FanDuel NBA: Friday Value Plays

FanDuel NBA: Friday Value Plays

This article is part of our FanDuel NBA series.

After an off day Thursday, the NBA semi-final round restarts Friday in new locales. The 76ers and Mavericks are both down 2-0, so they'll be hoping that the comforts of home will make a difference and help them halve their deficits. Philly could also be in line for a major boost if Joel Embiid is able to clear concussion protocol.

Slate Overview

Miami Heat (-3) at Philadelphia 76ers (O/U: 209.5 points)

Phoenix Suns at Dallas Mavericks (-1) (O/U: 219.5 points)

The Heat have unsurprisingly looked dominant in the first two games with the 76ers playing short-handed. But with rumblings that Embiid could make his return, an already narrow spread could get a lot smaller or perhaps even flip. Although the first two matchups have been lopsided, they haven't been without useful DFS performances from the likes of Tyrese Maxey, Tobias Harris, James Harden, Jimmy Butler, Tyler Herro and Bam Adebayo.

The Suns have also thumped the Mavericks in their first two games. But for Dallas, there's no hero potentially riding in to save the day. Luka Doncic, the Mavs' best player by far, has already been thriving and Dallas still hasn't truly come close to keeping up with the defending conference champs for a full game. While the change of venue may help, a healthy Suns side may simply have too many weapons for the Mavs to overcome.

Injury Situations to Monitor  

NOTE: Injury reporting is especially fluid in the NBA, where the status of multiple players can change during the course of a day. Therefore, although the following is a foundation for the latest injury report as of the time the article is written, check back throughout the course of the day with RotoWire for the latest news regarding the status of all players on that night's slate, including those carrying injury designations that aren't listed in this section.

Joel Embiid, PHI (concussion/eye): OUT

Coach Doc Rivers intimated Thursday that Embiid's "out" status is as a result of him still being in the concussion protocol, which could change at some point Friday. If the big man returns to action, he may jump right back into a normal workload.

Tyler Herro, MIA (ankle): QUESTIONABLE

Herro has been playing through his ankle issue, but if he were to sit, Victor Oladipo could be in line for more minutes.

Kyle Lowry, MIA (hamstring): QUESTIONABLE

If Lowry returns, it would lead to a smaller role for Gabe Vincent (knee).

Other notable injuries:

Gabe Vincent, MIA (knee): QUESTIONABLE

Max Strus, MIA (hamstring): QUESTIONABLE

P.J. Tucker, MIA (calf): QUESTIONABLE

Elite Players

We have two healthy players with five-figure salaries on Friday's slate – Luka Doncic ($11,500) and Jimmy Butler ($10,200).

Despite the Mavs' struggles, Doncic has been outstanding over the first two games while averaging 58.5 FD points and shooting 53.8 percent, including 42.9 percent from distance. The Suns don't seem to have a clear answer for slowing him down, and Doncic and could certainly be in for another bountiful night given he'll be at home with his team in desperation mode.

Butler bounced back from a poor Game 1 shooting effort to post 51.2 FD points across 37 minutes on Wednesday. With the chances of Friday's game being closer than the first two thanks to the change in locale and the possibility of Embiid playing, Butler could be in for another busy, productive night.

Expected Chalk

Other likely chalk plays include:

Chris Paul, PHO ($9,700)

Paul has scored 34.5 and 47.2 FD points across the first two games of the series, which should keep him popular Friday.

Devin Booker, PHO ($9,000)

Booker was sharper from the field in Game 2 posting 41.8 FD points on an 11-for-19 tally from the field.

Tobias Harris, PHI ($8,000)

Harris has been doing a solid job trying to make up for Embiid's absence by averaging 39.8 FD points over the first two games. If the big man returns Friday, Harris' usage will naturally take a hit to some extent, but he should still be in plenty of lineups on the small slate.

Tyrese Maxey, PHI ($7,200)

Maxey went off for 34 points and 45.1 FD points in Game 2, and at his salary should keep him very popular Friday whether or not Embiid returns.

Key Values 

Spencer Dinwiddie, DAL vs. PHO ($4,600)

Dinwiddie is one player who shouldn't be very chalky Friday after shooting 33.3 percent over the first two games and averaging a modest 18.9 FD points during that sample. The veteran guard still carries plenty of upside and the resulting salary drop makes him an intriguing tournament play in Game 3, especially with the Mavericks desperate for any complementary sources of offense. Dinwiddie did post 23.6 FD points in Game 1, and dating back to the home stretch of the regular season, he's produced 21.1 to 37.8 FD points in four of his last five home matchups.

Maxi Kleber, DAL vs. PHO ($4,500)

Kleber has registered 23.2 and 20.1 FD points in the first two games this series, and the big man also managed tallies of 21.1 and 36.7 in the first round against the Jazz. He was a more productive performer at home during the regular season, and like Dinwiddie, he could be more aggressive than usual on the offensive end with Dallas desperately trying to break the ice in the series.

Victor Oladipo, MIA at PHI ($4,200)

Oladipo was impressive in Game 2 off the bench, pouring in 19 points over 28 minutes. The veteran sharpshooter also recorded 35.7 FD points against the Hawks in Game 5 for the first round and has scored over 20 FD points in three of his first four postseason games. Multiple members of the Heat backcourt are sporting questionable designations going into Friday, so Oladipo could enjoy another solid workload and deliver on what is still a very modest salary.

The author(s) of this article may play in daily fantasy contests including – but not limited to – games that they have provided recommendations or advice on in this article. In the course of playing in these games using their personal accounts, it's possible that they will use players in their lineups or other strategies that differ from the recommendations they have provided above. The recommendations in this article do not necessarily reflect the views of RotoWire. Juan Carlos Blanco plays in daily fantasy contests using the following accounts: DraftKings: jcblanco22, FanDuel: jc_blanco22, DraftPot: jc_blanco22, FantasyDraft: jc_blanco22, OwnThePlay: jcblanco22.
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ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Juan Carlos Blanco
Winner of the FSWA 2016 Newcomer of the Year Award, Juan Carlos Blanco has been playing fantasy sports for over 20 years and covers NBA, MLB, NFL, CFL and Arena Football for Rotowire.com, including serving as the beat writer for teams in multiple sports. He has previously written for KFFL.com and remains an avid season-long and daily fantasy player in multiple sports as well.
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