As if the Bills and Ravens being on a bye in Week 7 wasn't bad enough, injuries will once again play a huge role this weekend. The wide receiver position is really in flux, with big names like Puka Nacua (ankle) and Garrett Wilson (knee) possibly out. Let's dig into the Sunday FanDuel NFL DFS slate and highlight some of the top players to consider.
The Games
A lot of the focus of NFL DFS picks is on individual players. Skills certainly matter, but finding game environments that are likely to promote a lot of points is a way to narrow the focus of our player pool.
| Over-Under | Road Team | Road Team Total | Home Team | Home Team Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46.5 | Saints | 20.5 | Bears | 26.5 |
| 36.5 | Dolphins | 17.5 | Browns | 19.5 |
| 45.5 | Raiders | 16.5 | Chiefs | 28.5 |
| 43.5 | Eagles | 22.5 | Vikings | 20.5 |
| 41.5 | Panthers | 20.5 | Jets | 20.5 |
| 42.5 | Patriots | 24.5 | Titans | 16.5 |
| 39.5 | Giants | 15.5 | Broncos | 23.5 |
| 48.5 | Colts | 23.5 | Chargers | 24.5 |
| 44.5 | Packers | 25.5 | Cardinals | 18.5 |
| 54.5 | Commanders | 27.5 | Cowboys | 26.5 |
There are two games with a total below 40 points and two over 48; the favorites with the highest totals include the Chiefs, Commanders and Bears.
Value Options
Jordan Addison, MIN vs. PHI ($6,100): Carson Wentz being under center hasn't had a negative impact on Addison, as he caught four of eight targets for 118 yards in Week 4. He followed that up with five receptions for 41 yards and one touchdown in Week 5 despite playing limited snaps for a disciplinary reason. His average depth of target is 11.6 yards and he has averaged 7.4 yards after the catch, while the Eagles are tied for the eighth-most receptions allowed to wide receivers, leaving Addison with the potential to provide value again.
Kareem Hunt, KC vs. LV ($6,100): The Raiders have given up seven rushing touchdowns to running backs, which is tied for the third-most in the league. That's the stat to focus on when it comes to Hunt, who has only has 187 rushing yards this season but has received five carries inside the five-yard line to help him score three rushing touchdowns. The Chiefs' offense will be at full strength with Rashee Rice back from suspension, so they could score early and often, with Hunt possibly receiving more than one red-zone carry again.
Other Value Options
QB Jaxson Dart, NYG at DEN ($7,300)
QB Dillon Gabriel, CLE vs. MIA ($6,500)
RB J.K. Dobbins, DEN vs. NYG ($6,700)
RB Jacory Croskey-Merritt, WAS at DAL ($6,600)
RB Rhamondre Stevenson, NE at TEN ($5,700)
WR Kayshon Boutte, NE at TEN ($5,900)
WR Rashid Shaheed, NO at CHI ($5,700)
WR Luther Burden III, CHI vs. NO ($4,900)
TE Zach Ertz, WAS at DAL ($5,100)
TE Chig Okonkwo, TEN vs. NE ($4,800)
Stacks to Consider
Dallas Cowboys vs. Washington Commanders
Dak Prescott ($8,300) has kept the Cowboys' offense rolling despite CeeDee Lamb ($8,600) being out the last three games with an ankle injury. During that stretch, Prescott threw for 817 yards, 10 touchdowns and no interceptions. Lamb should be back for this game, which would give Prescott a stellar one-two punch with George Pickens ($8,000).
The Commanders have allowed the ninth-most FanDuel points per game to quarterbacks, which makes Prescott even more appealing. The question is, if Lamb is back, is he a better stacking option with Prescott or is Pickens? Pickens has a slightly cheaper salary, but if Lamb indeed gets clearance to return, he's the best option to pair with Prescott. In his two full games this season, he finished with at least seven receptions and 110 receiving yards in both.
Chicago Bears vs. New Orleans Saints
Caleb Williams ($7,900) had seven games last season in which he failed to record a touchdown pass, although that hasn't been an issue this year. The Bears have also asked him to air things out more, increasing his average target depth from 7.6 yards last season to 8.5 yards this year. The main beneficiary of his improved play has been Rome Odunze ($7,800), who has seen his target share increase from 19.0 percent last year to 25.0 percent this season.
The Saints are tied for the second-most passing touchdowns allowed in the league and have surrendered 8.98 yards per target to wide receivers, which is the fifth-highest mark. In what could be an offensive explosion for the Bears at home, the duo of Williams and Odunze comes with plenty of upside.
Other Stacks to Consider
Patriots – Drake Maye ($8,200) + Stefon Diggs ($5,800)
Chargers – Justin Herbert ($7,600) + Ladd McConkey ($7,300)
Broncos – Bo Nix ($7,100) + Courtland Sutton ($7,700)
High-Price Heroes
Jayden Daniels, WAS at DAL ($8,700): This has the potential to be a high-scoring game on both sides, as the Cowboys have given up 30.7 points per game, which ranks behind only the Ravens (32.2). Not only have they allowed the fourth-most rushing yards per game, but they have allowed the most passing yards. Daniels can do damage through the air and with his legs, which was on full display last week when he threw three touchdown passes and ran for 52 yards against the Bears. While he will likely be included in a lot of lineups, he comes with a tremendously high floor.
Josh Jacobs, GB at ARI ($9,200): Jacobs has dealt with an illness this week, but there are no indications that his status is in doubt for this matchup. He comes in with two touchdowns in both of his last two games and has three straight games with at least four receptions and 44 receiving yards. With his average of 22.6 touches per game, he could torch a Cardinals team that has allowed the ninth-most FanDuel points per game to running backs.
The Smash Spot
Quinshon Judkins, CLE vs. MIA ($7,400): Heading into Week 7, the Dolphins have allowed 806 rushing yards to running backs; the next highest team is the Bengals, who had allowed 718 rushing yards to the position heading into their Thursday Night Football matchup with the Steelers. In their last two games, the Dolphins allowed Rico Dowdle to run for 206 yards and Kimani Vidal to run for 124 yards. Judkins, who has averaged 16.8 carries per game, makes a ton of sense at this reasonable salary.
