This article is part of our NBA Picks series.
Pascal Siakam under 35.5 points + rebounds + assists (-111) vs. Cavaliers -- FanDuel, 1:40 PM CT
This is mostly a bet on Siakam getting the Evan Mobley treatment. My assumption is that Mobley will be assigned to Siakam while Lauri Markkanen guards Khem Birch. Mobley's length and versatility should slow down Siakam, who often relies on getting points in the paint and in transition.
Corey Kispert OVER 11.5 points (-105) at Milwaukee Bucks – DraftKings Sportsbook, Noon CT
This is a bit of a deep cut, but I don't love most of the spreads for tonight. Suns +4.0 looks like a bargain, but DraftKings doesn't have any Suns player props listed, which leads me to believe some rest could be coming. ANYWAY, with Giannis and Khris Middleton both sitting out this could end up being a more competitive game than the spread (Wizards +9.5) would imply. Either way, the rookie has been locked into a big role of late, playing at least 29 minutes in six of the last seven games. He's gone over 11.5 points six times in that span. He's very reliant on knocking down threes, and Milwaukee once again ranks near the top of the league in threes allowed to opponents.
Kristaps has scored at least 15+ points in each of the last five games. It's to the point where I'd take him to cover his over outright (over 20.5 points, -118), but I thought this might be a good parlay pick just overall to highlight. Lopez finally made multiple three-pointers for the first time since October 19, but he's averaging just 3.0 three-point attempts in his four-game return. The odds of him even attempting more than three seems unlikely, so I'll gladly take the under on Lopez shooting well above his career high.