ADP Analysis: Tracking Changes from May to June on Underdog, DraftKings and Drafters

ADP Analysis: Tracking Changes from May to June on Underdog, DraftKings and Drafters

This article is part of our ADP Analysis series.

After looking at ADP differences between the three biggest best-ball sites earlier this week, it's now time to see how ADPs have changed over time on each site since May. Below you'll find a large table that shows ADPs from May 11, ADPs from mid-to-late June and then the difference between those two numbers on each of three platforms (Underdog, Drafters, DraftKings). 

The first column after player names and positions shows the average ADP change across all three sites. The table is sorted by current ADP on Underdog but can be re-sorted by any of the columns by simply clicking on them.

If you scroll past the table, I'll discuss the key trends we're seeing at each stage of fantasy drafts and in some cases explain how news blurbs, rumors or transactions have impacted ADPs for some of the big movers.

PlayerPosAVGΔUD 5/12UD 6/20UDΔDK 5/12DK 6/20DKΔDR 5/12DR 6/20DRΔ
1Justin JeffersonWR0.071.21.10.11.31.20.11.11.10
2Ja'Marr ChaseWR0.272.22.10.12.92.30.62.22.10.1
3Tyreek HillWR0.914.63.90.76.05.40.66.14.71.4
4Christian McCaffreyRB-0.853.24.2-1.02.43.3-1.033.6-0.6
5Cooper KuppWR0.635.44.60.85.45.20.254.10.9
6Travis KelceTE-0.725.86.4-0.64.64.9-0.34.76-1.3
7Stefon DiggsWR0.268.37.7

After looking at ADP differences between the three biggest best-ball sites earlier this week, it's now time to see how ADPs have changed over time on each site since May. Below you'll find a large table that shows ADPs from May 11, ADPs from mid-to-late June and then the difference between those two numbers on each of three platforms (Underdog, Drafters, DraftKings). 

The first column after player names and positions shows the average ADP change across all three sites. The table is sorted by current ADP on Underdog but can be re-sorted by any of the columns by simply clicking on them.

If you scroll past the table, I'll discuss the key trends we're seeing at each stage of fantasy drafts and in some cases explain how news blurbs, rumors or transactions have impacted ADPs for some of the big movers.

PlayerPosAVGΔUD 5/12UD 6/20UDΔDK 5/12DK 6/20DKΔDR 5/12DR 6/20DRΔ
1Justin JeffersonWR0.071.21.10.11.31.20.11.11.10
2Ja'Marr ChaseWR0.272.22.10.12.92.30.62.22.10.1
3Tyreek HillWR0.914.63.90.76.05.40.66.14.71.4
4Christian McCaffreyRB-0.853.24.2-1.02.43.3-1.033.6-0.6
5Cooper KuppWR0.635.44.60.85.45.20.254.10.9
6Travis KelceTE-0.725.86.4-0.64.64.9-0.34.76-1.3
7Stefon DiggsWR0.268.37.70.68.58.50.08.48.20.2
8A.J. BrownWR0.699.18.50.610.49.21.2109.70.3
9Austin EkelerRB2.0711.58.92.69.17.31.89.17.31.8
10Bijan RobinsonRB-2.747.19.6-2.57.510.6-3.06.99.6-2.7
11CeeDee LambWR2.5312.210.71.514.411.33.113.910.93
12Garrett WilsonWR2.731412.71.318.314.14.315.6132.6
13Davante AdamsWR-2.2110.613.6-3.012.613.7-1.01113.6-2.6
14Amon-Ra St. BrownWR1.9415.214.01.216.212.33.812.912.10.8
15Jaylen WaddleWR3.3418.516.02.522.017.34.718.315.52.8
16Jonathan TaylorRB-5.1013.216.4-3.212.019.5-7.513.317.9-4.6
17Nick ChubbRB5.0821.517.14.423.419.83.625.2187.2
18Saquon BarkleyRB-1.4416.218.1-1.915.216.3-1.115.416.7-1.3
19Chris OlaveWR3.6021.819.32.526.922.74.223.719.64.1
20DeVonta SmithWR2.6124.221.03.227.424.72.720.718.81.9
21Patrick MahomesQB-2.401921.2-2.218.118.9-0.82024.2-4.2
22Tony PollardRB-0.962322.20.820.623.8-3.221.221.7-0.5
23Tee HigginsWR2.3424.522.71.829.225.53.723.321.81.5
24Jalen HurtsQB-5.1919.424.5-5.113.416.9-3.516.723.7-7
25Derrick HenryRB0.1526.725.31.420.221.3-1.127.427.20.2
26Rhamondre StevensonRB2.6830.126.73.430.328.51.827.724.92.8
27Josh AllenQB-7.1418.627.2-8.617.422.1-4.720.728.8-8.1
28Josh JacobsRB-1.7927.728.1-0.424.927.8-2.924.826.9-2.1
29DK MetcalfWR2.2129.528.51.033.830.13.629.527.52
30Mark AndrewsTE1.6732.230.12.132.129.72.430.930.40.5
31Breece HallRB-2.6228.830.9-2.128.532.9-4.429.731.1-1.4
32Calvin RidleyWR6.3035.631.93.739.032.36.739.631.18.5
33Deebo SamuelWR-0.3934.334.30.036.835.61.233.335.7-2.4
34Lamar JacksonQB-3.6130.734.4-3.727.633.5-5.933.234.4-1.2
35Amari CooperWR2.6237.234.52.742.838.54.437.536.70.8
36Najee HarrisRB1.2038.736.81.938.339.0-0.740.738.32.4
37Keenan AllenWR11.0248.737.311.445.034.011.041.831.110.7
38Christian WatsonWR4.2843.339.34.052.846.76.044.541.72.8
39DeAndre HopkinsWR2.7343.840.03.841.642.0-0.441.136.34.8
40Travis EtienneRB-7.153440.4-6.432.937.8-5.035.245.3-10.1
41Jahmyr GibbsRB-1.9737.240.7-3.535.836.4-0.635.337.1-1.8
42Jerry JeudyWR8.5147.141.55.654.241.612.546.839.47.4
43Drake LondonWR4.7747.543.83.758.553.45.149.143.65.5
44Mike WilliamsWR0.7342.844.8-2.051.748.43.347.9470.9
45Terry McLaurinWR5.4450.245.34.956.251.05.250.744.56.2
46Joe BurrowQB-5.6841.245.5-4.331.440.2-8.842.846.7-3.9
47DJ MooreWR-5.0540.947.6-6.746.050.3-4.443.147.2-4.1
48Justin FieldsQB-12.2136.347.7-11.435.444.8-9.434.149.9-15.8
49Christian KirkWR4.4251.948.63.348.043.64.447.541.95.6
50T.J. HockensonTE-4.9446.950.8-3.941.947.2-5.243.349-5.7
51Kenneth WalkerRB-8.714651.6-5.643.349.3-5.941.556.1-14.6
52Joe MixonRB10.3664.552.112.451.545.56.163.751.112.6
53Aaron JonesRB0.0855.353.61.748.851.7-3.054.753.21.5
54Justin HerbertQB-3.4050.554.5-4.048.254.0-5.855.756.1-0.4
55Brandon AiyukWR7.4063.154.68.570.163.76.465.157.87.3
56Chris GodwinWR4.0759.255.73.563.457.85.654.551.43.1
57J.K. DobbinsRB0.8958.357.01.362.359.82.557.858.9-1.1
58Michael PittmanWR-6.3854.759.3-4.661.467.8-6.452.760.9-8.2
59George KittleTE-6.8054.160.0-5.947.156.0-8.956.562.1-5.6
60Marquise BrownWR16.6276.161.115.082.660.622.067.95512.9
61Miles SandersRB-3.9956.561.5-5.059.463.2-3.861.764.9-3.2
62Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR-5.0757.161.7-4.673.075.1-2.158.867.3-8.5
63Tyler LockettWR4.006864.04.073.265.87.462.962.30.6
64Alexander MattisonRB45.23102.965.337.6109.052.756.310361.241.8
65Diontae JohnsonWR16.5178.965.613.385.667.917.773.154.618.5
66Dameon PierceRB-3.9061.466.2-4.860.866.1-5.370.171.7-1.6
67Trevor LawrenceQB-7.9460.467.4-7.057.363.3-6.055.266-10.8
68Mike EvansWR-2.3667.567.7-0.269.371.1-1.860.165.2-5.1
69Kyle PittsTE-4.8663.668.2-4.664.773.4-8.766.968.2-1.3
70Treylon BurksWR8.9777.270.17.188.978.210.77565.99.1
71Jordan AddisonWR1.5671.370.60.777.875.52.377.575.81.7
72Kadarius ToneyWR3.2273.672.31.372.365.17.271.470.21.2
73Dallas GoedertTE-6.0167.172.8-5.765.068.5-3.56472.8-8.8
74Cam AkersRB3.2074.772.81.972.567.74.775.972.93
75George PickensWR-3.0270.774.6-3.974.977.7-2.771.373.7-2.4
76Jahan DotsonWR10.8384.575.49.195.684.411.283.871.612.2
77D'Andre SwiftRB-7.8968.877.3-8.555.361.8-6.569.578.2-8.7
78Gabe DavisWR2.4680.578.22.380.679.01.679.776.23.5
79Dalvin CookRB-20.0563.479.9-16.551.574.7-23.166.887.3-20.5
80Quentin JohnstonWR8.0586.681.45.299.789.310.38980.48.6
81Darren WallerTE-4.7276.881.9-5.170.877.4-6.578.280.7-2.5
82Isiah PachecoRB-13.1770.682.0-11.465.781.3-15.677.990.4-12.5
83Deshaun WatsonQB-1.9481.982.7-0.880.484.0-3.678.479.8-1.4
84Brandin CooksWR2.3283.483.30.189.784.45.48381.51.5
85Rachaad WhiteRB-6.7377.284.8-7.673.682.8-9.280.684-3.4
86David MontgomeryRB-5.7186.785.51.284.387.3-2.969.685-15.4
87Elijah MooreWR22.3610687.218.8123.395.028.3107.887.820
88James ConnerRB-1.8782.987.6-4.776.777.2-0.583.884.2-0.4
89Rashod BatemanWR13.55100.487.712.7114.9101.713.2100.78614.7
90Zay FlowersWR1.1990.490.20.2102.0102.5-0.594.790.83.9
91Michael ThomasWR0.5693.792.61.194.193.11.093.393.7-0.4
92Courtland SuttonWR3.0095.293.71.599.493.75.790.388.51.8
93Javonte WilliamsRB0.2191.993.8-1.992.896.1-3.4103.897.95.9
94Evan EngramTE-5.7689.495.2-5.880.887.9-7.188.793.1-4.4
95Jameson WilliamsWR2.08100.396.63.7114.2110.73.5104.3105.2-0.9
96James CookRB-4.2193.297.1-3.992.596.5-4.090.395-4.7
97Tua TagovailoaQB-3.3792.797.5-4.889.290.7-1.594.798.5-3.8
98Anthony RichardsonQB-10.1084.197.5-13.488.0101.1-13.188.492.2-3.8
99Alvin KamaraRB-8.8097.5100.3-2.877.386.8-9.5100114.1-14.1
100Dak PrescottQB-9.3389.2100.7-11.582.989.4-6.58797-10
101Zach CharbonnetRB-6.72100.3102.1-1.8105.3112.9-7.693.9104.6-10.7
102David NjokuTE-1.27103.1102.70.4105.1104.11.098103.2-5.2
103AJ DillonRB6.30106103.32.7106.3106.10.2115.699.616
104JuJu Smith-SchusterWR0.92109105.33.7112.7118.2-5.6108.2103.64.6
105Pat FreiermuthTE0.61109.7105.83.9112.1112.10.0106.8108.9-2.1
106Samaje PerineRB5.56115.8106.79.1113.2105.08.2103.4104-0.6
107Tyler BoydWR8.64119106.912.1121.1118.72.4122.7111.311.4
108Antonio GibsonRB24.13129.1107.122.0134.2107.926.3125.5101.424.1
109Allen LazardWR2.55113109.53.5102.9107.4-4.5116.1107.48.7
110Brian RobinsonRB-3.96106.7109.9-3.296.6102.3-5.7112.6115.6-3
111Kirk CousinsQB-5.5899.5110.5-11.098.998.20.797.4103.8-6.4
112Odell BeckhamWR-6.27106111.4-5.487.296.0-8.8104.4109-4.6
113Daniel JonesQB-13.0299112.9-13.997.6107.4-9.892.3107.7-15.4
114Geno SmithQB-0.17110114.3-4.3108.1108.2-0.1116.2112.33.9
115Rashaad PennyRB-6.31113.8114.9-1.1119.6122.9-3.3101.5116-14.5
116Damien HarrisRB-0.10116.8115.71.1125.5126.3-0.8110.5111.1-0.6
117Devon AchaneRB-7.77110.5118.1-7.6107.4118.1-10.7111.8116.8-5
118Zay JonesWR3.06126.2119.07.2119.1116.03.1121.1122.2-1.1
119Skyy MooreWR4.14125.6119.16.5139.4139.20.2127.9122.25.7
120Aaron RodgersQB-15.33106.6120.1-13.591.9111.3-19.5107.9120.9-13
121Jakobi MeyersWR-1.58117.4120.6-3.2128.2127.70.6114.6116.7-2.1
122Khalil HerbertRB-6.69120.2122.3-2.1118.7124.9-6.2114.8126.6-11.8
123Elijah MitchellRB4.37127.1123.04.1131.7129.42.3130.1123.46.7
124Darnell MooneyWR-7.08123124.9-1.9134.2144.4-10.2129.1138.3-9.2
125Dalton KincaidTE-11.31115126.0-11.0110.0120.2-10.2121133.7-12.7
126Jamaal WilliamsRB-2.03124.8126.6-1.8121.3120.80.5125.1129.9-4.8
127Jerick McKinnonRB8.58135.1128.07.1124.9116.78.1138.9128.410.5
128Jared GoffQB-7.03121.4128.5-7.1113.3115.2-1.9113.6125.7-12.1
129Michael GallupWR23.44150.9129.121.8160.0140.619.4160.113129.1
130Chigoziem OkonkwoTE0.13132.4129.23.2131.6131.60.0130.8133.6-2.8
131Romeo DoubsWR20.73145.3130.814.5154.5132.022.5155.1129.925.2
132Rondale MooreWR43.68173.1131.941.2172.7123.049.6157.8117.640.2
133Russell WilsonQB-1.56128.3132.1-3.8124.0122.71.2125.4127.5-2.1
134Jonathan MingoWR-1.25131.2134.8-3.6147.8147.50.3145.6146.1-0.5
135Nico CollinsWR17.45147.1135.711.4164.1140.823.3144.612717.6
136Dalton SchultzTE-11.84126.8136.5-9.7104.3125.1-20.7120125.1-5.1
137Rashee RiceWR1.04132.2137.1-4.9134.5135.8-1.3135125.79.3
138Kendre MillerRB3.40135.1137.3-2.2149.2149.8-0.6150.2137.213
139Greg DulcichTE7.20146.2139.17.1144.0137.46.6152.3144.47.9
140Adam ThielenWR-4.16134.5139.5-5.0129.8132.3-2.5137.7142.7-5
141Jaylen WarrenRB12.78156.7139.916.8168.1145.922.2137.3138-0.7
142Tank BigsbyRB30.90171.8141.730.1181.1150.830.3171.4139.132.3
143Cole KmetTE-11.29133.9144.6-10.7127.1138.8-11.8138.2149.6-11.4
144Alec PierceWR-1.11143.5145.5-2.0162.8168.5-5.7152.8148.44.4
145Derek CarrQB-3.46141.6145.6-4.0133.0133.3-0.3138.7144.8-6.1
146Van JeffersonWR30.93180.8146.534.3187.6158.828.8179149.329.7
147Roschon JohnsonRB-6.65139.4148.4-9.0156.8165.9-9.2149.1150.9-1.8
148Tyler HigbeeTE4.96155.2148.86.4144.9140.44.51461424
149K.J. OsbornWR-4.80144.4149.9-5.5136.4136.20.2127.2136.3-9.1
150Irv SmithTE5.92161.2151.110.1160.8155.45.5155.4153.22.2
151Tyler AllgeierRB-7.72150.7151.8-1.1146.1151.4-5.4138.3155-16.7
152Jordan LoveQB-5.01143.3154.0-10.7137.7144.6-6.9150.1147.52.6
153DJ CharkWR-7.24149.4154.2-4.8151.1163.5-12.3143.3147.9-4.6
154Devin SingletaryRB10.10164.4154.310.1166.9163.13.8168.415216.4
155Marquez Valdes-ScantlingWR1.88156.7156.20.5155.1152.92.2163.7160.82.9
156Matthew StaffordQB-1.26160156.33.7149.3149.7-0.4147.4154.5-7.1
157Gerald EverettTE13.14171.4157.613.8165.7153.012.7172.8159.912.9
158Jerome FordRB43.83206.5160.346.2217.5168.149.4200.3164.435.9
159Jayden ReedWR21.47179.7160.319.4194.6178.116.5187.1158.628.5
160Tyquan ThorntonWR25.05187.3161.126.2202.3178.823.6186.6161.225.4
161Donovan Peoples-JonesWR-12.05152.2162.5-10.3154.4160.4-6.1136.4156.2-19.8
162Marvin MimsWR11.97175.9164.111.8190.5177.812.7177.5166.111.4
163Rashid ShaheedWR3.12160.5164.6-4.1188.3175.512.8168.5167.90.6
164Juwan JohnsonTE-6.32148.5164.7-16.2164.1166.0-2.0168.6169.4-0.8
165Jalin HyattWR-28.71137.8165.3-27.5144.6169.0-24.3142.3176.6-34.3
166Sam LaPortaTE16.74174.5166.58.0166.0149.616.3182.5156.625.9
167Raheem MostertRB-9.72154.5166.6-12.1148.2159.8-11.7163.9169.3-5.4
168D'Onta ForemanRB-12.08154167.7-13.7138.3144.0-5.7150.1166.9-16.8
169Kyler MurrayQB-36.67132.5168.4-35.9117.7149.4-31.7134.1176.5-42.4
170Kenny PickettQB2.99172.8170.12.7159.4155.93.5162.4159.62.8
171Taysom HillTE-11.94164.6171.4-6.8151.4167.5-16.1172184.9-12.9
172Curtis SamuelWR11.19175.6171.73.9183.1171.311.9188.817117.8
173Tyjae SpearsRB5.90184173.310.7194.1180.014.1168.1175.2-7.1
174Ezekiel ElliottRB-10.93160.3174.0-13.7158.8175.9-17.1180.9182.9-2
175John MetchieWR5.36190.3175.215.1169.9184.3-14.3195.7180.415.3
176Bryce YoungQB-21.88156.8177.6-20.8143.0160.3-17.4146.5174-27.5
177Dawson KnoxTE-23.82163178.0-15.0145.0173.3-28.4148176.1-28.1
178Wan'Dale RobinsonWR-14.10165.5178.7-13.2181.7196.6-14.9176.1190.3-14.2
179Isaiah HodginsWR3.75184179.54.5160.5153.96.6158.8158.70.1
180Chuba HubbardRB13.18189.5181.48.1197.5185.612.0182.8163.319.5
181Kenneth GainwellRB-3.20189.9183.06.9182.1181.50.6154171.1-17.1
182Jeff WilsonRB-16.30170.1184.2-14.1170.3182.0-11.7160.5183.6-23.1
183Brock PurdyQB9.22197.7185.112.6174.9173.01.9195.5182.313.2
184Hunter RenfrowWR-7.49178.4185.3-6.9174.2182.6-8.4170.1177.3-7.2
185Tyler ConklinTE8.37200.5186.214.3200.3192.67.7197.3194.23.1
186Chase BrownRB-17.16165.8187.8-22.0176.3188.8-12.6174.1191-16.9
187Mike GesickiTE-0.78191.2188.32.9182.9185.0-2.1180.1183.3-3.2
188C.J. StroudQB-13.69181188.8-7.8155.2171.6-16.5165181.8-16.8
189Khalil ShakirWR-1.60182.9188.9-6.0204.3202.71.6185.5185.9-0.4
190Gus EdwardsRB16.80202189.312.7204.9191.613.3213.7189.324.4
191Ty ChandlerRB34.41216191.424.6230.0194.135.9230187.342.7
192Chase ClaypoolWR3.05196.3195.40.9194.6200.9-6.3203.3188.814.5
193Leonard FournetteRB-7.46190197.3-7.3188.9199.5-10.7191.1195.5-4.4
194Sam HowellQB12.63203197.45.6199.0182.116.9200.6185.215.4
195Trey LanceQB-24.58166.3198.2-31.9184.7200.6-15.9184.1210-25.9
196Josh DownsWR-27.24166.6198.2-31.6183.9210.9-27.0179.6202.7-23.1
197Hayden HurstTE-5.44194198.7-4.7191.3195.4-4.1197.6205.1-7.5
198Mecole HardmanWR-15.43187.2201.3-14.1177.8202.7-24.9197.8205.1-7.3
199Parris CampbellWR9.35208.6201.86.8227.1213.213.8216.8209.47.4
200Darius SlaytonWR11.43211.8202.39.5217.3211.65.7213.2194.119.1
201Michael MayerTE-30.08172.6203.1-30.5155.6186.6-31.1181.7210.4-28.7
202Mac JonesQB6.00208.5203.55.0193.2186.96.3200.3193.66.7
203Trey McBrideTE-2.35203.5203.6-0.1218.0218.2-0.3194.3201-6.7
204Robert WoodsWR4.16205.8204.41.4207.3208.3-1.0208.5196.412.1
205Kareem HuntRB-10.89197204.7-7.7197.7210.1-12.4194206.6-12.6
206Luke MusgraveTE5.50213.7204.98.8216.1205.510.5215.5218.3-2.8
207Tim PatrickWR-0.36206.8205.11.7216.9222.6-5.7214.8211.92.9
208Desmond RidderQB-3.91201.3206.9-5.6196.9201.2-4.3202203.8-1.8
209Pierre StrongRB16.18216207.09.0230.0214.615.4230205.924.1
210Isaiah LikelyTE0.10207.3207.4-0.1206.7205.41.3216216.9-0.9
211Nathaniel DellWR0.20204.3208.1-3.8214.2219.3-5.1220.2210.79.5
212Clyde Edwards-HelaireRB10.35214.4208.26.2215.4208.76.7223.3205.118.2
213Marvin JonesWR4.65211209.41.6219.2215.53.6228.3219.68.7
214Terrace MarshallWR8.52216209.56.5230.0225.54.5230215.414.6
215Jake FergusonTE-2.81209.9209.80.1206.2211.8-5.6212214.9-2.9
216Cordarrelle PattersonRB0.81214.2210.43.8189.7202.7-13.0224.621311.6
217Noah FantTE-1.58211.1211.2-0.1212.9215.7-2.8216.3218.1-1.8
218Jimmy GaroppoloQB-32.99183.6211.7-28.1164.4200.7-36.3179.9214.5-34.6
219Jelani WoodsTE-5.12210.2211.9-1.7220.2223.5-3.3213.1223.5-10.4
220Puka NacuaWR3.65216212.13.9230.0227.92.1230225.14.9
221Joshua PalmerWR-8.72202.1212.2-10.1207.0206.60.4188.7205.1-16.4
222Justyn RossWR2.54214.8212.32.5224.8222.72.1229.7226.73
223DeWayne McBrideRB6.29216212.93.1230.0223.16.9230221.18.9
224Hunter HenryTE2.48214.5212.91.6223.9221.62.3228.1224.53.6
225Israel AbanikandaRB-12.24211.7213.4-1.7219.7223.9-4.2185.8216.6-30.8
226Michael WilsonWR2.23215.7213.42.3228.0227.50.5230226.13.9
227Richie JamesWR5.48212.2213.7-1.5206.6195.011.6208.7202.46.3
228Zach EvansRB-6.12202.5213.8-11.3220.5224.7-4.3202.9205.7-2.8
229Zamir WhiteRB-0.79215.2214.01.2227.0228.2-1.2225.6228-2.4
230Corey DavisWR-0.04214214.1-0.1223.7225.1-1.3228.6227.31.3
231Allen RobinsonWR-5.68212.9214.1-1.2212.5221.8-9.3224.3230.8-6.5
232Michael CarterRB-6.81210.9214.1-3.2212.6220.8-8.1219.6228.7-9.1
233Baker MayfieldQB-3.36212.8214.5-1.7206.5214.9-8.4220.7220.70
234Deuce VaughnRB-12.47207.3214.6-7.3194.6211.4-16.8213.8227.1-13.3
235Ryan TannehillQB1.67214.6214.8-0.2219.5219.30.2223.5218.55
236Logan ThomasTE0.89215.8214.90.9229.4227.22.2229.7230.1-0.4
237Joshua KelleyRB0.57215.1215.00.1228.7226.12.6221222-1
238Cade OttonTE0.45215215.00.0227.7226.51.1226.8226.60.2
239Zach ErtzTE-11.94212.5215.0-2.5186.0214.5-28.4224.6229.5-4.9
240Malik DavisRB1.28215.7215.10.6227.2226.30.8227.2224.82.4
241Greg DortchWR10.98215.9215.10.8227.3204.822.5225215.49.6
242Quez WatkinsWR-0.76215.3215.20.1228.4228.20.2230232.6-2.6
243Cedric TillmanWR-10.18211.5215.2-3.7223.6227.0-3.5206.1229.5-23.4
244Tutu AtwellWR0.13216215.20.8230.0230.00.0230230.4-0.4
245DeVante ParkerWR-2.55214.8215.3-0.5223.2223.8-0.7213.3219.8-6.5
246Mack HollinsWR-1.37215.5215.30.2227.4227.5-0.1224.7228.9-4.2
247Kyren WilliamsRB-0.74215.7215.40.3228.6228.8-0.2230232.3-2.3
248Josh ReynoldsWR-3.66215.8215.40.4228.2229.2-1.0221.3231.7-10.4
249Keaontay IngramRB0.01215.3215.6-0.3229.4227.91.4230231.1-1.1
250Deonte HartyWR-0.70216215.60.4230.0230.00.0230232.5-2.5

      

Early Round 1 - Hill and Kupp Moving Up at Expense of Kelce and McCaffrey

This trend holds across all three sites, though Underdog is the only one where Tyreek Hill has actually moved ahead of Christian McCaffrey for the No. 3 ADP spot. Travis Kelce has also dropped to accommodate his former teammate's rise (plus Cooper Kupp's), now sitting fifth or sixth on each site. The tight end is still comfortably in the Top 6, well ahead of Stefon Diggs, Austin Ekeler, et al.

Note: Hill may soon drop back toward the middle of the first round, with news emerging Tuesday (6/20) that he's under investigation for allegations of assault.

    

Late Round 1 - Bijan/Ekeler Flip-Flop + Davante Dropping

Bijan Robinson has sunk from mid-first round to late first on all three sites, with Austin Ekeler making the opposite move after agreeing to a slightly altered contract with the Chargers a few weeks back. After that, more and more people are opting for CeeDee Lamb or Garrett Wilson rather than Davante Adams, who has fallen an average of more than two spots since a late-May report revealed that Jimmy Garoppolo is recovering from spring foot surgery and can be released later this summer if unable to pass a physical.

Most coverage since then suggests Garoppolo will pass the physical and be ready for Week 1, but I can't really argue with the ADP trend given that my own doubts about the Raiders offense predate news of the QB's surgery. I put Adams at No. 12 in RotoWire's recent Top-150 roundtable (Full PPR)... the same place I had him for the May edition. And that actually makes me the most optimistic of the RW crew, with all the others ranking Adams later than he's being drafted on best ball sites.

     

Round 2 - JT Sinking, Chubb Swimming, Barkley Staying Afloat

Five weeks ago, Jonathan Taylor was at least 5.0 ADP spots ahead of Jaylen Waddle on all three sites. Nowadays, Miami's No. 2 WR is going ahead of Taylor on all three sites, also leapfrogging Saquon Barkley and Patrick Mahomes in the process.

Nick Chubb has moved up even more than Waddle, making it a tight, three-way race with Barkley and Taylor for RB4 status (behind McCaffrey, Ekeler and Robinson). It's possible Chubb continues rising if the Browns continue to not sign an experienced backup and plunge ahead with second-year pro Jerome Ford as the second guy on the depth chart.

Taylor's fall is related to his absence from spring practices, but to me it just seems like a buy-low opportunity given that his offseason surgery wasn't especially serious and there hasn't been any report of a setback. It's even fair to wonder if Taylor might've practiced this spring had he not been entering a contract year without an extension

Of course, some drafters might also be weighing risk for a holdout... there hasn't been much smoke there so far but it can't be ruled out right now. It's certainly interesting that Taylor has dropped much more than Barkley, who hasn't signed his franchise tag and thus seems like more of a concern so far as the contracts go.

Waddle's rise is less easily explained and perhaps related to general optimism about the Dolphins / the necessity of somebody moving up if Taylor, Barkley, Adams, Mahomes, Jalen Hurts and Josh Allen are moving down.

    

Rounds 3/4 - QBs Falling, WRs Rising

It isn't just Mahomes (-2.4), Hurts (-5.2) and Allen (-7.1) that have lost ground in the ADP race. Lamar Jackson (-3.6), Joe Burrow (-5.6) and Justin Fields (-12.2) have also tanked, with the latter two now available in Round 5 sometimes. Travis Etienne (-7.2) and DJ Moore (-5.1) are the other big losers in this range, while WRs Calvin Ridley (+6.3), Keenan Allen (+11.0) and Jerry Jeudy (+8.5) are surging. 

The trends hold across all three sites, albeit with WRs gaining relatively less ground on Underdog (where they already were going much earlier than on DraftKings). The extent of Allen's rise — and consistency of it across three sites — is beyond my understanding. At first I thought there was some kind of mistake, but after digging for a bit I can't find anything.

Note: Etienne was one of my favorite Round 3 picks, and I love the buy-low opportunity in Round 4 now thanks to Jags rookie Tank Bigsby getting some hype. 

     

Rounds 5-7 - TEs Drop, Mattison Settles

T.J. Hockenson (-4.9), George Kittle (-6.8), Kyle Pitts (-4.9) and Dallas Goedert (-6.0) have all dropped on each of the three sites since mid-May, with the extent generally largest on DraftKings where they'd previously been going earlier than on the other two sites. The TE ADPs are now fairly similar across all three sites, for what it's worth, though I did find some noteworthy exceptions in the cross-site ADP comparison article published right before this one.

Other headlines in this range include Kenneth Walker (-8.7) and Michael Pittman (-6.4) losing significant ground, while Alexander Mattison (+45.2) and Marquise Brown (+16.6) torpedoed up draft boards after Dalvin Cook and DeAndre Hopkins were released. Joe Mixon (+10.4) also benefitted from the recent news cycle, though in his case it's more speculation-based and a new price near the 4/5 turn seems rich.

What I can't explain is Diontae Johnson (+16.5) moving up by more than a round on each of the three sites. It's the same deal with Allen where I checked for errors but can't find any; maybe people were just too low on these guys before? Whatever the case, I liked Johnson and Allen at the old prices — especially Allen — but not the new ones. 

The other big ADP movers in this range are WR Treylon Burks (+9.0), WR Jahan Dotson (+10.8), WR Quentin Johnston (+8.1), RB Dalvin Cook (-20.1), RB Isiah Pacheco (-13.2) and RB D'Andre Swift (-7.8). The trend of WRs moving up at the expense of QB/RB/TEs clearly holds here, and we'll note that it's especially strong on DraftKings where the May results showed an absurd amount of value at WR relative to UD and Drafters. There's still a huge gap there, but continued convergence seems likely, especially if anyone is actually reading these articles :).

    

Rounds 8-10 - Elijah Enters, Bateman Blows Up, Gibson Gaining

There are six players in this range (picks 85-120) whose ADPs shifted by double digits. Elijah Moore (+22.4) and Antonio Gibson (+24.1) lead the way, with Rashod Bateman (+13.5) also gaining and a trio of QBs falling -- Anthony Richardson (-10.1), Daniel Jones (-13.0), Aaron Rodgers (-15.3).

It feels like a bit too much steam for Gibson/Bateman/Moore on account of vaguely positive reports or strong showings in unpadded practices... especially given that Moore's impressive work comes within the context of Cleveland reportedly having interest in free-agent wideout DeAndre Hopkins. The other side of the argument, of course, is that Round 8 is still relatively cheap for a player with Moore's talent. Maybe that's just where he should've been before...

Another key development here is Tua Tagovailoa (-3.4) and Geno Smith (-0.2) falling by only a little while all the other QBs in this ADP range dropped at least a handful of spots, typically more. Note that Hill, Waddle, Tyler Lockett (+4.0) and DK Metcalf (+2.2) all gained position as well.

On the other hand, both of Seattle's RBs dropped further from slots where I'd already thought they were good picks. If you had any doubt before, the new prices should be enough to sway you into taking on the workload risk with this pair of talented second-round picks. In fantasy terms, Walker now tends to go in the fifth round and Charbonnet in the ninth.

   

Rounds 11-13 - Rondale Rising, Gallup... Galloping

Rondale Moore's surge (+43.7) is primarily a product of Hopkins being released, whereas Michael Gallup (+23.4), Romeo Doubs (+20.7) ,Van Jefferson (+30.9) and Nico Collins (+17.5) seem to have moved based on positive reports coming out of OTs/minicamp. I do think Gallup being much stronger/healthier this year is reasonable, but you lose me if you take Jefferson in the top 150 because the Rams have "nobody else" to throw to. He's one of the "nobodies" there, not a solution to the problem.

RBs Tank Bigsby (+30.9) and Jaylen Warren (+12.8) also got significant ADP bumps on the heels of beat-writer hype from spring practices, which is dubious. Warren was one of my favorite picks before given his relative security as the No. 2 back in Pittsburgh, so there may still be some value there in Round 12. Bigsby at about the same price is much less interesting, though you can make more of an argument for the great unknown on Drafters where winning a tournament requires hitting a number of home runs (whereas on UD and DK you don't necessarily need a super team; just a pretty good one that has a lot of guys healthy and stacked for the playoff rounds).

     

Rounds 14-16 - Ford up Four Rounds, WRs Playing Musical Chairs

Browns RB Jerome Ford has a 14th-round ADP on all three sites, moving up by 3-5 rounds on each. He might even continue rising if the Browns continue to show no interest in adding a veteran RB, though at this point I think we've removed all value and might be ignoring the possibility that Ford is a few bad camp practices away from falling down the depth chart even if there's not much behind him.

This range otherwise displays a lot of movement among young wide receivers, with gainers including Jayden Reed (+21.5), Tyquan Thornton (+25.1) and Marvin Mims (+12.0) while the fallers are led by Jalin Hyatt (-28.7), Wan'Dale Robinson (-14.1) and Donovan Peoples-Jones (-12.1).

The lack of clarity regarding Giants WR snaps this year has led to ADPs converging, which probably should've happened sooner. Parris Campbell (+9.4) and Darius Slayton (+11.4) have made decent gains as end-game picks at the same time their younger teammates have fallen.

Other big movers in the R14-16 range include TE Sam LaPorta (+16.7), RB D'Onta Foreman (-12.1), QB Kyler Murray (-36.7), QB Bryce Young (-21.9), TE Dawson Knox (-23.8), RB Chuba Hubbard (+13.2), RB Jeff Wilson (-16.3), RB Chase Brown (-17.2), QB C.J. Stroud (-13.7), RB Gus Edwards (+16.8) and, of course, Vikings RB Ty Chandler (+34.4).

      

Rounds 17-20 - The Endgame

You may have noticed at this point that even small news bits like a guy having back-to-back strong practices in spring can move ADP by a round or two once we're beyond the top 10 rounds or so. I'll let you explore this one by yourself in the tables above, keeping in mind that Underdog only has 18 rounds while the other sites use 20.

QB Trey Lance (-24.6), WR Josh Downs (-27.2) and TE Michael Mayer (-30.1) are three guys who previously went before this range but have now declined to end-game picks. Among the guys gaining steam, RB Pierre Strong (+16.2) still has room for ADP growth in the coming months following New England's quick waiving of James Robinson.

     

Other Notes

  • RB Devon Achane is going 10th round on all three sites, dropping an average of 7.8 spots with many people (myself included) seemingly worried about Cook joining Miami. I think Cook will end up elsewhere, but Miami is definitely on the board as a possibility so long as he remains unsigned.
  • Downs and Hyatt were going way too early in May, especially on DraftKings. They're two of the six players whose ADPs have dropped by an average of two-plus rounds across the three sites.
  • I'm not sure why everyone is so sour on Kyler Murray all of a sudden? Losing Hopkins hurts, but not by three rounds. It's still more about when Murray will be ready to play and whether or not he adds a lot of rushing stats once he does. It's the second part that concerns me, with history suggesting he'll run much less his first year back even if he's quick to get back on the field and reasonably effective as a passer.

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ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Jerry Donabedian
Jerry was a 2018 finalist for the FSWA's Player Notes Writer of the Year and DFS Writer of the Year awards. A Baltimore native, Jerry roots for the Ravens and watches "The Wire" in his spare time.
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