This article is part of our NFL Staff Picks series.
Jeff Erickson had his best outing of the year last week, going 10-4 to win the week. Scott Pianowski went 7-7, the first time he's failed to surpass .500, but is still the season leader at 66-39-3 (62.5 percent).
Erickson also nailed his best bet, as did Nick Whalen. Majority picks took it on the chin, going 5-9.
This week has three unanimous picks — the underdog Buccaneers and Panthers and the Patriots, a 1.5-point favorite.
Kevin Payne likes the Patriots so much he made them his best bet, while Pianowski and Whalen landed on different sides of the Dolphins-Lions matchup for their best bets.
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| MATCHUP | ERICKSON | PIANOWSKI | WHALEN | PAYNE | DEL DON |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ravens -1.5 at Buccaneers | Buccaneers | Buccaneers | Buccaneers | Buccaneers | Buccaneers |
| Broncos +2.5 at Jaguars | Broncos | Jaguars | Broncos | Jaguars | Broncos |
| Panthers +4.5 at Falcons | Panthers | Panthers | Panthers | Panthers | Panthers |
| Bears +9.5 at Cowboys | Bears | Bears | Cowboys | Cowboys | Cowboys |
| Dolphins -3.5 at Lions | Lions | Lions | Dolphins | Lions | Lions |
| Cardinals +3.5 at Vikings | Vikings | Vikings | Cardinals | Cardinals | Cardinals |
| Raiders -2 at Saints | Saints | Saints | Raiders | Raiders | Saints |
| Patriots -1.5 at Jets | Patriots | Patriots | Patriots | Patriots | Patriots |
| Steelers +10.5 at Eagles | Steelers | Eagles | Eagles | Steelers | Eagles |
| Titans -2 at Texans | Titans | Texans | Titans | Texans | Texans |
| Commanders +3 at Colts | Commanders | Colts | Colts | Colts | Commanders |
| 49ers -1.5 at Rams | Rams | Rams | 49ers | Rams | 49ers |
| Giants +3 at Seahawks | Giants | Seahawks | Seahawks | Seahawks | Seahawks |
| Packers +12 at Bills | Packers |
Jeff Erickson had his best outing of the year last week, going 10-4 to win the week. Scott Pianowski went 7-7, the first time he's failed to surpass .500, but is still the season leader at 66-39-3 (62.5 percent).
Erickson also nailed his best bet, as did Nick Whalen. Majority picks took it on the chin, going 5-9.
This week has three unanimous picks — the underdog Buccaneers and Panthers and the Patriots, a 1.5-point favorite.
Kevin Payne likes the Patriots so much he made them his best bet, while Pianowski and Whalen landed on different sides of the Dolphins-Lions matchup for their best bets.
Odds from BetMGM. Use the BetMGM Bonus Code for a risk-free bet up to $1,000.
| MATCHUP | ERICKSON | PIANOWSKI | WHALEN | PAYNE | DEL DON |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ravens -1.5 at Buccaneers | Buccaneers | Buccaneers | Buccaneers | Buccaneers | Buccaneers |
| Broncos +2.5 at Jaguars | Broncos | Jaguars | Broncos | Jaguars | Broncos |
| Panthers +4.5 at Falcons | Panthers | Panthers | Panthers | Panthers | Panthers |
| Bears +9.5 at Cowboys | Bears | Bears | Cowboys | Cowboys | Cowboys |
| Dolphins -3.5 at Lions | Lions | Lions | Dolphins | Lions | Lions |
| Cardinals +3.5 at Vikings | Vikings | Vikings | Cardinals | Cardinals | Cardinals |
| Raiders -2 at Saints | Saints | Saints | Raiders | Raiders | Saints |
| Patriots -1.5 at Jets | Patriots | Patriots | Patriots | Patriots | Patriots |
| Steelers +10.5 at Eagles | Steelers | Eagles | Eagles | Steelers | Eagles |
| Titans -2 at Texans | Titans | Texans | Titans | Texans | Texans |
| Commanders +3 at Colts | Commanders | Colts | Colts | Colts | Commanders |
| 49ers -1.5 at Rams | Rams | Rams | 49ers | Rams | 49ers |
| Giants +3 at Seahawks | Giants | Seahawks | Seahawks | Seahawks | Seahawks |
| Packers +12 at Bills | Packers | Packers | Bills | Bills | Bills |
| Bengals -3.5 at Browns | Browns | Browns | Bengals | Browns | Bengals |
| Best Bet | Giants | Lions | Dolphins | Patriots | 49ers |
| Last Week's Record | 10-4 | 7-7 | 8-6 | 3-11 | 7-7 |
| 2022 Record | 49-56-3 | 66-39-3 | 54-51-3 | 57-48-3 | 51-54-3 |
| 2022 Best Bet Record | 4-3 | 5-2 | 2-5 | 3-3-1 | 4-3 |
| 2022 Unanimous Pick Record | 3-1-1 | ||||
| 2022 Majority Pick Record | 55-50-3 | ||||
| 2021 Record | 129-140-3 | 134-135-3 | N/A | 145-124-3 | 136-133-3 |
| 2020 Record | 121-127-8 | 128-120-8 | N/A | 115-133-8 | 118-130-8 |
| 2019 Record | 126-124-6 | 140-110-6 | N/A | 127-123-6 | 134-116-6 |
| 2018 Record | 125-122-9 | 134-113-9 | N/A | N/A | 120-127-9 |
| 2017 Record | 117-125-14 | 128-114-14 | N/A | N/A | 98-144-14 |
| 2016 Record | 140-111-5 | 130-121-5 | N/A | N/A | 132-119-5 |
| 2015 Record | 134-114-8 | 120-128-8 | N/A | N/A | 121-127-8 |
| 2014 Record | 123-128-5 | 140-111-5 | N/A | N/A | 128-123-5 |
| 2013 Record | 132-114-10 | 118-128-10 | N/A | N/A | 128-118-10 |
| 2012 Record | 110-140-6 | 125-125-6 | N/A | N/A | 123-127-6 |
| 2011 Record | 121-128-7 | 134-115-7 | N/A | N/A | 127-122-7 |
| 2010 Record | 129-122-5 | 134-117-5 | N/A | N/A | 134-117-5 |
| 2009 Record | 123-130-3 | 132-121-3 | N/A | N/A | 126-127-3 |
| 2008 Record | 132-114-10 | 128-118-10 | N/A | N/A | 130-116-10 |
| 2007 Record | 127-120 | 118-129 | N/A | N/A | 130-117 |
| 2006 Record | 118-129 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2005 Record | 121-126 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2004 Record | 124-124 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2003 Record | 121-126 | 118-129 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2002 Record | 113-136 | 123-126 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2001 Record | 124-113 | 117-120 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2000 Record | 123-117 | 134-106 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| WRITER | COMMENT |
|---|---|
| Erickson | I set my line in this game as a pick 'em, so I'm happy to take the three points on the Giants. I don't think it's a fluke that the Giants are coming through in close-and-late games. Second favorite pick is the Titans. |
| Pianowski | The Lions played better than the final score indicated last week; look at the component stats. Now they're at home and catching points against the Miami team that's better, but not a juggernaut. Detroit will show up. |
| Whalen | Detroit is officially in freefall and might have the worst defense in the league. I view this as a get-right game for the Dolphins' offense and for Miami to finally kick-start its passing game. |
| Payne | If recent memory serves, the Bills do excellent in stand-alone games. Is there any data about a team getting a big shakeup (think Carolina last week) like the Colts that ends up being good for it? I still don't believe in the New Jersey ... I mean New York ... teams. |
| Del Don | The Rams are coming off a bye but rank toward the bottom of the league in pressure rate, which is the biggest key when it comes to Jimmy G's performance. |
The players:
• Jeff Erickson: RotoWire Senior Editor, 2001, 2008, 2013, 2015, 2016 Staff Picks champ. Writes the Weekly Rankings. Covers and roots for the Bengals.
• Scott Pianowski: Fantasy expert for Yahoo! Sports, and also contributes to RotoWire. 2009, 2011, 2014, 2017, 2019 and 2020 Staff Picks champ. Roots for the Patriots.
• Nick Whalen: RotoWire Senior Media Analyst. Writes Beating the Book. Roots for the Jaguars.
• Kevin Payne: RotoWire Staff Writer, 2021 Staff Picks champ. Writes our Waiver Wire column. Roots for the Bills.
• Dalton Del Don: Fantasy Expert for Yahoo! Sports, 2007 Staff Picks champ. Roots for the 49ers.
