Texans vs Steelers Predictions & Odds for NFL Playoffs Wild Card Round (2026)

The 2025-26 Wild Card Weekend will close out with a defensive slugfest. The Houston Texans are three-point road favorites over the Pittsburgh Steelers in a game with the lowest projected point total of the week. You can bet those odds using a bet365 bonus code. 

Below, the RotoWire staff will give you our expert Texans vs Steelers predictions, including everything you need to know about the spread, over/under, and more. 

Texans vs Steelers Odds: Wild Card Round

All odds in the table below are sourced from BetMGM. Use a BetMGM Bonus Code to juice up your bets. Note that odds may have moved after this article was published. 

Texans vs Steelers Prediction

The Texans finished the year as the league's second-best defense in both points allowed and EPA per play. The Steelers have played five games against teams that finished with a top-10 defense in EPA per play. They went 2-3, averaging 16.0 PPG. Neither of their wins were particularly encouraging. Pittsburgh beat the 5-12 Browns in Week 4 and the Carson Wentz-led Minnesota Vikings the following week. Pittsburgh's offense has needed near-perfect circumstances to function this season. The circumstances will be far from perfect on Monday night. 

The Steelers have only scored more than 26 points eight times this season, six of which came against a bottom-12 defense in EPA per play. The two exceptions were a 29-point performance against a Lions' defense that had been decimated by injuries at that point, and a 27-point showing against Indianapolis, when the defense generated five turnovers.

Pittsburgh's dominant front matches up nicely against a shaky Texans' offensive line. That advantage isn't nearly enough to bridge the gap between the Pittsburgh's offense and Houston's defense. I'll take C.J. Stroud and the Texans to advance past the Wild Card Round for the third year in a row. 

• ⭐️ Score Prediction: Houston Texans Win, 24-9

Texas vs Steelers Expert Predictions 

Here's a look at the RotoWire Staff's Texans vs Steelers moneyline predictions: 

• Brandon Justice: Texans
• Tyler Huntington: Steelers
• Blake Weishaar: Texans
• Max Staley: Texans

Three of the four RotoWire experts are backing the Texans. 

RotoWire Staff Moneyline Prediction Record 

Below, I've detailed the RotoWire staff's moneyline prediction record in the 2025-26 regular season and the NFL Playoffs. 

2025-26 Regular Season: 

• Brandon Justice: 168-104
• Blake Weishaar: 167-105
• Tyler Huntington: 156-116
• Max Staley: 151-121

2025-26 NFL Playoffs: 

• Brandon Justice: 0-0
• Tyler Huntington: 0-0
• Blake Weishaar: 0-0
• Max Staley: 0-0

Where to Bet on NFL Playoffs Odds 

Below, I've listed the major sportsbooks that offer betting markets on this game. I've also included their welcome offers, so you can kickstart your account with some bonus bets.