MLB Picks Tonight: Picks & Predictions for Brewers at Mets on Wednesday, June 28

MLB Picks Tonight: Picks & Predictions for Brewers at Mets on Wednesday, June 28

This article is part of our MLB Picks series.

MLB Picks for Mets vs Brewers on Wednesday, June 30

After a 2-0 day last Wednesday on Best Bets (with one rainout) I'm back on Game Focus duty for today. I'm going to remind everyone here to tread lightly with my Game Focus picks as I am 0-6 in my last two Game Focus articles. I think that is more of a fluke than anything, but I always encourage responsible money management and if you are looking to go big, I wouldn't tail me too closely. Today, I'm looking for winners at Citi Field in the 3rd of a four-game series between the Brewers and Mets. 

BetMGM is among the sportsbooks that accept credit card and is also one of the top-rated PayPal betting sites. The BetMGM bonus code gets new customers access to a $1,000 welcome offer.

Milwaukee Brewers at New York Mets

With the series tied at 1-1, the Brewers send out Wade Miley to face the Mets' Kodai Senga. Today marks the first time Milwaukee batters will see Senga in their collective careers while Miley has fared very well against the New York lineup in his career, including a 6 IP, 0 ER performance against the Mets on April 4. Of late, the Mets haven't needed much help to struggle with a 3-7 record over their last 10 games and only 6 wins in their last 22. To my eyes, all signs point to a low-scoring affair which makes the under my top play for today's contest. 

Game Focus Best Bet: Brewers at Mets UNDER 8.5 (+105) @ DraftKings

Press conferences and outside motivation is all fine and dandy, but their effects are often short-lived. Yes, perhaps the pressers from GM Billy Eppler and owner Steve Cohen may have motivated the Mets last night, but now I see Milwaukee as the team with motivation (and value) in today's game. The Brewers are off the loss with Max Scherzer looming as tomorrow's starter to close out the series. The Brewers need this game to ensure a road split and given Miley's aforementioned success against the Mets, I think they get it. 

Game Focus Best Bet: Brewers ML (+130) @ DraftKings 

I looked long and hard at Miley's K prop (over) as well as Senga's ER prop (over), but ultimately decided to go with the hot stick belonging to Milwaukee's William Contreras. Contreras is 10-40 with three doubles and a triple in his last 10 games and his total bases prop has excellent value. After being one of two Brewers with multiple hits yesterday, I'll back Contreras tonight as well.  

Game Focus Best Bet: William Contreras total bases OVER 1.5 (+145) @ BetMGM

MLB Best Bets Brewers at Mets for June 28:

Here's a recap of my Game Focus Best Bets for Wednesday:

  • Brewers at Mets UNDER 8.5 (+105) @ DraftKings
  • Brewers ML (+130) @ DraftKings
  • William Contreras total bases OVER 1.5 (+145) @ Bet MGM

Sports betting launched in Massachusetts this spring. To get the most bang for your buck when selecting a sportsbook as a new customer, check out these Massachusetts Sports Betting Promos.

RotoWire Community
Join Our Subscriber-Only MLB Chat
Chat with our writers and other RotoWire MLB fans for all the pre-game info and in-game banter.
Join The Discussion
ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Eric  Timm
Eric is celebrating his 20th season as a featured handicapper with Nelly's Sportsline! He specializes in the NFL, College Football, and College Basketball. His positive demeanor coupled with a steady and measured approach has helped his clients attain both short and long-term success, making him one of the most respected handicappers in the Midwest.
Weekly Hitter Rankings: Rangers Rocking and Rolling
Weekly Hitter Rankings: Rangers Rocking and Rolling
Weekly Pitcher Rankings: Solo Shot
Weekly Pitcher Rankings: Solo Shot
Los Angeles Angels vs. Cleveland Guardians, Saturday's Best MLB Bet for May 4
Los Angeles Angels vs. Cleveland Guardians, Saturday's Best MLB Bet for May 4
MLB DFS Picks: FanDuel Plays and Strategy for Saturday, May 4
MLB DFS Picks: FanDuel Plays and Strategy for Saturday, May 4
MLB DFS Picks: DraftKings Plays and Strategy for Saturday, May 4
MLB DFS Picks: DraftKings Plays and Strategy for Saturday, May 4
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Francisco Giants & More MLB Bets and Expert Picks for Friday, May 3
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Francisco Giants & More MLB Bets and Expert Picks for Friday, May 3