MLB Betting: Monday's Best Bets

Michael Rathburn breaks down the matchup for Game 3 of the ALCS as the series shifts to Boston. Can Carlos Correa top his total bases prop on the road against Eduardo Rodriguez and company?
MLB Betting: Monday's Best Bets

Previous: 0-2, -2.05 

Overall: 160-132-2, +9.35

Houston Astros at Boston Red Sox

Jose Urquidy vs. Eduardo Rodriguez

Opening Line Red Sox -105; Total 8.5

Current Line Red Sox -120; Total 9

The Red Sox are 4-5 in Eduardo Rodriguez home starts in which he was favored between -100 and -150 (also 5-4 to the under). Rodriguez got bombed in both starts against the Astros this year. He has gone 9.1 innings with 12 earned runs, 9 strikeouts, and 5 walks. 

Rodriguez pitched well last time out against the Rays at home. It looked like he made some adjustments to where he started his delivery on the mound which helped him hit the corners better. Rodriguez is the type of pitcher that lives on all 4 corners in order to succeed, but it also is what makes him unpredictable.

Urquidy had one start against the Red Sox on May 31st and he went 6 innings, striking out 9, with just 1 walk and 1 earned run.

The Red Sox are either 1st or 2nd in every major hitting category when facing right-handed pitchers at home since September 1st while the Astros are top 5 against left-handed pitchers on the road. 

Batter vs. Pitcher

Jose Altuve 5-for-13

Carlos Correa 6-for-10

Alex Bregman 5-for-12

BET – Over 9.5 runs (+100) for 1 RW bucks

BETEnrique Hernandez over 1.5 total bases (-110) for 0.5 RW buck

BET Kyle Schwarber over 1.5 total bases (+115) for 0.5 RW buck

BET Jose Altuve over 1.5 total bases (+115) for 0.5 RW buck

BETCarlos Correa over 1.5 total bases (+135) for 0.5 RW buck

BETAlex Bregman over 1.5 total bases (+125) for 0.5 RW buck

ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Known as “Rath” in the Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS) community, he has helped run operations for two prominent daily fantasy sports startups. Michael has taken his insider knowledge and expertise in daily fantasy sports to the content side. Rath won the 2016 FSWA "Baseball Article of the Year, Online" award and was a finalist for the FSWA Best Baseball Series in 2011.
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