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Best Bets
Jaylen Brown over 2.5 turnovers (-155) vs. Heat
BetMGM, 3:29 PM CT
Alex Barutha: Brown struggled with ball security during the regular season against Miami, averaging 4.7 turnovers in 35.9 minutes. He's also averaging 3.2 turnovers in the playoffs and had at least two giveaways in 11 of his 13 postseason games. I trust the Heat to bring more defensive intensity than either Atlanta or Philadelphia, so I have concerns about Brown's loose handle and his unpolished passing.
Jayson Tatum over 9.5 rebounds (-120) vs. Heat
BetMGM, 3:35 PM CT
Alex Barutha: Miami hasn't crashed the offensive glass especially hard in the playoffs, and Tatum is Boston's most reliable defensive rebounder. He's averaged 12.0 boards in the past five games, and he's grabbed at least seven in every playoff games -- even Game 2 against the 76ers where he played 19 minutes.
Boston Celtics -2.5 first-quarter spread (-105) vs. Heat
DraftKings Sportsbook, 1PM CT
Nick Whalen: The full-game line is just a bit too high for me, but I think the Celtics carry over their momentum from Sunday's Game 7 win over Philly and come out strong against what's ultimately an inferior opponent. Time and time again, Miami has proven to be resilient, but I like Boston's chances to get off to a fast start at home.
Jaylen Brown over 24.5 points vs. Heat (-115)
DraftKings, 2:15 ET
Coach Erik Spoelstra throws a bunch of different defensive looks at Boston. Spoelstra always has a knack for going zone at the perfect time to frustrate the Celtics' options. But somehow it doesn't affect Jaylen Brown, who has averaged 30.3 points per game in three matches versus Miami this season. That Heat zone will probably force a few more last-second outside shots from Brown, which should help his total.
