AJ Dillon

25-Year-Old Running BackRB

Green Bay Packers

2022 Rush/Rec Stats

ATT

186

YDS

770

YDS

206

2023 Projections

ATT

YDS

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2023 Fantasy Outlook

Dillon remains an overqualified backup, but at least one who plays more than most other backup running backs. Indeed, in the last two years the Packers have shifted away from Aaron Jones as the clear starter and implemented a rotation of quasi-equals similar to how the Saints once used Alvin Kamara and Mark Ingram. Dillon is the powerful counterpart to the slashing Jones, and it seems like tasks will continue to split between the two on a situational basis. As much as that might be ideal for the Packers offense, it isn't for the fantasy production of either player. Dillon might be an RB1 if Jones were to miss time, just as Jones was a fantasy RB1 before Dillon's involvement increased the last two years. Aaron Rodgers' departure this offseason brings with it the threat of Green Bay's offense declining for a second straight year, but it might also work out for Dillon if the Packers run the ball more often with Jordan Love under center and remain reasonably efficient overall. Read Past Outlooks

RANKS

#98.66

ADP

Overall

Running Back

Bye Week 6

Height 6'0"

Weight 247

DOB 5/2/1998

College Boston College

Drafted 2nd Rd 2020 #62 Overall

Underwhelms in season finale

RBGreen Bay Packers

January 11, 2023

Dillon rushed nine times for 33 yards and failed to reel in any of his three targets in Sunday's 20-16 loss to the Lions.

ANALYSIS
The 24-year-old running back was in a near-even split in playing time with Aaron Jones, as the two backs played 33 and 31 of the Packers' 60 offensive snaps, respectively. Dillon will enter the final year of his rookie contract in the 2023, and with Jones already on the books, a timeshare arrangement between the two will likely remain in place for another season. Dillon finished the season with 770 yards and seven touchdowns while adding 28 catches for 206 yards.

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NFL Stats

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Fantasy/Red Zone Stats

See red zone opportunities inside the 20, 10 and 5-yard lines along with the percentage of time they converted the opportunity into a touchdown.

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Advanced NFL Stats

How do AJ Dillon's 2022 advanced stats compare to other running backs?

This section compares his advanced stats with players at the same position. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that metric and it would be considered average. The longer the bar, the better it is for the player.

Broken Tackle %
The number of broken tackles divided by rush attempts.
Positive Run %
The percentage of run plays where he was able to gain positive yardage.
% Yds After Contact
The percentage of his rushing yards that came after contact.
Avg Yds After Contact
The average rushing yards he gains after contact.
Rushing TD %
Rushing touchdowns divided by rushing attempts. In other words, how often is he scoring when running the ball.
Touches Per Game
The number of touches (rushing attempts + receptions) he is averaging per game
% Snaps w/Touch
The number of touches (rushing attempts + receptions) divided by offensive snaps played.
Air Yards Per Game
The number of air yards he is averaging per game. Air yards measure how far the ball was thrown downfield for both complete and incomplete passes. Air yards are recorded as a negative value when the pass is targeted behind the line of scrimmage. All air yards data is from Sports Info Solutions and does not include throwaways as targeted passes.
Air Yards Per Snap
The number of air yards he is averaging per offensive snap.
% Team Air Yards
The percentage of the team's total air yards he accounts for.
% Team Targets
The percentage of the team's total targets he accounts for.
Avg Depth of Target
Also known as aDOT, this stat measures the average distance down field he is being targeted at.
Catch Rate
The number of catches made divided by the number of times he was targeted by the quarterback.
Drop Rate
The number of passes he dropped divided by the number of times he was targeted by the quarterback.
Avg Yds After Catch
The number of yards he gains after the catch on his receptions.
% Targeted On Route
Targets divided by total routes run. Also known as TPRR.
Avg Yds Per Route Run
Receiving yards divided by total routes run. Also known as YPRR.

Broken Tackle %

8.1%

Positive Run %

88.2%

% Yds After Contact

63.5%

Avg Yds After Contact

2.6

Rushing TD %

3.8%

Touches Per Game

12.6

% Snaps w/Touch

41.7%

Air Yards Per Game

0.4

Air Yards Per Snap

0.01

% Team Air Yards

0.2%

% Team Targets

7.8%

Avg Depth of Target

0.2 Yds

Catch Rate

65.1%

Drop Rate

9.3%

Avg Yds After Catch

7.3

% Targeted On Route

16.9%

Avg Yds Per Route Run

0.81

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2022

2021

2020

2022 NFL Game Log

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2021 NFL Game Log

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2020 NFL Game Log

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Snap Distribution / Depth Chart

Snap Counts

Snap %

Packers 2022 RB Snap Distribution See more data like this | See last season's snap counts

A.Aaron Jones

A.AJ Dillon

P.Patrick Taylor

K.Kylin Hill

#% of Team Snaps

60558%

51349%

333%

10%

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#2 RB

Packers

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Receiving Alignment Breakdown

See where AJ Dillon lined up on the field and how he performed at each spot.

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2022 AJ Dillon Split Stats

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Measurables Review View College Player Page

How do AJ Dillon's measurables compare to other running backs?

This section compares his draft workout metrics with players at the same position. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that metric and it would be considered average.

Height

6' 0"

Weight

247 lbs

40-Yard Dash

4.53 sec

Cone Drill

7.19 sec

Vertical Jump

41.0 in

Broad Jump

131 in

Bench Press

23 reps

Hand Length

9.63 in

Arm Length

31.63 in

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80 days ago

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Past Fantasy Outlooks

2022

2021

2020

Through three games in 2021, it looked like Dillon was stuck in the same role he had as a rookie, getting just a handful of carries per week behind Aaron Jones. That all changed against the Steelers in Week 4 when the two backs had nearly identical workloads and production. From that point on, Dillon and Jones were in a timeshare, and while both players had solid numbers, neither was able to pull away from the other. Dillon's best fantasy game of the season came in Week 10 when he racked up 128 total yards and two touchdowns with the help of a 50-yard catch. The bruising back out of Boston College is listed at the same weight as Derrick Henry, but at three inches shorter, Dillon looks more like a traditional fullback. He doesn't play like one, though, as he has the speed and agility to do more than just thunder through defenders. Dillon also has shown growth since entering the NFL, even emerging as a receiving asset last year with 34 catches and no drops. Jones is still in town for at least one more season before things get dicey with his contract, and Green Bay promoted from within to replace offensive coordinator Nathaniel Hackett after his departure for Denver, so there's no reason to think the backfield arrangement will see any big changes. Barring a serious injury to one or the other, Dillon and Jones put a ceiling on each other once again in 2022.

A second-round pick in the 2020 draft, Dillon spent most of the season getting scraps in the Packers backfield behind Aaron Jones and Jamaal Williams. When he did get an opportunity at a bigger role in Week 16, the rookie erupted for 124 yards and two touchdowns in a blowout win, giving the Titans defense a taste of what their opposition has to face from Derrick Henry every week. Like Henry, Dillon bulldozes through defenders at nearly 250 pounds while showing enough speed and balance through contact to be more than just a short-yardage option, but he has yet to show he has much to offer as a receiver, likely limiting him to early downs. With Williams now in Detroit, Dillon will move into the No. 2 spot, albeit with usage that's likely to be different from Williams, who often handled third downs and other passing situations. And while Dillon's massive frame might seem to hint at goal-line usage, the Packers have enjoyed an awful lot of success leaning on Jones and Davante Adams in the red zone, even if both are average size for their positions. That's not to say Dillon won't get some goal-line work, but Jones also figures to remain involved in the red zone, and his superior receiving skills give him a clear advantage between the 20s. The upside for Dillon likely entails Jones missing time with an injury.

While Dillon going in the second round of the 2020 draft wasn't necessarily a big surprise, the fact that he went to a Green Bay squad that already has Aaron Jones certainly was. Built in the mold of LeGarrette Blount, Dillon has enough speed (4.53 40) to make his bulk (6-0, 247) even more terrifying for would-be tacklers, and he has the patience and vision to let his blocks develop rather than simply jamming the line and trying to bull his way through traffic. He doesn't have much elusiveness, but he didn't need it during his college career given how difficult he was to bring down, and he has the frame to withstand the punishment his bludgeoning running style brings with it. Dillon could provide the thunder in a very effective backfield tandem, and Jones' league-leading 10 touchdowns from inside the 5-yard line last season could be up for grabs if Dillon takes the short-yardage role. The short-term upside does appear limited, as Jamaal Williams likely would share work with Dillon if Jones were to miss time.

More Fantasy News

TD streak at five games

RBGreen Bay Packers

January 1, 2023

Dillon carried the ball 12 times for 41 yards and a touchdown and failed to catch his only target in Sunday's 41-17 win over the Vikings.