DFS Sunday Night Football Breakdown: Steelers vs. Ravens

Get expert DFS analysis for Sunday Night Football. Discover top DraftKings & FanDuel picks, lineup strategies and player insights for Steelers vs. Ravens. The pressure is on Lamar Jackson.
DFS Sunday Night Football Breakdown: Steelers vs. Ravens

This is our Sunday Night Football DFS breakdown for Week 18, running through all the relevant player salaries on DraftKings and FanDuel while forecasting the potential game outcomes as the Baltimore Ravens face the Pittsburgh Steelers in Pittsburgh.

The 2025 season has been a nightmare for the Baltimore Ravens, yet they go into this regular season finale with the chance to win the AFC North with a victory over the home-team Pittsburgh Steelers. Lamar Jackson will play through his back injury, at what percentage health is anyone's guess, but if Jackson is more or less himself it would be a game-changer for a Ravens team that was supposed to be much better than this. Jackson has often struggled against the Steelers in the past, so the pressure will be high for the two-time MVP. 

The over/under is at 42.0 with the Ravens favored by 3.5 points.

QUARTERBACK

Lamar Jackson ($11600 DK, $12600 FD) is arguably the most imposing question of the slate, because if he's healthy he can be the fantasy QB1 league-wide and a total wrecker on single-game slates. Jackson has not been convincingly healthy since September. His history of struggles against Pittsburgh do nothing to ease the concerns. There's also the chance that the Ravens try to keep the game simple by making Derrick Henry the focal point of the offense – a reasonable plan given Henry's abilities and Pittsburgh's uneven run defense.

Aaron Rodgers ($10000 DK, $11600 FD) is not nearly as compelling as Jackson but still might warrant some consideration. Even in his depleted current state Rodgers remains wily and capable of tricks most other quarterbacks can't pull off. The play-to-play look hasn't been great for Rodgers this year, but if he can nail his big-play opportunities Rodgers could get the upset here.

RUNNING BACK

Derrick Henry ($11400 DK, $13200 FD) probably isn't an advised fade in a single-game slate where the Ravens are favored despite Lamar Jackson potentially at less than 100 percent, and the Steelers defense doesn't appear particularly suited to stopping the run. Then again, the Ravens have had a way of stumbling in playoff-like settings and if the Ravens lose this game there's a strong chance Henry's numbers disappointed. Keaton Mitchell ($4000 DK, $3800 FD) is a worthwhile consideration either as a Henry fade or on the same lineup card as Henry. If you pick Mitchell and Henry on the same card it should be under the assumption that the Ravens win convincingly, though, because there probably won't be volume for both if the Ravens fall behind. Though it hasn't resulted in anything useful to this point the Ravens continue to use Rasheen Ali ($2400 DK, $3000 FD) for around 20 passing-down snaps most weeks. Ali is otherwise Baltimore's primary kick returner.

Jaylen Warren ($9000 DK, $10600 FD) and Kenneth Gainwell ($8800 DK, $9600 FD) are both central considerations in a game where the Steelers seem to have a real shot to win yet can probably only do so with big games from both of these running backs. With DK Metcalf suspended the Steelers receiver rotation is memorably weak. Darnell Washington's absence at tight end adds even more to the slack. Solid games from Warren and Gainwell isn't enough to guarantee a win for Pittsburgh, but if you're betting on Pittsburgh to win there's almost no conceivable way without both Warren and Gainwell showing up on the cashing lineup cards.

WIDE RECEIVER + TIGHT END

Zay Flowers ($9200 DK, $11200 FD) is a tough fade in a game where the Ravens at once are projected to win yet have badly lacked complementary pass-catching options all year. That Rashod Bateman is out means DeAndre Hopkins ($2800 DK, $7200 FD) and Devontez Walker ($1200 DK, $1200 FD) are candidates to play 30 or more snaps, making them both interesting bargain considerations at their prices. If vintage Mark Andrews ($6400 DK, $7600 FD) shows up then we all know how he could crash the list of cashing lineups, though it's been a long time since we saw that version of Andrews. Now would certainly be a good time for that guy to reappear, but Isaiah Likely ($4400 DK, $4400 FD) played more snaps than Andrews last week. Charlie Kolar ($600 DK, $1800 FD) is a capable TE3 but only a punt play in that role. 

The Steelers' best pass catcher at the moment might be tight end Pat Freiermuth ($5200 DK, $5800 FD), though Calvin Austin ($3800 DK, $8600 FD) also has a good case. Austin in particular is not easy to fade at his price, and the Steelers clearly need to dial up a couple timely big plays to gain field position quickly for an offense that just doesn't have the means to move the ball in a consistent, straightforward way. Marquez Valdes-Scantling ($3200 DK, $1000 FD) would probably the target on any deep balls that don't go to Austin, and MVS is cheap enough to consider an explosive punt play. Adam Thielen ($5600 DK, $4800 FD) played the most wideout snaps the last two weeks and there's a chance his workload is in some conflict with Austin's, as both players project often in the slot. Jonnu Smith ($4200 DK, $3400 FD) remains heavily involved but not so much from scrimmage – his 4.2 yards per target makes it difficult to provide viable receiving production. Scotty Miller ($3000 DK, $8200 FD) presumably loses the most playing time with Austin's return from injury.

KICKER

Chris Boswell ($5400 DK, $6800 FD) is one of the best kickers in league history and remains one of the league's best in 2025. Boswell is also a central consideration for single-game slate and this one is no exception – Boswell projects for plausible fantasy opportunity regardless of whether Pittsburgh wins.

Tyler Loop ($5000 DK, $6600 FD) has shown well himself this rookie year, though he probably lacks Boswell's exceptional range. Whereas Boswell can rake regardless of whether Pittsburgh wins, Loop's viability might be more sensitively correlated to how well Baltimore does on offense. If the Ravens lose, then there might not be much room in the script for Loop.

DEFENSE/SPECIAL TEAMS

In an outdoor, cold-weather game with a relatively low over/under there's reason to consider either or both defenses in this single-game slate. If Lamar Jackson isn't healthy and if the Ravens consequently glitch on offense then it could give the Steelers ($4600 DK, $6400 FD) some opportunities to create sacks or/and turnovers, though if Jackson is healthy and the Ravens keep Henry hot then the Steelers could find themselves the hunted instead.

The Ravens ($4800 DK, $6200 FD) have fewer excuses than the Steelers defense – the Rodgers offense is profoundly limited and a poor showing by the Baltimore defense would simply be unacceptable – but teams do choke sometimes and if noting else Mike Tomlin teams rarely sleepwalk, especially not in a playoff-like environment against a divison rival.

The author(s) of this article may play in daily fantasy contests including – but not limited to – games that they have provided recommendations or advice on in this article. In the course of playing in these games using their personal accounts, it's possible that they will use players in their lineups or other strategies that differ from the recommendations they have provided above. The recommendations in this article do not necessarily reflect the views of RotoWire. Mario Puig plays in daily fantasy contests using the following accounts: DraftKings: rotwireyasiel, FanDuel: rotowireyasiel, FantasyDraft: rwyasiel, DRAFT: rwyasiel.
ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Mario is a Senior Writer at RotoWire who primarily writes and projects for the NFL and college football sections.
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