DFS Monday Night Football Breakdown: Patriots vs. Giants

Get expert DFS analysis for Monday Night Football. Discover top DraftKings & FanDuel picks, lineup strategies and player insights for Patriots vs. Giants.
DFS Monday Night Football Breakdown: Patriots vs. Giants
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This is our Monday Night Football DFS strategy breakdown for Week 13.

Although Week 13's Monday Night Football game safely favors the home-team Patriots (10-2) as they face the battered Giants (2-10), there's still a lot of pressure on New England as they try to keep their grip on the first seed in the AFC standings. Particularly after the Broncos moved to 10-2 after beating the Commanders on Sunday, the Patriots need to treat this game seriously even if the opponent appears overmatched at a glance. The over/under is 46.5 and the Patriots are favored by 6.5 points.

QUARTERBACK

Drake Maye ($11800 DK, $13200 FD) will understandably be widely owned in this slate, because he's the main reason the Patriots are favorites in the first place. Good as the Patriots defense might be, it's Maye's MVP-caliber play at quarterback that has New England in the hunt for the top seed in the conference. Maye will be without his starting left tackle and left guard, which has to be at least a slight concern with Brian Burns and Abdul Carter incoming. Still, Maye has quietly managed a fair amount of pressure all year and it hasn't affected his numbers.

Jaxson Dart ($10000 DK, $12400 FD) might face some difficult conditions on the road against a tough defense, but Dart has played a handful of tough defenses already this year and still posted solid fantasy production, even if primarily due to his rushing production. With seven rushing touchdowns in his last seven games and 10 touchdowns to three interceptions, there's definitely reason to consider Dart on this slate even if you're assuming the Giants get beat thoroughly. Also, Dart's rushing ability makes him a reasonable selection even if you're not picking any of his pass catchers.

RUNNING BACK

TreVeyon Henderson ($8000 DK, $11800 FD) projects well against a Giants run defense that has struggled all year – a defense that has also struggled to defend pass-catching running backs. Henderson's ability to make an explosive impact as both a runner and receiver offers reassurance even if Rhamondre Stevenson ($5000 DK, $7200 FD) sees his playing time increase in his second game back from a toe injury that cost him three weeks. Terrell Jennings played three snaps in Week 12 but might not be assured even that much playing time in this game.

Tyrone Tracy ($7600 DK, $9400 FD) is a tough call against a challenging defense, but at least Tracy has otherwise established himself as the Giants' clear RB1 over Devin Singletary ($4600 DK, $8200 FD), though Singletary has 30 carries in his own right over the last two weeks. Tracy is getting all the pass-catching opportunities, though, and that could be Tracy's ticket to fantasy viability even against a Patriots defense that allows the fewest fantasy points to running backs through 12 games.

WIDE RECEIVER + TIGHT END

Wan'Dale Robinson ($9000 DK, $10600 FD) has convincingly broken out in 2025 to the extent that he's earned the benefit of the doubt even in challenging matchups. At this point it's often true to say that if Robinson isn't producing then no Giants receivers are. Darius Slayton ($6400 DK, $5200 FD) is a good player but one who often gets stuck with the most difficult routes farthest downfield. Slayton's speed could be a problem for Carlton Davis in particular, though the other Patriots corners are more challenging. Isaiah Hodgins ($3600 DK, $4000 FD) is almost suspiciously cheap for a player with 111 snaps and 12 targets in the last two weeks. Tight end Theo Johnson ($5800 DK, $5800 FD) is also plenty affordable with 39 catches and five touchdowns on the year. The Patriots defense has been somewhat kind to tight ends this year, too. Daniel Bellinger ($1600 DK, $1800 FD) gets stuck with blocking work mostly but he has two games with nine or more PPR points in 2025.

Stefon Diggs ($8800 DK, $11400 FD) is the headlining pass catcher for the Patriots and could very well prove a strong pick in this game, especially because Diggs has been highly productive all year. Sometimes the Patriots spread the ball around a bit, though, and when they have the opportunity to rest Diggs they tend to take it, but if the Giants make this game competitive then the Patriots would have more reason to lean on Diggs for the full game. When Diggs gets his breathers the group of Kayshon Boutte ($6800 DK, $6400 FD), Mack Hollins ($6200 DK, $8600 FD) and Hunter Henry ($7400 DK, $7600 FD) are all capable of picking up the slack. Demario Douglas ($4000 DK, $4600 FD) and Austin Hooper ($3400 DK, $2800 FD) are also capable of picking up that slack, though their limited snap counts tends to keep them on the periphery.

KICKER

Andy Borregales ($4800 DK, $6600 FD) has been a very good kicker so far in his rookie year, making 33 of 35 extra points and 19 of 21 field goals. Borregales hasn't demonstrated much range – only three of his field goals occurred from beyond 50 yards – but he made all three of them. With the Patriots safe favorites in this one Borregales' projection is conventionally sound. He has four games this year with double-digit fantasy points.

Younghoe Koo ($4400 DK, $6200 FD) is not as easy to trust. The potential is always there in odd scripts, but it would be an odd script if Koo were one of the higher-scoring players on the slate. Although he's made all four of his field goal attempts with the Giants, none were beyond 50 yards and only one was beyond 40. Koo's accuracy is shaky and his offense isn't guaranteed much here.

DEFENSE/SPECIAL TEAMS

The Giants ($3200 DK, $6000 FD) are probably not an advised start here, though the pass-rushing potential might be raised slightly by the absences of Will Campbell and Jared Wilson on the left side of the offense line. The general projection, though, is a game where New England wins safely and potentially with a decent number of points.

The Patriots ($5400 DK, $6800 FD) defense is projected to have the upper hand in this game, though the fantasy upside isn't necessarily clear. Dart has only thrown three interceptions this year, and the Patriots have only eight interceptions in 12 games.

The author(s) of this article may play in daily fantasy contests including – but not limited to – games that they have provided recommendations or advice on in this article. In the course of playing in these games using their personal accounts, it's possible that they will use players in their lineups or other strategies that differ from the recommendations they have provided above. The recommendations in this article do not necessarily reflect the views of RotoWire. Mario Puig plays in daily fantasy contests using the following accounts: DraftKings: rotwireyasiel, FanDuel: rotowireyasiel, FantasyDraft: rwyasiel, DRAFT: rwyasiel.
ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Mario is a Senior Writer at RotoWire who primarily writes and projects for the NFL and college football sections.
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