Bucs can't really mess around much here with the NFC South balance suddenly up for grabs, but I'd be a bit surprised if this is a struggle. Divisional games are always tough, but I just don't think Tyler Shough is the type of quarterback to win football games against good teams. The Saints can hang around with anyone if the other team makes mistakes, but that's just not how I would describe Tampa Bay.

Spread Pick: Buccaneers -8.5
Total Pick: Over 42.5

Bengals vs. Bills

This should be a treat of a game. I don't think the Bills have to do much other than run the ball with James Cook to score points, but I'm desperately hoping Joe Burrow plays well enough to put pressure on Josh Allen and Buffalo's offense. On paper this should be an absolute barnburner, but I'm slightly concerned the Bills will just try to escape this game with a win as opposed to treating it how they should; as a much-needed get right game before a critical postseason push.

Spread Pick: Bills -5.5
Total Pick: Under 53.5

Broncos vs. Raiders

I hate the extra half point tacked onto this line, but I don't really know what Las Vegas is supposed to do to be competitive. At first glance I thought the over was an obvious call, but Denver's defense is usually so stout, and Geno Smith has been comfortably one of the worst quarterbacks all year no matter the circumstance. This feels like a afternoon sleeper.

Spread Pick: Broncos -7.5
Total Pick: Under 40.5

Bears vs. Packers

This is a betting article after all and so many of colleagues from a content perspective bring up meaningless data points anyhow, so I think it's worth noting both my wife and I will be attending this game. My track record has been largely good over the years, but my wife's is effectively pristine, to the point where my family acts like she's the closer when it comes to assigning our tickets at the beginning of the year. I'd have to go back and look at her track record against the spread, but I do think in a game that could be in single digits at kickoff, the Packers will win this one. My only real read is that this feels like an incredibly disrespectful line for the Bears, as much as it pains me to say.

Spread Pick: Bears +6.5
Total Pick: Under 44.5

Rams vs. Cardinals

I was pretty shocked by Los Angeles' upset loss to the Panthers last week, but it's just a reminder that every team can have bad games. I doubt that'll happen two weeks in a row, much less against a divisional opponent.

Spread Pick: Rams -7.5
Total Pick: Over 47.5

Texans vs. Chiefs

There's no way the Chiefs lose this, right? It's effectively must-win territory for Kansas City from here on out and against a dome team that has struggled somewhat offensively, Arrowhead feels like such a major difference maker. Houston's defense is legitimately the best in the league in my opinion and will make things difficult, but I just would struggle to understand a world where Patrick Mahomes loses in this setting.

Spread Pick: Chiefs -3.5
Total Pick: Under 41.5

Eagles vs. Chargers

The status of Justin Herbert (hand) is obviously a major part of this conversation, but I think regardless Philadelphia should win this game. Los Angeles' offense just isn't built the same way as some of the other teams that have exposed the Eagles in recent weeks. That's not a knock on Jim Harbaugh's team mind you. I do think they will be up to the challenge defensively against Jalen Hurts and company. It just feels like a monumental hill to climb, especially if Herbert is unavailable.

Spread Pick: Eagles -3
Total Pick: Under 40.5

NFL Week 14 Best Bets

Next, we take a look at our favorite Week 12 NFL best bets at the best NFL betting sites. There's a handful more player props that I identified with the total NFL slate a bit difficult for me to pinpoint this week.

BetMGM Best Bets for NFL Week 14

BetMGM offers some of the best odds available for Week 14. If you're not signed up at BetMGM yet, new players at BetMGM can use the BetMGM bonus code ROTOBONUS for a risk-free bet worth up to $1,000. Here are our NFL best bets for Week 14 at BetMGM.

• Jahmyr Gibbs to rush for more yards than Javonte Williams (-155)
• Neither CLE/TEN to reach 20 points (+160)

Caesars Sportsbook Best Bets for NFL Week 14

Caesars Sportsbook also has great betting odds for NFL Week 14. If you are not registered yet, use the Caesars Sportsbook promo code ROTOFULL for a first bet on Caesars.

• James Cook, Jonathan Taylor and De'Von Achane each over 69.5 rushing yards (+180)
• DEN/LV over 40 points (-114)

DraftKings Best Bets for NFL Week 14

The DraftKings Sportsbook has special offers for new users just in time for Week 14 of the NFL season. Here are our best picks available at the DraftKings Sportsbook this week.

• Two-item parlay - Kyle Monangai 50+ rushing yards and Chris Rodriguez 40+ rushing yards (+343)

FanDuel Best Bets for NFL Week 14

One of the most popular sportsbooks available is FanDuel Sportsbook. Let's take a look at our favorite betting picks with FanDuel odds.

• Quinshon Judkins under 80.5 rushing yards (-114)
• Titans first drive equals punt (-160)

BetRivers Best Bets for NFL Week 14

BetRivers is an up-and-coming and underrated sportsbook, and they are offering up to $500 in second-chance bets with the BetRivers bonus code. Bettors can use those for these picks on NFL Week 14.

• Four-team, 6.5-point teaser - BUF/CIN o47, DAL/DET o48, MIA/NYJ o34.5, DEN/LV o34

Fanatics Sportsbook Best Bets for NFL Week 14

For bettors looking for a unique way to wager, try the Fanatics Sportsbook promo code for our Week 14 NFL picks.

• Commanders +1.5 (-115)

Look ahead at the NFL Week 15 odds as well, if you're interested in getting ahead of the line movement.