This article is part of our Weekly Pitcher Rankings series.
As always, remember that rotations are subject to change, so if you see something that looks incorrect, assume that it was a change that occurred since this was written and feel free to politely bring it up in the comments, I'll let you know where the new arm slots.
For the week June 29-July 5
AMERICAN LEAGUE
START
Rank | Pitcher | Opp | Comments |
1 | Sonny Gray | COL, SEA | Getting COL at home makes this a prime two-start week for Gray; 2.37 ERA, 23% K in 33.7 June IP |
2 | Chris Sale | at STL | Seven straight 10+ K outings gives him eight tying his 2014 total and tying him for 4th-most in season since '11 (Darvish, 12 in '13) |
3 | Masahiro Tanaka | TB | |
4 | Corey Kluber | at TB | Another good effort goes unrewarded, seventh loss/no-decision when allowing 3 or fewer ER; CLE has scored 8 R in his L5 combined |
5 | Chris Archer | at NYY | |
6 | Felix Hernandez | at OAK | I had injury worries after the nightmare in HOU, but he bounced back results-wise; velo in L4 is concerning: 93.1, 93.2. 92.1, 91.5 |
7 | David Price | TOR | You're never not using Price, but the Jays are obscene against LHP so we might not get Peak Price |
8 | Dallas Keuchel | KC | |
9 | Carlos Carrasco | at TB, at PIT | These two have become maddening, but I can't recommend buying enough shares of either as the skills suggest a lot upside remains… |
10 | Danny Salazar | at TB, at PIT | …Carrasco has the cleaner skills profile |
As always, remember that rotations are subject to change, so if you see something that looks incorrect, assume that it was a change that occurred since this was written and feel free to politely bring it up in the comments, I'll let you know where the new arm slots.
SIT
NATIONAL LEAGUE
SIT
MLB TOP 100
For the week June 29-July 5
AMERICAN LEAGUE
START
Rank | Pitcher | Opp | Comments |
1 | Sonny Gray | COL, SEA | Getting COL at home makes this a prime two-start week for Gray; 2.37 ERA, 23% K in 33.7 June IP |
2 | Chris Sale | at STL | Seven straight 10+ K outings gives him eight tying his 2014 total and tying him for 4th-most in season since '11 (Darvish, 12 in '13) |
3 | Masahiro Tanaka | TB | |
4 | Corey Kluber | at TB | Another good effort goes unrewarded, seventh loss/no-decision when allowing 3 or fewer ER; CLE has scored 8 R in his L5 combined |
5 | Chris Archer | at NYY | |
6 | Felix Hernandez | at OAK | I had injury worries after the nightmare in HOU, but he bounced back results-wise; velo in L4 is concerning: 93.1, 93.2. 92.1, 91.5 |
7 | David Price | TOR | You're never not using Price, but the Jays are obscene against LHP so we might not get Peak Price |
8 | Dallas Keuchel | KC | |
9 | Carlos Carrasco | at TB, at PIT | These two have become maddening, but I can't recommend buying enough shares of either as the skills suggest a lot upside remains… |
10 | Danny Salazar | at TB, at PIT | …Carrasco has the cleaner skills profile thanks to Salazar's HR issue, but TB/PIT both bottom 10 in HRs & ISO v. RHP |
11 | Anibal Sanchez | PIT | Speaking of HR issues… the most frustrating part is that Sanchez led baseball w/0.4 HR/9 from 2013-14 |
12 | Michael Pineda | TB | I'd say he doesn't deserve a 4.25 ERA thanks to a 2.89 FIP, but we can't just ignore four 5+ ER outings; great skills, maddening volatility |
13 | Jesse Chavez | SEA | |
14 | Scott Kazmir | SEA | Had an 8-day layoff for his shoulder, since returning: 2.16 ERA, 1.12 WHIP, & 3.1 K:BB ratio in 25 IP |
15 | Jeff Samardzija | BAL | |
16 | Jose Quintana | BAL | |
17 | Taijuan Walker | at OAK | He keeps chiseling that ERA so make sure you're looking at the gamelogs and not just the bottom line: 1.91 ERA and 44 Ks in L42.3 IP |
18 | Lance McCullers Jr. | KC, at BOS | |
19 | Garrett Richards | at TEX | He's getting a lot of leeway on the 1.9 K:BB ratio bc of his '14, but he had a 1.9 K:BB in 230 IP before '14, too |
20 | Trevor May | at CIN | A bad third of an inning erased all of his ERA goodness, but it doesn't invalidate the legitimate gains he's made this year |
21 | Trevor Bauer | at PIT | Weeks ago I ended his comment w/"let's hope this consistency is real"… it wasn't, since: 6.64 ERA in 20.3 IP w/20 Ks, but also 16 BBs |
22 | Edinson Volquez | at HOU | |
23 | Jesse Hahn | COL | One of just seven guys w/2+ strikeout-free games: Dickey (3), Worley, J.Williams, Pelfrey, S.Gonzalez, & Gibson w/2 ea. |
24 | Yovani Gallardo | at BAL | Hasn't allowed more than 2 ER in any of his L6 (1.22 ERA in 37 IP); hasn't allowed more than 4 ER in any start this yr (2.98 ERA in 88 IP) |
25 | Hector Santiago | at TEX | His ERA has been north of 3.00 just twice: after his first (5.06) and fifth (3.14) starts; 7 HRs in June has ERA on rise, though |
26 | Ubaldo Jimenez | at CWS | |
27 | Wei-Yin Chen | TEX | |
28 | Clay Buchholz | at TOR, HOU | Holding a 2.48 ERA in June despite a couple of 4 ER outings in there; treat this as a 1-start wk when a trip to TOR is involved |
29 | C.J. Wilson | NYY, at TEX | |
30 | Nate Karns | CLE, at NYY | |
31 | Justin Verlander | PIT, TOR | Back stiffness has earned him some time off (last threw on 6/19), but expected to return for 2-start week |
32 | Mike Montgomery | at SD, at OAK | Former blue-chip prospect is making good early in his MLB career capped by 10-K shutout of KC of all teams |
33 | Miguel Gonzalez | TEX, at CWS | |
34 | Erasmo Ramirez | CLE, at NYY | Dropped a few spots because of the groin, but performance has just been unreal: 1.40 ERA & 3.8 K:BB in 19.3 June IP |
35 | Kendall Graveman | COL, SEA | |
36 | Adam Warren | at LAA | Supposed to go six-man to keep Warren in the rotation, but if they drop to five-man, it's likely him headed to the 'pen |
37 | Roenis Elias | at SD | Volatility is FUUUUNNN: 2, 1, 7, 2, and 7 ER in his last five starts |
38 | Nathan Eovaldi | TB | A 5.76 June ERA won't impress anyone, in fact it should make you vomit, but it's at 2.96 in 4 of the 5; other was his 0.7 IP/8 ER massacre |
39 | J.A. Happ | at OAK | |
40 | Ivan Nova | at LAA | Solid '15 debut, w/5 base runners in 6.7 IP, but just 1 K; will likely start heading upward as he gets some IP under belt |
41 | Andrew Heaney | NYY | Heaney gets a showcase while Weaver is out, but he could stick beyond if he excels; 0.5 HR/9 in 338 MiLB IP |
42 | Alfredo Simon | PIT | |
43 | Chris Young | MIN | KC will protect him from third-time-through, but trouble can happen in the first five: 0, 4, 6, 0, 0, & 7 ER in his last six |
44 | Carlos Rodon | at STL | It's going to be bumpy w/that BB rate, but the upside is still sky-high; StL is 24th in wRC+ v. LHP at 86 this year (100 is average) |
45 | Marco Estrada | BOS, at DET | Appears to have regained his good MIL form, but the HRs really leave him w/a high-3.00s ERA ceiling |
46 | Wandy Rodriguez | at BAL, LAA | Gave back a lot of his gains in one fell swoop v. OAK (24th v. LHP coming in) after a 2.70 ERA in 36.7 IP before his last one |
47 | R.A. Dickey | BOS, at DET | |
48 | Eduardo Rodriguez | at TOR, HOU | He's allowed 17 ER as an MLBer, 15 have come in two nightmare starts incl. one against TOR |
49 | Phil Hughes | at CIN, at KC | |
50 | Brett Oberholtzer | at BOS | Last three: 2.25 ERA and 1.05 WHIP in 20 IP incl. trips to COL and LAA; won't be special but offers some solid IP if you can take the K hit |
SIT
Rank | Pitcher | Opp | Comments |
51 | Vincent Velasquez | KC | He's still learning so there will be bumps, but worth keeping an eye and stashing in case he pops like McCullers has lately |
52 | Colby Lewis | at BAL, LAA | Has 3.09 ERA in 5 June starts, but allowed 5, 5, and 9 ER in final 3 May starts; so bottom could fall out in a heartbeat |
53 | Tommy Milone | at KC | |
54 | Collin McHugh | at BOS | Fenway isn't a HR haven, but I still worry about McHugh there w/his 1.3 HR/9 |
55 | CC Sabathia | at LAA | A great example of why you can't just blindly buy K:BB ratios as CC's 4.6 mark is near-elite (17th-best among qualified SPs) |
56 | Matt Shoemaker | NYY | Shoemaker's is 27th-best at 3.8, but no way I'm using his 1.7 HR/9 v. the second-best HR team in baseball |
57 | Drew Hutchison | at DET | This is the kind of start where he'll go six scoreless for no reason, but I'm not risking it |
58 | Cody Anderson | at TB | Strong MLB debut (against TB, in fact), but I want to see Saturday's start before declaring him a start |
59 | Matt Andriese | CLE | |
60 | Chi Chi Gonzalez | LAA | |
61 | Justin Masterson | HOU | |
62 | Nick Martinez | at BAL | |
63 | Alex Colome | CLE | |
64 | Wade Miley | at TOR | Holds a 3.10 ERA in his last eight starts, but TOR is terrifying for middling LHP |
65 | Kyle Gibson | at KC | |
66 | Rick Porcello | at TOR | Long been a Porcello-supporter, but this is just brutal; L7 starts: 7.07 ERA, 1.45 WHIP in 42 IP |
67 | Mark Buehrle | BOS | |
68 | Chris Tillman | TEX | |
69 | Bud Norris | TEX, at CWS | |
70 | Danny Duffy | at HOU, MIN | |
71 | Mike Pelfrey | at CIN, at KC | Pelf has a 4.46 ERA and 1.54 WHIP on the road thanks in large part to a… wait for it… TWO POINT NINE K/9 on the road in 40.3 IP |
72 | Kyle Ryan | TOR | |
73 | Jeremy Guthrie | MIN | |
74 | John Danks | BAL | |
75 | Yordano Ventura Replacement | at HOU, MIN | |
76 | Matt Boyd | BOS |
NATIONAL LEAGUE
START
Rank | Pitcher | Opp | Comments |
1 | Max Scherzer | at ATL | The best pitcher in baseball and it's because of what he did as opposed to anything Kershaw hasn't done because… |
2 | Clayton Kershaw | NYM | …Kershaw has still been fantastic even w/his mortal 3.33 ERA (33% K rate, 1.04 WHIP) |
3 | Cole Hamels | MIL, at ATL | |
4 | Gerrit Cole | at DET, CLE | With mid-level guys you worry when they face a tm like DET; w/aces you worry about those premium hitters going 0-4 |
5 | Zack Greinke | NYM | If last year's 25% K rate was still around, he'd be better than a lot of 2-start guys even w/just 1, alas it's down to a solid 23% |
6 | Matt Harvey | at LAD | |
7 | Johnny Cueto | MIN | The focus now is whether or not Cueto will be traded, but not many parks would be worse and he's a true stud |
8 | Jacob deGrom | CHC | Out of his mind lately: 1.20 ERA, 0.61 WHIP, & 11.4 K:BB ratio in 52.7 IP, going 7+ IP in all seven starts |
9 | Michael Wacha | SD | Of course PHI saddles him w/worst start of yr: 5 IP/5 ER; has K'd fewer than 5 just once in L8; K'd 5+ once in first six |
10 | Madison Bumgarner | at WAS | |
11 | Carlos Martinez | SD | His 2.33 ERA and 30 Ks in four June starts is great, but even better considering all 4 were on road incl. trips to LAD & COL |
12 | Jason Hammel | MIA | |
13 | Jake Arrieta | at NYM | |
14 | Stephen Strasburg | SF | Returned from a month layoff and averaged 96.9 MPH w/his fastball (second-best all season); buy-low window may be closed |
15 | Lance Lynn | CWS | Walked 4 in return after 17-day layoff, but only 2 hits in six shutout innings at MIA |
16 | Shelby Miller | WAS, PHI | |
17 | A.J. Burnett | at DET | Neither Pirate stud likes facing DET w/4.81 and 5.59 career ERAs, respectively, though both had gems v. DET earlier this year… |
18 | Francisco Liriano | at DET | …even w/the ugly history, I don't think you can sit either because the upside is so high |
19 | Jaime Garcia | CWS, SD | |
20 | Jordan Zimmermann | at ATL, SF | Averaged 94+ MPH on his heater just once in first 8 starts, has been there in each of his L7: 3.18 ERA, 3.7 K:BB ratio in 45.3 IP |
21 | Ian Kennedy | SEA, at STL | Entered June w/a 7.15 ERA, but has reeled off a 2.40 ERA in 30 June IP w/28 Ks and 3.5 K:BB ratio |
22 | John Lackey | SD | |
23 | Alex Wood | PHI | Weird home/road splits: 5.00/2.73 ERA, 1.63/1.35 WHIP, 25%/13% K rates, 3.4/1.8 K:BB… home ERA will improve w/these skills |
24 | Jose Fernandez | SF | There's a solid chance he's very good immediately; not quite the 2.25 ERA we've seen in 224 IP so far, but 3.30-ish w/tons of Ks |
25 | Gio Gonzalez | SF | These next five are incredibly talented, but equally frustrating w/their shaky performances this yr; Gio's L8: 5, 6, 1, 4, 2, 2, 5, & 0 ER |
26 | Jon Lester | at NYM | ERA by month: 6.23, 1.76, and 5.74; K:BB by month: 4.8, 3.1, and 2.5; has 4.54 ERA on road despite better skills (24% K, 3.3 K:BB) |
27 | Tyson Ross | at STL | The only one of these five w/a sub-4.00 ERA, but BBs have returned to wreak havoc (1.45 WHIP); still buying given his upside |
28 | James Shields | SEA | One of three Padres in top 25 for HR/9 (min. 60 IP); Petco's HR park factors are nearing avg for both sides (99 L/94 R; 100 is AVG) |
29 | Andrew Cashner | at STL | Finished 6 IP just once in five June starts (7.62 ERA); velo is up, Ks are up, but newly acquired HR issue is holding him back |
30 | Noah Syndergaard | at LAD | 11 of his 21 ER were allowed in 2 starts to open June (also allowed 20 his 54 H in those starts) |
31 | Julio Teheran | PHI | |
32 | Chris Heston | at MIA | |
33 | Mat Latos | SF, at CHC | Most encouraging aspect since his return is the velo: 93.8, 93.9, and 95 MPH fastball avgs in three starts; 91.7 MPH in F9 starts total |
34 | Brett Anderson | at ARI | Now has his highest IP total (89) in five years besting his previous high of 83 in 2011; trust him while healthy |
35 | Anthony DeSclafani | MIN | |
36 | Bartolo Colon | CHC | |
37 | Chase Anderson | COL | Went about as expected in Coors (8 ER), hoping he can salvage the week w/a gem in SD; handles Chase Field well (3.25 home ERA) |
38 | Mike Fiers | at CIN | Mike check… 1, 2, 3 |
39 | Mike Leake | MIN, MIL | No rhyme or reason to his blowups meaning you just take the good w/the bad and accept him as a high-3.00s, low-4.00s pitcher |
40 | Michael Bolsinger | at ARI, NYM | Suffered a hellacious June swoon (5.06 ERA in 27 IP), but was so good before that his 2.95 ERA kind of hides it |
41 | Kyle Hendricks | at NYM, MIA | He's kind of like Fiers w/fewer Ks which isn't that desirable, but these are two strong matchups |
42 | Jimmy Nelson | at PHI, at CIN | |
43 | Steven Matz | at LAD | Making his debut Sunday so we'll get an idea of him; LAD is below average v. LHP so this isn't a terrifying matchup |
44 | Jake Peavy | at MIA | This is what we call a soft landing w/MIA sitting 29th in wRC v. RHP at 80 |
45 | Chad Bettis | at OAK | Has actually been better at home ERA-wise, but skills are similarly solid both home and away; OAK solid v. RHP, though |
46 | Williams Perez | WAS | |
47 | Charlie Morton | CLE | Morton haters didn't believe 33.3 IP of 1.62 ERA, but seem to think 0.7 IP of 115.70 ERA couldn't be more real… that's beyond stupid |
48 | Robbie Ray | LAD | Up better than two ticks on the radar gun at 94.5 MPH |
49 | Taylor Jungmann | at PHI, at CIN | Impressing early on w/2.74 ERA, 1.22 WHIP, 3.2 K:BB ratio, and 56% GB rate in 23 IP; two below avg offenses this week, too |
50 | Jorge De La Rosa | at OAK, at ARI | |
51 | David Hale | at OAK, at ARI | Displaying skills well beyond his 5.86 ERA, but a 21% HR/FB and .327 BABIP have done him in; 3.63 xFIP says better days coming |
52 | Rubby De La Rosa | LAD, COL | June ran the gamut of what he can be at both his best and worst: 7, 9, 0, 1, and 1 ER incl. a 7 IP/1 ER gem in Coors |
53 | Dan Haren | SF | Tough opponent, but you got him to use at home: 2.77 ERA, 1.00 WHIP, and 3.4 K:BB ratio in 49 IP |
54 | Kyle Lohse | at PHI | Had 0 HR allowed in 16 of 31 starts last yr, but in just 2 of 16 this year (1.9 HR/9); career-worst 16% HR/FB could regress (10% career) |
55 | Jon Niese | CHC | Put together a decent June that is emblematic of what he can be at his best: 3.46 ERA, 1.38 WHIP in 26 IP |
SIT
Rank | Pitcher | Opp | Comments |
56 | Jeremy Hellickson | COL | His L7 won't overwhelm results-wise, but skills are improving: 4.02 ERA, 1.09 WHIP, 21% K, and 3.8 K:BB ratio in 40.3 IP |
57 | Tsuyoshi Wada | MIA | His 9 K debut is still heavily influencing his alleged K surge: w/it - 24%, w/out it - 20%; it counts, it's just not indicative of more |
58 | Doug Fister | at ATL | The Ks are just so low that it takes REALLY good ratios to counterbalance; ATL has 3rd-lowest K% v. RHP, too (17%) |
59 | Matt Wisler | WAS | |
60 | Jeff Locke | CLE | |
61 | Ryan Vogelsong | at MIA, at WAS | At best, he's a home/road guy, but the skills say neither: 2.63/5.31 ERA, 1.7/1.9 K:BB ratio |
62 | Tom Koehler | at CHC | Don't mess w/the home/road splits: 1.52/6.21 ERA |
63 | David Phelps | at CHC | Not as stark, but also a home/road Marlin: 3.55/4.76 ERA |
64 | Carlos Frias | at ARI | Not quite ready for primetime it seems; the highs just can't offset the lows right now and he doesn't have a carrying category |
65 | Adam Morgan | MIL | Solid debut for the lefty, but still need to see more; wasn't a huge prospect, but has some pedigree as a third-rounder |
66 | Aaron Harang | MIL | |
67 | Tim Lincecum | at WAS | |
68 | Michael Lorenzen | MIL | |
69 | Chris Rusin | at ARI | |
70 | Odrisamer Despaigne | at STL | |
71 | Kevin Correia | at ATL | |
72 | Josh Smith | MIL | |
73 | Matt Garza | at PHI | |
74 | Kyle Kendrick | at ARI | |
75 | Sean O'Sullivan | MIL, at ATL | |
76 | Allen Webster | LAD, COL |
MLB TOP 100
Rank | Pitcher | Opp | Comments |
1 | Max Scherzer | at ATL | The best pitcher in baseball and it's because of what he did as opposed to anything Kershaw hasn't done because… |
2 | Clayton Kershaw | NYM | …Kershaw has still been fantastic even w/his mortal 3.33 ERA (33% K rate, 1.04 WHIP) |
3 | Cole Hamels | MIL, at ATL | |
4 | Gerrit Cole | at DET, CLE | With mid-level guys you worry when they face a tm like DET; w/aces you worry about those premium hitters going 0-4 |
5 | Sonny Gray | COL, SEA | Getting COL at home makes this a prime two-start week for Gray; 2.37 ERA, 23% K in 33.7 June IP |
6 | Chris Sale | at STL | Seven straight 10+ K outings gives him eight tying his 2014 total and tying him for 4th-most in season since '11 (Darvish, 12 in '13) |
7 | Zack Greinke | NYM | If last year's 25% K rate was still around, he'd be better than a lot of 2-start guys even w/just 1, alas it's down to a solid 23% |
8 | Matt Harvey | at LAD | |
9 | Johnny Cueto | MIN | The focus now is whether or not Cueto will be traded, but not many parks would be worse and he's a true stud |
10 | Jacob deGrom | CHC | Out of his mind lately: 1.20 ERA, 0.61 WHIP, & 11.4 K:BB ratio in 52.7 IP, going 7+ IP in all seven starts |
11 | Masahiro Tanaka | TB | |
12 | Corey Kluber | at TB | Another good effort goes unrewarded, seventh loss/no-decision when allowing 3 or fewer ER; CLE has scored 8 R in his L5 combined |
13 | Chris Archer | at NYY | |
14 | Felix Hernandez | at OAK | I had injury worries after the nightmare in HOU, but he bounced back results-wise; velo in L4 is concerning: 93.1, 93.2. 92.1, 91.5 |
15 | David Price | TOR | You're never not using Price, but the Jays are obscene against LHP so we might not get Peak Price |
16 | Dallas Keuchel | KC | |
17 | Michael Wacha | SD | Of course PHI saddles him w/worst start of yr: 5 IP/5 ER; has K'd fewer than 5 just once in L8; K'd 5+ once in first six |
18 | Madison Bumgarner | at WAS | |
19 | Carlos Martinez | SD | His 2.33 ERA and 30 Ks in four June starts is great, but even better considering all 4 were on road incl. trips to LAD & COL |
20 | Jason Hammel | MIA | |
21 | Jake Arrieta | at NYM | |
22 | Carlos Carrasco | at TB, at PIT | These two have become maddening, but I can't recommend buying enough shares of either as the skills suggest a lot upside remains… |
23 | Danny Salazar | at TB, at PIT | …Carrasco has the cleaner skills profile thanks to Salazar's HR issue, but TB/PIT both bottom 10 in HRs & ISO v. RHP |
24 | Stephen Strasburg | SF | Returned from a month layoff and averaged 96.9 MPH w/his fastball (second-best all season); buy-low window may be closed |
25 | Anibal Sanchez | PIT | Speaking of HR issues… the most frustrating part is that Sanchez led baseball w/0.4 HR/9 from 2013-14 |
26 | Michael Pineda | TB | I'd say he doesn't deserve a 4.25 ERA thanks to a 2.89 FIP, but we can't just ignore four 5+ ER outings; great skills, maddening volatility |
27 | Jesse Chavez | SEA | |
28 | Scott Kazmir | SEA | Had an 8-day layoff for his shoulder, since returning: 2.16 ERA, 1.12 WHIP, & 3.1 K:BB ratio in 25 IP |
29 | Lance Lynn | CWS | Walked 4 in return after 17-day layoff, but only 2 hits in six shutout innings at MIA |
30 | Shelby Miller | WAS, PHI | |
31 | A.J. Burnett | at DET | Neither Pirate stud likes facing DET w/4.81 and 5.59 career ERAs, respectively, though both had gems v. DET earlier this year… |
32 | Francisco Liriano | at DET | …even w/the ugly history, I don't think you can sit either because the upside is so high |
33 | Jaime Garcia | CWS, SD | |
34 | Jordan Zimmermann | at ATL, SF | Averaged 94+ MPH on his heater just once in first 8 starts, has been there in each of his L7: 3.18 ERA, 3.7 K:BB ratio in 45.3 IP |
35 | Jeff Samardzija | BAL | |
36 | Jose Quintana | BAL | |
37 | Taijuan Walker | at OAK | He keeps chiseling that ERA so make sure you're looking at the gamelogs and not just the bottom line: 1.91 ERA and 44 Ks in L42.3 IP |
38 | Ian Kennedy | SEA, at STL | Entered June w/a 7.15 ERA, but has reeled off a 2.40 ERA in 30 June IP w/28 Ks and 3.5 K:BB ratio |
39 | John Lackey | SD | |
40 | Alex Wood | PHI | Weird home/road splits: 5.00/2.73 ERA, 1.63/1.35 WHIP, 25%/13% K rates, 3.4/1.8 K:BB… home ERA will improve w/these skills |
41 | Jose Fernandez | SF | There's a solid chance he's very good immediately; not quite the 2.25 ERA we've seen in 224 IP so far, but 3.30-ish w/tons of Ks |
42 | Gio Gonzalez | SF | These next five are incredibly talented, but equally frustrating w/their shaky performances this yr; Gio's L8: 5, 6, 1, 4, 2, 2, 5, & 0 ER |
43 | Jon Lester | at NYM | ERA by month: 6.23, 1.76, and 5.74; K:BB by month: 4.8, 3.1, and 2.5; has 4.54 ERA on road despite better skills (24% K, 3.3 K:BB) |
44 | Tyson Ross | at STL | The only one of these five w/a sub-4.00 ERA, but BBs have returned to wreak havoc (1.45 WHIP); still buying given his upside |
45 | James Shields | SEA | One of three Padres in top 25 for HR/9 (min. 60 IP); Petco's HR park factors are nearing avg for both sides (99 L/94 R; 100 is AVG) |
46 | Andrew Cashner | at STL | Finished 6 IP just once in five June starts (7.62 ERA); velo is up, Ks are up, but newly acquired HR issue is holding him back |
47 | Noah Syndergaard | at LAD | 11 of his 21 ER were allowed in 2 starts to open June (also allowed 20 his 54 H in those starts) |
48 | Julio Teheran | PHI | |
49 | Chris Heston | at MIA | |
50 | Mat Latos | SF, at CHC | Most encouraging aspect since his return is the velo: 93.8, 93.9, and 95 MPH fastball avgs in three starts; 91.7 MPH in F9 starts total |
51 | Brett Anderson | at ARI | Now has his highest IP total (89) in five years besting his previous high of 83 in 2011; trust him while healthy |
52 | Lance McCullers Jr. | KC, at BOS | |
53 | Garrett Richards | at TEX | He's getting a lot of leeway on the 1.9 K:BB ratio bc of his '14, but he had a 1.9 K:BB in 230 IP before '14, too |
54 | Trevor May | at CIN | A bad third of an inning erased all of his ERA goodness, but it doesn't invalidate the legitimate gains he's made this year |
55 | Anthony DeSclafani | MIN | |
56 | Bartolo Colon | CHC | |
57 | Chase Anderson | COL | Went about as expected in Coors (8 ER), hoping he can salvage the week w/a gem in SD; handles Chase Field well (3.25 home ERA) |
58 | Trevor Bauer | at PIT | Weeks ago I ended his comment w/"let's hope this consistency is real"… it wasn't, since: 6.64 ERA in 20.3 IP w/20 Ks, but also 16 BBs |
59 | Edinson Volquez | at HOU | |
60 | Jesse Hahn | COL | One of just seven guys w/2+ strikeout-free games: Dickey (3), Worley, J.Williams, Pelfrey, S.Gonzalez, & Gibson w/2 ea. |
61 | Yovani Gallardo | at BAL | Hasn't allowed more than 2 ER in any of his L6 (1.22 ERA in 37 IP); hasn't allowed more than 4 ER in any start this yr (2.98 ERA in 88 IP) |
62 | Hector Santiago | at TEX | His ERA has been north of 3.00 just twice: after his first (5.06) and fifth (3.14) starts; 7 HRs in June has ERA on rise, though |
63 | Ubaldo Jimenez | at CWS | |
64 | Wei-Yin Chen | TEX | |
65 | Mike Fiers | at CIN | Mike check… 1, 2, 3 |
66 | Mike Leake | MIN, MIL | No rhyme or reason to his blowups meaning you just take the good w/the bad and accept him as a high-3.00s, low-4.00s pitcher |
67 | Michael Bolsinger | at ARI, NYM | Suffered a hellacious June swoon (5.06 ERA in 27 IP), but was so good before that his 2.95 ERA kind of hides it |
68 | Clay Buchholz | at TOR, HOU | Holding a 2.48 ERA in June despite a couple of 4 ER outings in there; treat this as a 1-start wk when a trip to TOR is involved |
69 | C.J. Wilson | NYY, at TEX | |
70 | Nate Karns | CLE, at NYY | |
71 | Justin Verlander | PIT, TOR | Back stiffness has earned him some time off (last threw on 6/19), but expected to return for 2-start week |
72 | Mike Montgomery | at SD, at OAK | Former blue-chip prospect is making good early in his MLB career capped by 10-K shutout of KC of all teams |
73 | Miguel Gonzalez | TEX, at CWS | |
74 | Erasmo Ramirez | CLE, at NYY | Dropped a few spots because of the groin, but performance has just been unreal: 1.40 ERA & 3.8 K:BB in 19.3 June IP |
75 | Kyle Hendricks | at NYM, MIA | He's kind of like Fiers w/fewer Ks which isn't that desirable, but these are two strong matchupsHe's kind of like Fiers w/fewer Ks which isn't that desirable, but these are two strong matchupsHe's kind of like Fiers w/fewer Ks which isn't that desirable, but these are two strong matchups |
76 | Jimmy Nelson | at PHI, at CIN | |
77 | Kendall Graveman | COL, SEA | |
78 | Steven Matz | at LAD | Making his debut Sunday so we'll get an idea of him; LAD is below average v. LHP so this isn't a terrifying matchup |
79 | Adam Warren | at LAA | Supposed to go six-man to keep Warren in the rotation, but if they drop to five-man, it's likely him headed to the 'pen |
80 | Roenis Elias | at SD | Volatility is FUUUUNNN: 2, 1, 7, 2, and 7 ER in his last five starts |
81 | Nathan Eovaldi | TB | A 5.76 June ERA won't impress anyone, in fact it should make you vomit, but it's at 2.96 in 4 of the 5; other was his 0.7 IP/8 ER massacre |
82 | J.A. Happ | at OAK | |
83 | Ivan Nova | at LAA | Solid '15 debut, w/5 base runners in 6.7 IP, but just 1 K; will likely start heading upward as he gets some IP under belt |
84 | Jake Peavy | at MIA | This is what we call a soft landing w/MIA sitting 29th in wRC v. RHP at 80 |
85 | Chad Bettis | at OAK | Has actually been better at home ERA-wise, but skills are similarly solid both home and away; OAK solid v. RHP, though |
86 | Williams Perez | WAS | |
87 | Charlie Morton | CLE | Morton haters didn't believe 33.3 IP of 1.62 ERA, but seem to think 0.7 IP of 115.70 ERA couldn't be more real… that's beyond stupid |
88 | Robbie Ray | LAD | Up better than two ticks on the radar gun at 94.5 MPH |
89 | Taylor Jungmann | at PHI, at CIN | Impressing early on w/2.74 ERA, 1.22 WHIP, 3.2 K:BB ratio, and 56% GB rate in 23 IP; two below avg offenses this week, too |
90 | Jorge De La Rosa | at OAK, at ARI | |
91 | David Hale | at OAK, at ARI | Displaying skills well beyond his 5.86 ERA, but a 21% HR/FB and .327 BABIP have done him in; 3.63 xFIP says better days coming |
92 | Rubby De La Rosa | LAD, COL | June ran the gamut of what he can be at both his best and worst: 7, 9, 0, 1, and 1 ER incl. a 7 IP/1 ER gem in Coors |
93 | Andrew Heaney | NYY | Heaney gets a showcase while Weaver is out, but he could stick beyond if he excels; 0.5 HR/9 in 338 MiLB IP |
94 | Alfredo Simon | PIT | |
95 | Chris Young | MIN | KC will protect him from third-time-through, but trouble can happen in the first five: 0, 4, 6, 0, 0, & 7 ER in his last six |
96 | Carlos Rodon | at STL | It's going to be bumpy w/that BB rate, but the upside is still sky-high; StL is 24th in wRC+ v. LHP at 86 this year (100 is average) |
97 | Marco Estrada | BOS, at DET | Appears to have regained his good MIL form, but the HRs really leave him w/a high-3.00s ERA ceiling |
98 | Wandy Rodriguez | at BAL, LAA | Gave back a lot of his gains in one fell swoop v. OAK (24th v. LHP coming in) after a 2.70 ERA in 36.7 IP before his last one |
99 | Dan Haren | SF | Tough opponent, but you got him to use at home: 2.77 ERA, 1.00 WHIP, and 3.4 K:BB ratio in 49 IP |
100 | Kyle Lohse | at PHI | Had 0 HR allowed in 16 of 31 starts last yr, but in just 2 of 16 this year (1.9 HR/9); career-worst 16% HR/FB could regress (10% career) |