DraftKings MLB: Tuesday Picks

DraftKings MLB: Tuesday Picks

This article is part of our DraftKings MLB series.

PITCHER

Julio Urias, LAD vs. COL ($5,900): Called "the most perfect prospect I've ever seen" by Zack Greinke a few month ago, now is the time to buy Urias despite two poor starts. Even though he's only 19, Urias had three years in the minors along with 41 innings at Triple-A this season prior to being called up. This season at Triple-A, despite playing in the notoriously offense-friendly Pacific Coast League, Urias had a 29.7 percent K rate and 1.10 ERA. His major league debut against the Mets was a disaster, allowing three runs and four walks in just 2.2 innings. The next time out he started in the toughest conditions available (possibly with the exception of pitching in Coors Field), a day game at Wrigley Field. Urias went on to allow three home runs in five innings, some of which certainly needs to be attributed to plus-offensive conditions in Chicago and arguably the best offense in the majors. Extracting the unsustainable HRs allowed, the start against the Cubs wasn't too bad, measured with a 4.08 xFIP. Dodger Stadium is pitcher friendly and the Rockies have extremely weak numbers against left-handed pitching with an 82 wRC+ and 24 percent K rate.

Kyle Hendricks, CHC at PHI ($10,800): Paying five figures for Hendricks, at first glance, is a shock to the system. Despite holding reasonably good statistics with a 3.40 xFIP, a short leash had limited Hendricks's upside. However, over his last two starts, he's pitched 17 innings. The Phillies have a 21.3 percent K rate and 79 wRC+, while opposing pitcher Jerad Eickhoff has been respectable on the season with a 3.93 ERA, but Vegas has the Cubs hugely favored at -221.

CATCHER

Matt Wieters, BAL vs. KC ($3,800): The already poor 4.82 ERA doesn't truly depict how bad Yordano Ventura has been this season, as his xFIP now stands at 5.68. Vegas has the Orioles projected to score over five runs and Wieters allows affordable access at a scarce position. His bat is less than elite, but his wOBA on the season sits at .332 and wRC+ at 106, more than suitable for this situation and position.

FIRST BASE

Chris Davis, BAL vs. KC ($4,600): Being favored in a game with an extremely high 9.5 run total indicates many runs and a lot of upside for the Orioles. After a resurgent season last year smacking 47 home runs and sporting a 147 wRC+, Davis has been mediocre this year with just a 109 wRC+ and a K rate as high as ever at 32.4 percent. The numbers against righties are a bit better with the wRC+ sitting a 122.

SECOND BASE

Robinson Cano, SEA vs. CLE ($4,100): With a .338 ISO, .425 wOBA and 177 wRC+ against right-handed pitching, this price would indicate an elite pitcher on the mound. However, opposing pitcher Cody Anderson has a 6.81 ERA this season and has allowed a .410 wOBA against lefties.

THIRD BASE

Kyle Seager, SEA vs. CLE ($3,800): Seager actually has a superior wOBA and wRC+ than Cano, though not with as much power despite an excellent .265 ISO.

SHORTSTOP

Aledmys Diaz, STL at CIN ($4,100): Diaz's hot bat has been begun to cool after an electric start to the season. The sample sizes are small, so his righty/lefty splits are still quite volatile, but what is apparent is a favorable spot in the batting order in the co-highest over/under game against a poor pitching John Lamb.

OUTFIELD

Hyun Soo Kim, BAL vs. KC ($3,700): His season is still young with just 78 plate appearances, but in his first 75 plate appearances against MLB righties he's recorded a .419 wOBA and 166 wRC+. Power doesn't figure to feature in Kim's game, but Vegas's implied projection of over five runs for the Orioles indicate many runs and RBI opportunities and additional plate appearances.

Stephen Piscotty, STL at CIN ($4,600): Piscotty's numbers against southpaws have been superb this season, with a 231 wRC+ and .513 wOBA. Meanwhile, opposing lefty John Lamb escaped Coors Field in his last outing by allowing just one run, but his xFIP of 5.27 in that start and season-long 5.63 indicate it was an aberration.

Marcell Ozuna, MIA at MIN ($4,400): Ozuna has a .452 ISO, .556 wOBA and 258 wRC+ against lefties this season. Putting the Marlin in the hitter friendly confines at Minnesota in a game with a nine-run over/under only bolsters the tremendous upside he has that much more.

The author(s) of this article may play in daily fantasy contests including – but not limited to – games that they have provided recommendations or advice on in this article. In the course of playing in these games using their personal accounts, it's possible that they will use players in their lineups or other strategies that differ from the recommendations they have provided above. The recommendations in this article do not necessarily reflect the views of RotoWire. Alex Spalding plays in daily fantasy contests using the following accounts: FanDuel: ajump08, DraftKings: ajump08.
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ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Alex Spalding
Alex splits his expertise between College Basketball, NBA, NFL, MLB, and Saturday morning BPL. You'll find him under the username ajump08 on DraftKings and FanDuel.
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