This article is part of our MLB Picks series.
Previous Article: 2-1
Season: 3-2, 1 void (rainout)
Bonus Player Props:3-1, 1 void (rainout)
Odds Courtesy of WynnBet
1:10 p.m. Orioles (Jorge Lopez)/Indians (Eli Morgan) – over 9.5 runs (-110)
Baltimore starter Jorge Lopez has a 5.64 ERA, but he won his last start against the Indians. That's because the O's broke out for a staggering 18 runs. After a dismal April, Lopez rebounded in May with a 3.38 ERA for the month, but has come crashing back down to earth in June with a 7.45 ERA this month so far. Cleveland will be out for revenge, but their starter is an opener who allowed six runs in his only career big-league outing.
Swing for the Fences Bonus Player Prop: Cleveland first base phenom Bobby Bradley is 10-for-23 (.435) versus right-handed pitching this season. He has three home runs in 28 at-bats overall. He is +325 to hit a home run in this contest. Orioles starter Jorge Lopez has given up 10 home runs in 13 starts, including one in a game versus Cleveland earlier this month.
7:10 p.m. Mets (Marcus Stroman)/Cubs (Kyle Hendricks) – Stroman over 5.5 strikeouts (-120)
Jacob deGrom is the best pitcher on the planet, but Stroman has been pretty stellar himself in 2021 for the Metropolitans. He has fanned at least six batters in four of his last five starts. Again, comparing deGrom to Stroman (or almost anyone else for that matter) is like comparing apples to oranges, but deGrom punched out eight of the first nine Cubs hitters last night before leaving early due to a shoulder ailment. Chicago's hitters have the third-most strikeouts in the National League to date.
7:10 p.m. Yankees (Michael King)/Blue Jays (T.J. Zeuch) over 10.5 runs (-110)
Yes, this number is extremely high. Yes, I still like it all the same. The Blue Jays are among the league leaders in runs scored. The Bronx Bombers, on the other hand, have been surprisingly lackluster this season on offense. However, they have shown signs of breaking out, as the over has hit or pushed in seven of the last nine games. Meanwhile, as the bats have come alive, the pitching has floundered. After posting sub-3.50 ERAs in the months of April and May, the Yankees have a team ERA of over 5.00 in June. Michael King has yet to prove he has the chops to stick in the starting rotation. After Gerrit Cole's start yesterday, the Blue Jays batters should be poised for a breakout.
Swing for the Fences Bonus Player Prop: Aaron Judge is 3-for-8 with two home runs in his career versus Toronto starter T.J. Zeuch. Judge hasn't hit a home run in five games. He is +240 to hit a dinger. He's due.
Swing for the Fences Double Bonus Player Prop: Who doesn't love home run props? Toronto's Marcus Semien has three home runs in his last five contests, is tied for fifth in the Majors in homers, and has better odds than Judge at +360. That should definitely pique some interest.
