Thursday Night Football returns with a high-stakes AFC East showdown as the Buffalo Bills host the Miami Dolphins at Highmark Stadium at 8:15 p.m. ET. Buffalo enters 2-0 after pulling away late in both victories, displaying an exceptionally dominant offensive efficiency and a quick-striking passing game that has continue to keep defenses on their toes – proving once again the Bills are top of the AFC. Miami, on the other hand, is still seeking its first win, struggling to find consistency on offense and dealing with questions in its offensive line and secondary. The injury reports favor the Bills, who have managed to keep their key playmakers healthy enough to maintain pressure against a struggling Miami offensive unit.
Given how the Dolphins have performed in early down and passing efficiency metrics this season, ranking among the bottom in yards before contact and giving up big plays, the Bills' strength in vertical passing and play-action schemes should be a mismatch. With the Bills' averaging over 30 points per game, there are strong picks on Josh Allen props for Thursday Night Football. James Cook is coming off a high usage game, contributing heavily in both rushing and receiving, so his total usage has upside, especially if Buffalo leans into its rushing attack.
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Best Bets for Dolphins vs. Bills on Thursday Night Football
Dolphins vs Bills Best Bets: Bills -12.5
Buffalo has started 2–0 while Miami is 0–2, with Buffalo a double-digit home favorite and totals around 49.5. Defensive injuries for Buffalo are worth noting, but the Bills offense has been strong and should be able to put up points against a Miami defense that is not as stout as previous Dolphins teams.
Dolphins vs Bills Best Bets: Total O 49.5 (-110)
Defensively, the Dolphins rank near the bottom of the league in yards per play allowed and have given up big passing plays on the perimeter. The total of 49.5 is reflective of a high-scoring affair driven primarily by Buffalo's ability to score fast and often.
Dolphins vs Bills Best Bets: James Cook O 67.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
The Bills have averaged over 30 points per game behind Josh Allen's passing and a stout rushing attack featuring James Cook. Dolphins Quarterback Tua Tagovailoa has faced heavy pressure behind an inconsistent offensive line, and the ground game has yet to gain traction, and will likely struggle against Buffalo's defense.
Dolphins vs Bills Best Bets: Josh Allen O 1.5 Passing TDs (-145)
Allen's Thursday night track record is strong, the Dolphins secondary is
weak, and Allen has consistently hit multiple passing touchdowns in prime
time. This should almost be a guaranteed cash.
Dolphins vs. Bills Picks on Thursday Night Football
- Bills -12.5
- Total Over 49.5
- James Cook over 67.5 rushing yards (-110)
- Josh Allen over 1.5 passing touchdowns (-145)
Best Events to Use the BetMGM Bonus Code For September 18, 2025
- NFL: Dolphins at Bills, 8:15 p.m. ET. Buffalo is a big home favorite with the total around 49.5. Josh Allen looks to extend his perfect Thursday record with another strong outing.
- College Football: Rice at Charlotte, 7:30 p.m. ET. A competitive Conference USA matchup that could captivate the most die-hard college football fans.
- College Football: Miami (FL) at Florida on Saturday night, 7:30 PM ET. Miami is on a roll, while the Gators offense is struggling to put up points. Can the Gators spoil the Hurricanes run, or will the Gators move to 1-3?
- MLB: Mariners at Royals, 2:10 p.m. ET. Seattle is pushing for an AL West title, while Kansas City looks to play spoiler.
MLB: Giants at Dodgers, 10:10 p.m. ET. Late night West Coast rivalry game featuring one of the better rivalry games in the MLB. - WNBA: Fever at Dream, 7:30 p.m. ET. A marquee game for Game 3 of the first round of the WNBA playoffs. The series is currently tied 1-1.