The best team in the AFC takes on the best quarterback in the AFC, as the Buffalo Bills face the Denver Broncos. With this much star power on the field, there will be no shortage of player props on Saturday. Make sure to use the bet365 bonus code to juice up your picks.
If you're looking to spice up this matchup with some NFL Divisional Round player props, I've got you covered. Here are my favorite NFL player props for this postseason matchup:
Best BetMGM Bills vs Broncos NFL Player Prop Bets: Divisional Round
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Josh Allen – Passing Attempts: OVER 30.5 (-105)
The Bills' first choice is to pound the rock with James Cook. Buffalo is 9-1 when he rushes for 100-plus yards. But after last week, they're now 4-4 in games when he falls below that threshold. When Cook isn't cooking, they turn the game over to Josh Allen. Allen has attempted 30-plus passes in six of those eight games where Cook finishes below 100 yards, averaging 33.9 attempts per game in that span.
Denver finished the regular season as the league's second-best run defense in terms of success rate and a top-eight unit in EPA allowed. I don't see Cook having a big game here, which means we should see a ton of Josh Allen in this one.
Josh Allen – Rushing Yards: OVER 37.5 (+105)
Quarterbacks tend to run more in the postseason. Josh Allen is no exception. He has topped 45 rushing yards in eight of his 14 career playoff appearances and has recorded at least 54 rushing yards in half of those outings. In total, he averages 50.1 rushing yards on 8.8 carries per game across 14 career playoff appearances. That's way up from his regular-season averages of 36.9 rushing yards per outing on 6.8 carries per game.
Allen didn't hit this mark last week, finishing with 33 rushing yards, but I love getting this market at plus odds.
Best DraftKings Bills vs Broncos NFL Player Prop Bets: Divisional Round
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Bo Nix – Passing Yards: UNDER 213.5 (-112)
Bo Nix has been held under 214 passing yards in three of his last five games. Now, he gets a date with a Bills' defense that allowed the fewest passing yards in the league this season. Buffalo's run defense is so bad that teams didn't need to throw the ball much. The Bills were the league's second-worst team against the run in terms of EPA per play and allowed a bottom-eight success rate as well. Sean Payton should lean on the run game early and often on Saturday.
It's hard to see Nix getting enough volume or being efficient enough to reach 214 yards against this Bills' defense.
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2025 Primetime Player Prop Bet Record
Each week, I'll post my updated, season-long record for these prop bet picks pieces. Here's my current record (as of the Divisional Round):
- Regular Season Record: 61-56 (52.1%)
- Playoff Record: 11-7 (61.1%)
Where to Bet on Divisional Round Props
Below, I've provided a list of the top sportsbooks that offer player prop betting markets. I've also provided the sign-up bonus at each book, so you can make the most of your prop bets.
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