MLB Picks: Expert MLB Picks and Player Props for Friday, July 21

Michael Rathburn digs in with his expert MLB Picks and Player Props for July 21, including an over bet on what has been the best offense in baseball, the Atlanta Braves.
MLB Picks: Expert MLB Picks and Player Props for Friday, July 21
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Best MLB Bets Today: Expert MLB Picks and Player Props for Friday, July 21

Season: 60-72-1 -33.99 units

Prior Article: 1-3 -2.57 units 

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Chicago White Sox at Minnesota Twins

The Twins are 56-42 to the UNDER on their team totals for the season for a -20% ROI, so betting them OVER in this spot does present some risk. But they have owned White Sox starting pitcher Lance Lynn in recent memory and his numbers against left-handed batters are also dismal.

Lynn has a 6.06 ERA on the season and 5.27 over his last seven starts. But his last five starts against the Twins, he has allowed eight home runs with a 6.11 ERA. 

So despite the Twins' struggles on offense this year, the spot is perfect for them to go OVER 4.5 runs.

MLB Best Bets for White Sox at Twins  

  •  Twins OVER 4.5 runs for 1 unit (DraftKings +110)

Atlanta Braves at Milwaukee Brewers  

The autoplay of Braves -1.5/OVER team total is now OFF, but the Braves' offense has continued to put up the runs. The Braves are just 2-5 in their last 7, while the Brewers are 8-2 in their last 10 so the side is out for sure. Both starting pitchers (Michael Siroka and Freddy Peralta) will give up runs so the over is in play, but I will continue to ride the Braves bats. 

MLB Best Bets for Braves at Brewers 

  •  Braves OVER 4.5 runs for 1 unit (DraftKings -115)

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Colorado Rockies at Miami Marlins  

The Rockies' road woes have been well documented as they suffer tremendously when going outside Coors Field and even more going into Miami tonight. It is looking like Peter Lambert versus Braxton Garrett in the pitching matchup with a huge edge to the Marlins. Given the fact the Marlins are a whopping -220 favorite, the run line at -1.5 / -110 is the best option. 

The Rockies are just 21-26 as run-line-away underdogs (45 percent), which is pathetic considering they are getting +1.5 runs. The Marlins are 5-1 on the run line when laying juice (favored), which means when they are strongly expected to win, they deliver.

MLB Best Bets for Rockies at Marlins 

  • Marlins -1.5 runs for 1 unit (DraftKings -110)

MLB Best Bets Today Recap

  • Twins OVER 4.5 runs for 1 unit (DraftKings +110)
  • Braves OVER 4.5 runs for 1 unit (DraftKings -115)
  • Marlins -1.5 runs for 1 unit (DraftKings -110)
ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Known as “Rath” in the Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS) community, he has helped run operations for two prominent daily fantasy sports startups. Michael has taken his insider knowledge and expertise in daily fantasy sports to the content side. Rath won the 2016 FSWA "Baseball Article of the Year, Online" award and was a finalist for the FSWA Best Baseball Series in 2011.
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