Paris Saint-Germain vs Bayern Munich Preview, Lineups & Prediction | Champions League Matchday 4
The fourth matchday of the Champions League 2025/26 league stage showcases a top-of-the-table showdown between defending champions Paris Saint-Germain and six-time European champion Bayern Munich.
In this article, we cover the predicted lineups, latest injury news, head-to-head record, betting odds and a score prediction for Paris Saint-Germain versus Bayern Munich on Tuesday.
Paris Saint-Germain sit atop their perch in Ligue 1 after earning 24 points from their first 11 domestic fixtures. Luis Enrique's men have the best defensive record in France, averaging just 0.82 goals allowed per match.
Bayern Munich have been arguably more impressive in their domestic competitions. The Bavarians have won each of their nine league fixtures and conceded just four total goals.
Paris Saint-Germain vs. Bayern Munich Head-to-Head Record
Paris Saint-Germain and Bayern Munich have met on 15 previous occasions, dating back to 1994 when the Parisians defeated Bayern 2-0 in the Champions League Group Stage.
Bayern Munich narrowly lead the all-time series, having won eight times (including the 2020 Champions League Final). Most recently, Paris Saint-Germain eliminated Bayern Munich from the Club World Cup with a 2-0 victory in the quarterfinals.
Fixture Trivia
Matchday 4 Trivia: Who scored the lone goal in Bayern Munich's win over Paris Saint-Germain in the 2020/2021 Champions League Final?
Matchday 3 Trivia: Who scored the lone goal in Real Madrid's win over Juventus in the 1997/1998 Champions League final?
Answer: Predrag Mijatović
(Answer to Matchday 4 trivia question revealed in Matchday 5's preview article)
Betting Odds and Predictions for Paris Saint-Germain vs. Bayern Munich Match
UEFA Champions League Odds Comparisons
Moneyline Odds
DraftKings: PSG +140 Draw +300, FCB +165
FanDuel: PSG +145 Draw +190, FCB +160
BetMGM: PSG +138 Draw +300, FCB +160
Bet365: PSG +150 Draw +260, FCB +162
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RECENT FORM
Paris Saint-Germain (WDWWD) are averaging three goals scored per match across their last five fixtures (all competitions). In their three Champions League victories over Atalanta, Barcelona and Bayer Leverkusen the Parisians have outscored their opponents 13-3 on aggregate.
Bayern Munich (WWWWW) have won each of their 15 fixtures (all competitions) to begin the season including Champions League victories over Chelsea, Pafos and Club Brugge by an aggregate score of 12-2.
FORMATIONS
Paris Saint-Germain are likely to deploy a 4-3-3 formation under Enrique. His high-pressing style demands a high work rate form his outfield players. When in possession, look for PSG's flexibility to flourish as the Parisians transform into a 3-2-5 or 2-3-5 shape with the ball.
Vincent Kompany typically employs a 4-2-3-1 formation that relies upon man-marking at the back when defending. When possession is lost, look for Bayern to enter the attacking-third by leveraging the pace of their wingers as they seek to feed talisman Harry Kane.
LINEUP NOTES & INJURY NEWS
Champions League Predicted & Confirmed Lineups
Paris-Saint Germain Injury & Lineup News
Enrique will be forced to play without first-team central defender Illia Zabarnyi after he was shown a red card a the Parisians' frenetic 7-2 victory over Bayer Leverkusen. Look for Marquinhos to capably deputize in central defense.
Further up the pitch, Desire Doue (hamstring) is set to miss a number of weeks. In his absence, Bradley Barcola and Ibrahim Mbaye are likely to be deployed to fill the void left by Doue who had scored twice and assisted once across three appearances prior to his injury.
Bayern Munich Injury & Lineup News
The Bavarians most impactful injuries are those of the long-term variety. Alphonso Davies (knee) is training individually, but he has not yet resumed training with the team. Davies is expected to be out until at least December. Jamal Musiala (leg) has yet to resume training but is aiming for a January return, according to Kompany. In their respective absences, Konrad Laimer has most regularly slotted in a left-back while Serge Gnabry has scored four Bundesliga goals from the central-attacking-midfielder position.
KEY MATCHUPS
Midfield Mash-up
Enrique's presumed three-man midfield of Vitinha, Joao Neves and Warren Zaire-Emery have complimentary attributes that allows the trio to play with positional fluidity. Most often, Vitinha will assume the holding-midfield role while his teammates progress play into the attacking half.
Conversely, Bayern's midfield success is predicated on the ability of the double-pivot to effectively protect the backline. Joshua Kimmich and Aleksandar Pavlovic are most likely to draw the start in the two No. 6 roles while Gnabry assumes a position higher up the pitch in support of the attack.
The juxtaposition of midfield positional fluidity versus tactical stability will help determine the victor Tuesday at Parc des Princes.
PSG Full-backs versus Bayern Munich Wingers
Bayern Munich are most dangerous when attacking from the wing and creating angles to play the ball in to their star striker. Luis Diaz and Michael Olise have combined for nine goals and seven assists across the Bavarians first nine league fixtures.
The dynamic wingers are set to face stiffer competition Tuesday than they do domestically when they'll lineup across two of the world's top full-backs in Nuno Mendes and Achraf Hakimi. Hakimi's speed allows him to keep pace with any winger in world football while also contributing to the attack. Mendes is a defense-first full-back who uses his physicality to keep defenders at-bay.
Harry Kane versus Lucas Chevalier
Success for any team versus Bayern Munich is measured by their ability, or inability, to keep Kane's name off of the scoresheet. The world class striker has scored a brace twice en route to bagging five goals from Bayern's first three Champions League fixtures. Aiming to repel the Englishman's attempts on target, Chevalier's ability to produce reaction saves from quickly-laced shot attempts and headed opportunities will determine who has the edge in the matchup of former Champions League winners.
MAN OF THE MATCH
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia is likely to attack from Paris Saint-Germian's right flank as he seeks to extend his Champions League goal streak to three successive appearances. Given Kvaratskhelia's pace, I expect him to cause havoc for Bayern Munich as the Bavarians will need to adjust the positioning of their double-pivot to assist the presumed left full-back Laimer in covering Kvaratskhelia's attacking runs.
Over his last five appearances (three starts) in all competitions, the winger has scored once and supplied three assists. I back Kvaratskhelia to create multiple chances and produce a goal contribution in the marquee matchup.
PREDICTED RESULT
Paris Saint-Germain 2 - Bayern Munich 1
UPCOMING FIXTURES
Paris Saint-Germain: Nov. 26 vs. Tottenham Hotspur
Bayern Munich: Nov. 26 at Arsenal
