MLB Betting: Thursday NLCS Best Bets

Michael Rathburn is backing Max Fried in the NLCS against the Dodgers on Thursday.
MLB Betting: Thursday NLCS Best Bets
SPECIAL OFFER

Get 50% OFF All-in-One

Find the best pickups with our waiver wire tool, optimize your DFS lineups, and find your perfect pick. This subscription has everything you need to win this NFL season. Ends 9/21. Use promo code ALL.
PROMO CODE ALL

Previous: 1-6, -6.89 RWBucks
Overall: 164-141-2, +3.17 RWBucks

Brutal slate Tuesday as I lost almost seven total units. Looking back on it, the mistake on going all in on the Red Sox in several different ways came back to bite me in a huge way.

Braves vs. Dodgers

Max Fried at Alex Vesia (Bullpen game)

The Braves are 12-1 in Fried's last 13 starts. Those starts have been split with six at home and seven on the road. The average total in Fried's starts this year has been 8.3. (8.0 on the road). The under is 9-4 in Fried's 13 road starts and is 8-5 in the last 13. The average score in Fried's last 13 starts has been 7.4 runs. The Braves are just 3-4 in games where Fried has been a road underdog and six of seven went under the total. In Fried's seven road starts, no team scored more than five runs and only one game had a combined total of more than 7. In Game 1 against the Dodgers, Fried allowed two runs on eight hits in six innings.

The Dodgers are hitting .231 in the playoffs and averaging 3.5 runs per game.

I am sticking with things that I think are knowns in this game. I have no clue who will pitch for the Dodgers or how the Braves offense will react. But I do love Fried in this spot and will play him accordingly.

BET: Under 8.0 (-105) for 1 RWBuck

BET: Fried over 4.5 strikeouts (+100) for 1 RWBuck

ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Known as “Rath” in the Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS) community, he has helped run operations for two prominent daily fantasy sports startups. Michael has taken his insider knowledge and expertise in daily fantasy sports to the content side. Rath won the 2016 FSWA "Baseball Article of the Year, Online" award and was a finalist for the FSWA Best Baseball Series in 2011.
RotoWire Logo

Continue the Conversation

Join the RotoWire Discord group to hear from our experts and other MLB fans.

Top News

  • San Francisco 49ers
    Brock Purdy
    Officially limited in return to practice
    NFL
    San Francisco 49ers
  • Los Angeles Chargers
    Ladd McConkey
    Misses Wednesday's practice
    NFL
    Los Angeles Chargers
  • Jacksonville Jaguars
    Brian Thomas
    Logs full practice
    NFL
    Jacksonville Jaguars
  • Green Bay Packers
    Josh Jacobs
    Tending to ankle issue
    NFL
    Green Bay Packers
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers
    Emeka Egbuka
    Doesn't practice Wednesday
    NFL
    Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Tools

MLB Draft Kit Logo

MLB Draft Kit

Fantasy Tools

Don’t miss a beat. Check out our 2025 MLB Fantasy Baseball rankings.