Weekly Fantasy Golf Preview: Butterfield Bermuda Championship

Matti Schmid comes into a place he has played well before in strong form, and Greg Vara thinks he is a great fantasy golf option for this week's Butterfield Bermuda Championship.
Weekly Fantasy Golf Preview: Butterfield Bermuda Championship
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Butterfield Bermuda Championship

Port Royal G.C.
Southampton, Bermuda

Only two events left in the PGA Tour season and then we get what is likely the longest break we've seen in decades. After next week, the PGA Tour is off for the final week of November, all of December and the first week of January. I can't recall a six week break in all the time I've been writing for Rotowire, it's really the first off-season for the PGA Tour in quite a while.

Before we get to next season, let's take a look back at the 2025 season.

Early in the season it was all about Rory McIlroy and with good cause. McIlroy started the season well and gave a lot of us hope that he could finally capture the career grand slam. It wasn't easy, but Rory finally sealed the deal at Augusta. After so many good runs gone bad, Rory finally figured out how to close on the weekend. It wasn't without drama, but that only made it more special when he won. After that win however, McIlroy's game fell off a cliff for a while. He managed to pull it back together however and he should be back in contention at all the majors again this season.

Speaking of contention at all the majors, Scottie Scheffler again proved that he's a generational player this past season. The season didn't start well however as Scheffler battled a self-inflicted hand wound for the first few months, but eventually he overcame that injury and started to dominate once again. 2025 ended up being his second best season on the PGA Tour, with six wins and 17 top-10s. It was Scheffler's third consecutive season with 16+ top-10s. There's simply no stopping Scheffler, if he slows down at all, it will be of his won doing, he's that good.

Though there were several storylines outside of McIlroy and Scheffler this past year, third in line was Tommy Fleetwood, who not only finally picked up his first PGA Tour win at the TOUR Championship, but he also landed behind only Scheffler on the money list. That's quite an accomplishment when you consider the season that McIlroy had. Fleetwood finished with a flurry, earning top-4s in his final three starts to the season and with the monkey off his back, he just might take his game to the next level this upcoming season.

There were too many storylines to go over here, but we'll have it all covered with our season preview coming soon, which includes plenty of looks back on the previous season, all while looking ahead to 2026.

That's later in the year however, we still have two events left this season. Up next is the Butterfield Bermuda Championship, which has been held at the same course for the past six years, so we have a lot of course history in play.

For up-to-the-minute updates on injuries, tournament participation and overall golfer performance, head to RotoWire's latest golf news or follow @RotoWireGolf on X.

LAST YEAR

Rafael Campos shot a final round 68 on his way to a four-stroke victory over Mark Hubbard.

FAVORITES

All odds via FanDuel Sportsbook as of 5:00 PM ET Tuesday.

Rico Hoey (19-1) 

It's the first tournament in a while without a clear favorite or two, so we have a bunch of players around 20-1 this week atop the odds list. Hoey is among that group because of his play this fall which has included two top-4 finishes, most recently at the Bank of Utah Championship in late October. Hoey has played this event just once, and he landed in the top-20. Even though there aren't any clear favorites, this feels like a bit of a reach at his current price.  

Thorbjorn Olesen (20-1)

Olesen was 25-1 this past week, but he was in the mid-range, now he's 20-1 and among the favorites. Olesen didn't get a lot done during the regular season this year, but he's picked up the pace in the fall. He posted two world-wide top-10s in October and he played well this past week, posting a T14 at the World Wide Technology Championship. This will be Olesen's first start at this event, but that shouldn't matter much as there aren't a lot of players in the field with strong and consistent track records here.

Nico Echavarria (22-1)

If it feels like you're seeing the same names in this article week after week, it's because you are. There are certain players that are at a pretty high level, that thrive in the fall and Echavarria is one of them. He also managed to play better during the regular season this past year, so everything this fall has been gravy. Echavarria enters this week on a streak of two consecutive top-15s and he's yet to miss a cut at this event in three starts. He doesn't have the high end finishes here yet, but that could change this week.

Visit our golf betting section for the latest PGA odds and finishing props from multiple sportsbooks.

THE NEXT TIER

Michael Brennan (27-1)

Brennan shocked the golf world with his win at the Bank of Utah Championship a few weeks and while he failed to back that win up with a strong showing in his next start, that's understandable considering he was coming off such a big win. Now that he's had a couple weeks to acclimate to being a winner on the PGA Tour, perhaps he takes off from here. The odds are little light, but the field is there for the taking. If he's a special player, he might pull off a double this fall.  

Matti Schmid (27-1)

Schmid has already accomplished more this season than any other season on the PGA Tour, but he has a chance to put a cherry on top this week. Schmid's runner-up at the Charles Schwab in May set him up for the entire season and while he didn't get much done after that, he has picked up the pace in the fall with two top-15s in three starts. Schmid's track record here is scattered, but he did post a T3 here in 2024.  

Sahith Theegala (33-1)

Theegala's drop in production this season was dramatic. He went from over $8 million in earnings in 2024 to less than $1 million this season. He dealt with injuries, but his game was sliding prior to that. At some point though, Theegala has to get back to his previous form. He didn't just post one good season in 2024, he made over $7 million in 2023 as well. I'm not sure he can't get back to that this season, he likely needs the off season to get right, but at this price, he might be worth a look.  

Looking to place a bet for this week's PGA Tour event? Check out the best golf betting sites, featuring comprehensive sportsbook reviews and a summary of new customer bonus offers.

LONG SHOTS

Patrick Rodgers (33-1) 

Yeah, the longshot odds aren't that far off the middle-tier this week, but that's a result of all the odds being a bit watered down with no clear favorites. Rodgers is one of a few players that has both a solid track record here and comes in with some form. Rodgers has posted top-10s here in his past three tries, and his most recent start on the PGA Tour also resulted in top-10. It's actually a little strange that his odds aren't better.

Seamus Power (45-1)  

Power was on an upward trend from 2021-2024, but he fell back to Earth this past season, failing to crack $1 million in earnings for the first time since 2020. With that in mind, this pick obviously has nothing to do with current form, rather it's all about his track record at this event. Power won this event in 2022 and he's yet to miss a cut in five starts. It's a bit of a reach with his current form, but perhaps a return to Bermuda will spark his game.

ONE-AND-DONE LEAGUES

Highly-Chosen Pick: Nico Echavarria – Golfers who play well in the fall to start their careers, then have success during the regular season will often forget about returning to the fall series, but that hasn't been the case with Echavarria. Now, you could say that he hasn't quite established himself as a reliable golfer during the regular season quite yet, and I get that, but I think he might just have an affinity for these events. Whatever the case, he's got the form and the track record here to make for a solid play this week.  

Moderately-Chosen Pick: Matti SchmidI thought about Brennan in this spot, but he's too much of a wild-card this early in his career. He's a much better option on a win ticket, where there's no downside, he either wins or he doesn't. Here, you have to consider opportunity cost and as such, a safer play would be Schmid, who has played well for much of this season.     

Lightly-Chosen Pick: Patrick Rodgers – He shouldn't be lightly-chosen this week, but since he's a bit down the odds chart, he'll probably be overlooked. As mentioned previously though, he's got a lot going for him this week and doesn't appear to be the typical longshot.          

Buyer Beware: Matt Kuchar – To his credit, Kuchar keeps hanging in there and at age 47, he's still fighting for his card, but I'm not sure how much gas he has left in this tank. Kuchar has posted top-20s in all three starts this fall, but I doubt he can keep it up. The field is there for the taking, but I'm not sure what Kuchar's ceiling is any longer.   

FANDUEL PICKS

Upper Range: Matti Schmid ($11,400)
Middle Range: Sahith Theegala ($9,700)
Lower Range: Frankie Capan III ($7,700)

ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Vara is the lead golf writer at RotoWire. He was named the FSWA Golf Writer of the Year in 2005 and 2013. He also picks college football games against the spread in his "College Capper" article.
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