NFL Win Totals 2024: Betting the Buffalo Bills' Win Total

NFL Win Totals 2024: Betting the Buffalo Bills' Win Total

This article is part of our NFL Picks series.

NFL Futures Bets: 2024 Bills Win Totals 

Betting team wins and other full-season futures requires patience. If placing a bet in the preseason, the payout usually won't occur until January. That said, there are edges to be gained in the betting market. The more knowledge we have about each team's talent on each side of the football provides an edge. 

In addition, projecting potential intangibles can add value. Examples of intangibles are teams that add a new coach/coordinator, or teams that made multiple moves to the less glamorous positions on the field. For those who followed this article series I wrote last season, we projected nine teams, winning six for a 66.7 percent win rate. Overall, the series was a moneymaker. This year, we'll look to continue that win percentage.

In this article, we'll look at the Buffalo Bills over 10.5 wins at +130 odds. These odds, as well as all other NFL win totals odds, can be found at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Check out what Fanatics Sportsbook has in store this NFL season and cash in on the Fanatics Sportsbook promo code, which is one of the best sportsbook promo codes in the industry.

Bills Outlook: Offense

The Bills scored more than 30 points three times during their first four games in 2023. Including the playoffs, Buffalo only went over 27 points three times in their last 15 games. Stefon Diggs was phased out of the offense. Joe Brady was moved into the offensive coordinator role. Diggs is no longer with the team. 

The receiver room is now made up of Keon Coleman, Khalil Shakir, Curtis Samuel and Marquez Valdes-Scantling. In addition, Dalton Kincaid gives the squad an excellent tight end. At running back, James Cook averaged 2.64 yards per carry in his last five games.

 This mostly sounds like doom and gloom; however, the Bills still have Josh Allen under center. Buffalo added running back Ray Davis in the draft to rotate in with Cook. They also used the No. 33 pick in the draft to add Coleman. Last year, the offense scored enough points to get them wins in six of their final seven games. Allen is proof that an elite quarterback is enough to lead a high-end offense.

The BetMGM bonus code gets new players a first bet offer worth up to $1,500. It has one of the best sports betting apps in the industry as well. You can check all of the latest Super Bowl Odds and other NFL Futures at BetMGM.

Bills Outlook: Defense

Much of the offseason buzz directed at Buffalo was that the salary cap led to them letting go of a number of core players on defense. Although that may be true, the Bills had enough depth that the defense may again be a team strength. 

The cornerback trio of Rasul Douglas, Christian Benford and Taron Johnson is well above average. In addition, despite lacking an elite pass rusher, Buffalo legitimately has a front-seven full of players that are above average pass rushers. Finally, ace coverage linebacker Matt Milano is set to return from a broken leg he suffered in Week 5. With coach Sean McDermott calling the defense, this could be a top unit.

Bills Schedule 2024

The schedule is not optimal. Buffalo should have four tough divisional games against the Jets and Dolphins. Although playing against the AFC South is not overwhelming, the remaining two games against AFC teams are matchups with the Chiefs and Ravens. The NFC opponents are the Lions as well as the NFC West. 

Best Bet for 2024 Bills Win Total

I'm going with the Buffalo Bills over 10.5 wins at +130 odds. These odds can be found at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Even in a season in which the Bills struggled, they won 11 games last year. In setting this win total, it would seem that the oddsmakers do not believe in the defense. In addition, the wide receiver room likely makes the books wonder how strong the offense will be. 

Despite the schedule, Josh Allen and an underrated defense are enough to get this team to 11 wins. The Bills are still a team that can make it to the AFC Championship game. Other than the Chiefs, this remains one of the top teams in the NFL.

RotoWire Community
Join Our Subscriber-Only NFL Chat
Chat with our writers and other RotoWire NFL fans for all the pre-game info and in-game banter.
Join The Discussion
ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Jim Coventry
Coventry was a finalist for the FSWA football writer of the year in 2022. He started playing fantasy football in 1994 and won a national contest in 1996. He also nabbed five top-50 finishes in national contests from 2008 to 2012 before turning his attention to DFS. He's been an industry analyst since 2007, though he joined RotoWire in 2016. A published author, Coventry wrote a book about relationships, "The Secret of Life", in 2013.
2024 Houston Texans Preview: Roster Moves, Depth Chart, Schedule, Storylines and More
2024 Houston Texans Preview: Roster Moves, Depth Chart, Schedule, Storylines and More
2024 Chicago Bears Preview: Roster Moves, Depth Chart, Schedule, Storylines and More
2024 Chicago Bears Preview: Roster Moves, Depth Chart, Schedule, Storylines and More
Dynasty Strategy: Rookie RB Comparisons Pt. 3
Dynasty Strategy: Rookie RB Comparisons Pt. 3
NFL Win Totals 2024: Betting the Dallas Cowboys' Win Total
NFL Win Totals 2024: Betting the Dallas Cowboys' Win Total
2024 Fantasy Football Breakout Candidates: The Year 3 Leap Lives On
2024 Fantasy Football Breakout Candidates: The Year 3 Leap Lives On
Job Battles: Running Backs Part 5
Job Battles: Running Backs Part 5