This article is part of our NFL Picks series.
Cincinnati Bengals +4 (-110) at Tennessee Titans
It's a favorable matchup for the Bengals explosive passing offense today, as the Titans rank 25th vs. QB's and 30th vs. WR's in terms of fantasy points allowed. Tennessee is also vulnerable to the big play, having allowed 60 passing plays of 20+ yards (6th-worst in the league). This obviously spells trouble when facing big-play specialist Ja'Marr Chase. I think the Bengals will find a lot of success through the air, and have a big shot at winning this game outright. By the way, in looking at the WynnBET Sportsbook website this morning, I see that they're offering a boosted three-game parlay on the Bengals/Packers/Bills (+722). Three-game parlays pay off at 6/1 odds, so that's a good deal if you like those three teams.
Buffalo Bills +1.5 (-105) at Kansas City Chiefs
Obviously, the Chiefs are a tough nut to crack (especially at home), but everything seems to point to Buffalo here. The Bills have the #1 ranked passing defense, and it's not particularly close. They have allowed the fewest yards, the fewest touchdowns (12; the next-closest team allowed 17), the lowest yards per attempt (5.7, next-closest was 6.4), and the lowest completion percentage (56%). They also tied for the third-most interceptions (19). Meanwhile, Buffalo RB Devin Singletary appears set up for a nice game, as the Chiefs allowed the second-highest yards per carry in the league (4.8). Looking at the Bills star players, they seem likely to have solid games also, with the Chiefs passing defense ranking 27th vs. QB's (Josh Allen) and 25th vs. WR's (Stefon Diggs). The Bills also throttled the Chiefs 38-20 in their prior trip to Kansas City this year, so we know they won't be intimidated by facing the Chiefs in KC today. Just a lot to like here. Incidentally, there seem to be several useful teaser sides this week, with the Bills +7.5 being one of them (Bengals and Packers being my other two preferences, though you can easily make cases for the 49ers and Rams as well).
Ja'Marr Chase over 81.5 receiving yards (-120)
I posted this one on Twitter a few days ago at 75.5 yards, so this has definitely moved up some (always shop around for the best price). That being said, I think this has the makings of a big game for Chase, as the Titans are weak in pass coverage and susceptible to the big play (Chase's specialty). You might also consider a longest-reception play on Chase for that same reason (available in the 25-yard range). I'm also a fan of the Higgins/Chase anytime touchdown combo, as it's very likely at least one of them scores, with both scoring being more likely than neither scoring (make sure both players are plus-money, the higher the better obviously).
Tyler Boyd over 4.0 receptions (-115)
While the third wheel in the Bengals passing game, Boyd still receives decent volume, and has recorded 4+ receptions in four out of his last five games. With the Bengals figuring to air it out today (especially as underdogs), this is an attractive number. Decent chance at a push, but Boyd is much more likely for 5 catches than 3.
Aaron Jones over 51.5 rushing yards (-115)
I actually prefer his combo prop (rushing + receiving), as Jones should be active in the passing game as well (though perhaps slightly less than normal with the return of Randall Cobb today). Aaron Jones comes into the playoffs fresh, with this being his first game in a month. It's highly likely the Packers will get Jones involved Saturday, especially if/when they're playing with a lead (which seems likely).
Brandon Aiyuk over 51.5 receiving yards (-115)
As mentioned last week, Aiyuk has become the 49ers leading wide receiver due to Deebo Samuel's increasing backfield presence, and yet, sportsbooks are still listing Aiyuk's receiving total lower than Deebo's. There's also a chance the 49ers receiving usage could spike today if they fall behind and are forced to throw more, which is definitely possible here. With Aiyuk having recorded a 30+ yard reception in four out of his last five games, he figures to clear this modest number on any kind of decent volume. PS - Speaking of Deebo, I like his rushing prop today (not available here). He spiked to a career-high 10 carries last week, and the Packers allow 4.7 yards per carry (third-worst in the league). Seems likely he can hit 40+ rushing yards today.
Devin Singletary over 60.5 rushing yards (-115)
As mentioned in the Bills write-up, the Chiefs' run defense allows the second-highest yards per carry (4.8), while Singletary's usage has spiked in recent weeks, averaging 18 carries over his last 5 games. There's also a good chance that he'll receive a positive game script here, as I suspect the Bills will be playing with a lead through at least a part of this game. Expect a solid showing from Singletary on Sunday.