This article is part of our NBA Picks series.
Pistons at Nuggets under 222.5 points
BetMGM, 1:54 PM CT
Alex Barutha: Both of these teams are missing key offensive hubs. The Nuggets are down Nikola Jokic and Jamal Murray, and the Pistons are down Cade Cunningham and Saddiq Bey. There's a chance this game could get really sloppy, and you're putting a lot of trust in fringe rotation players to help these teams combine for 223. This game being played in Denver could also slow things down, given the altitude.
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Sacramento Kings -1.0 at Memphis Grizzlies
DraftKings Sportsbook, noon CT
Nick Whalen: I can't believe we've reached this point already, but I'm backing the Kings – on the road, no less – in Memphis tonight. Sacramento is the No. 1 team in the NBA against the spread this season (11-4 ATS) while Memphis is just 6-10-1. The Kings are 5-1 ATS on the road and have won six straight – all by at least six points. Memphis might get Ja Morant back tonight, but I'm not sure that will ultimately matter. I also like the O234.5.
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OVER on De'Anthony Melton scoring 15.5 points (-125)
FanDuel, 1PM ET
Ken Crites: Very interesting game tonight with Nets and Ben Simmons playing in Philly. I wish we could wager on the Ben Hate. Alas, I'll take Melton to score well with a Sixers team missing Embiid, Harden and Maxey. With Claxton probably out, Simmons will play at center, meaning Melton will face lots of defensively-challenged minutes from Kyrie Irving. Melton and Tobias Harris must score for Philly to have a chance. Melton is coming off a 19 point effort versus Minnesota. I have faith.
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OVER on John Konchar scoring 10.5 points (-115)
FanDuel, 1PM ET
Ken Crites: Desmond Bane and Ja Morant (QUE) are probably out for Memphis, which means Konchar and Tyus Jones will move into the starting lineup. Jones is a very good pass-first point guard. Expect lots of open three-point shots for Konchar. Unlike Dillon Brooks, Konchar shoots with efficiency and will only need a handful of attempts to clear 11 points. Plus the O/U is an appealing 234.5. The Kings will push the pace.
