CFL DFS Picks and Cheat Sheet for Week 19 on DraftKings

CFL DFS Picks and Cheat Sheet for Week 19 on DraftKings

This article is part of our DraftKings CFL series.

We return to a full four-game slate spread out over two days this week, and there are still plenty of competitive contests expected with playoff seeding far from settled. We have some teams with plenty on the line that find themselves in favorable matchups this week, setting up what should be an especially fun week of DFS play.

Without further ado, let's jump right into some of the best plays at each position for Week 19:

CFL DFS Picks and Plays- Week 19

Quarterback Plays for CFL Week 19

McLeod Bethel-Thompson, TOR at EDM ($10,900): Bethel-Thompson bounced back from a sub-par Week 17 performance that netted only 6.6 DK points to record 22.5 DK points on the strength of a 352-yard, one-touchdown effort against the Lions in Week 18. The veteran now faces an Elks team that's been vulnerable through both the ground and air all season and does so in a game the Argos need in order to lock up the East Division crown. Edmonton has faced the fewest completions and pass attempts in the league due to its vulnerability to the run, but the Elks have yielded the highest completion rate (73.4 percent), highest average yards per pass (9.8) and most passing TDs (29). MBT has scored over 20 DK points in three of his last four games, and he's accomplished the feat on seven occasions overall, offering a glimpse at his significant upside.

Trevor Harris, MTL at OTT ($10,000): Harris just put together a 338-yard, one-TD effort against the Redblacks on Monday, a performance that netted 19.9 DK points. It was the steady veteran's third 300-yard effort of the season and marked his third consecutive game with well over a 70.0 percent completion rate as well. Harris has also been interception-free over that span and now gets another crack at an Ottawa defense that's allowed 284 passing yards per game and yielded the second-most completions of at least 30 yards (26). The Redblacks have also given up the second-highest completion percentage (68.1) and passer efficiency rating (105.6), while Harris has demonstrated a formidable ceiling this season with tallies of just over 29 and 39 DK points in a pair of contests.

Dane Evans, HAM at CGY ($9,000): Evans didn't exactly take full advantage of what appeared to be a favorable statistical matchup against the Roughriders in Week 18, throwing for a modest 214 yards and tossing a pair of picks in a performance that netted only 13.1 DK points. However, Evans has an even more favorable set-up in Week 19 versus a Stamps team he posted 31.2 DK points against back in Week 2, making him an intriguing tournament play at his salary. Calgary has allowed a CFL-high 284.4 passing yards per game and CFL-high 362 completions, as well as 21 passing touchdowns. Evans gets Steven Dunbar back this week and now has a capable back to take pressure off him in Wes Hills, which should help him to keep the defense honest and perhaps cut down on his chances of turnovers.

ALSO CONSIDER: Jake Maier, CGY vs. HAM ($9,200)

Running Back Plays for CFL Week 19

Brady Oliveira, WPG at BC ($9,300): The promising but inexperienced Dru Brown will start Saturday night's game in place of a resting Zach Collaros, so Oliveira could enjoy an even more extensive role than usual. Oliveira is coming off having recorded a season-high 24.7 DK points against the Elks as well in Week 18 on the strength of 107 total yards and two total TDs, and he'd posted his second 100-yard effort of the season the week prior. The Lions have often forced teams to limit their rush attempts against them due to their own quick-strike offense, but B.C. has surrendered 5.1 yards per game and 11 rushing TDs on 264 rush attempts faced overall. Oliveira is second in rushing yards to the Stamps' Ka'Deem Carey for the season despite a slow start and could be set for another busy and productive night in this matchup.

AJ Ouellette, TOR at EDM ($7,800): Ouellette continues to be an impressive two-way threat for the Argos, regularly logging double-digit rush attempts and receptions while putting up double-digit DK points in seven of his last eight contests. He now draws the best matchup in the league statistically for running backs, as the Elks have allowed a CFL-high 116.5 rushing yards per game and CFL-high 28 rushing TDs. Edmonton is also allowing a CFL-high 5.2 yards per carry, while Ouellette has proven capable of some elite efficiency on the ground, having averaged 5.7 and 7.3 yards per carry in Weeks 16 and 17, respectively.  

Wes Hills, HAM at CGY ($6,200): Hills is coming off a breakout performance in Week 18 against the Roughriders where he generated 19.8 DK points on the strength of a 132-yard effort on the ground that he supplemented with a 26-yard reception. The second-year back should certainly have an unquestioned lead-back role again in Week 19 against a Stamps team that's been tough against the run overall, but that could still facilitate a solid return at what is a very reasonable salary.  Calgary has yielded a modest 92.9 rushing yards per game, but it has done so at an elevated 5.1 yards per carry while also surrendering 12 rushing TDs. Additionally, Hills' receiving ability also gives him the ability to exploit some of the Stamps' vulnerabilities versus the pass described in Evans' entry. 

ALSO CONSIDER: James Butler, BC vs. WPG ($11,400); Kevin Brown, EDM vs. TOR ($8,100)

Wide Receiver/Slotback Plays for CFL Week 19

Eugene Lewis, MTL at OTT ($11,800): Lewis was at it again in conjunction with Harris in Week 18, posting 28.8 DK points courtesy of a 9-108-1 line against these same Redblacks. It was the veteran's sixth tally of over 20 DK points this season, and he now gets a crack at Ottawa again in a key game for Montreal's postseason positioning. Lewis also has totals of 14.8 and 18.3 DK points in two other games against the Redblacks this season, so he hasn't had a poor performance versus Ottawa. Then, in addition to the Redblacks' poor metrics against the pass cited in Harris' entry, it's worth noting Ottawa has also yielded the second-most completions of at least 30 yards (26) while Lewis is averaging an impressive 83 air yards per game and has six catches of that length this season.  

Markeith Ambles, TOR at EDM ($7,700): Ambles is an excellent mid-salary option for an Argos squad that could be down Brandon Banks (personal) and that already has multiple pass catchers on the injured list as well. The fourth-year wideout just put together a season-best 8-121 line versus BC that netted 23.1 DK points, and he's drawn at least five targets in seven of his last eight games. The Elks' weaknesses against the pass were already detailed in Bethel-Thompson's entry, and in addition to the numbers cited there, it's worth noting Edmonton is tied with several teams for second-most completions of at least 30 yards allowed (26), while Ambles has five such receptions this season. 

Dillon Mitchell, EDM vs. TOR ($7,600): Mitchell has become the linchpin of the Elks' air attack, especially with Kenny Lawler having missed most of the second half of the season and now sidelined the rest of the way following shoulder surgery. The Oregon product's latest standout performance came in Week 18 against a tough Blue Bombers defense, which he broke through for a six-catch, 107-yard, one-touchdown effort on eight targets while recording a catch of greater than 40 yards for the sixth straight game and compiling a season-high 25.7 DK points. The Argonauts have a tough defense overall, but they've allowed 272.9 passing yards per game and the second-most completions (359). Meanwhile, Mitchell is averaging robust 86 air yards per contest and boasts a 12.4-yard average depth of target, making him a threat for a big gain virtually every time the ball heads in his direction.  

Justin Hardy, OTT vs. MTL ($2,500): Hardy's salary is quite the revelation, considering you're getting a player that's seen 20 targets in his first two games back from injury and parlayed them into 16 receptions for 172 yards. Hardy has netted 14.4 and 23 DK points in that pair of contests, and he could have another massive role in Week 19 with Jaelon Acklin out for Ottawa due to head and shoulder injuries. The Als are allowing a middle-of-the-pack 8.2 average yards per pass, but they're also tied with multiple teams for second-most completions of at least 30 yards (26). Hardy's typically short-to-mid-range role in the air attack should afford him plenty of high-percentage catch opportunities that should allow him to easily overdeliver on his minimum salary, but Montreal's penchant for surrendering big plays through the air could even facilitate a chunk gain or two for him. 

ALSO CONSIDER: Steven Dunbar, HAM at CGY ($9,200); Ryan Davis, OTT vs. MTL ($4,800)

Team Defense Plays for CFL Week 19

Calgary Stampeders ($4,600) vs. Hamilton Tiger-Cats: The Stampeders are averaging an impressive CFL-high 12.3 DK points as a defensive unit, and they're coming off having generated a whopping 22 DK points against the Argos in their most recent game Week 17. They'll come into this matchup against the turnover-prone Evans well rested following a Week 18 bye and with the confidence afforded by having accrued 12 DK points against Hamilton back in Week 2. Evans and Hills could still put up strong numbers and not hurt Calgary's defense if you have them in the same lineup, considering the Stamps can generate a strong return with just a handful of plays after collecting 19 interceptions, 44 sacks, 12 fumble recoveries and a whopping nine defensive TDs so far this season. The Ti-Cats are arguably the best team in the league to target with Calgary, as they have a league-worst -22 turnover ratio and have scored the third-fewest TDs (27) on offense in the CFL.

ALSO CONSIDER: Toronto Argonauts ($4,200) at Edmonton Elks

CFL DFS Cheat Sheet for Week 19

Trevor Harris, QB

Brady Oliveira, RB

Dillon Mitchell, WR/SB

Total salary expenditure: $26.9 K

This trio won't break your bank per se and should afford you a rock-solid floor, making them an appealing foundation for your lineup. Harris is in a favorable statistical matchup and already proved capable of thriving in it during Monday's defeat, while the efficient Oliveira may be counted on even more than usual with Collaros resting for Saturday night's contest. Finally, Mitchell is the unquestioned key cog of the Elks' air attack and should offer a strong return on sheer volume alone while also offering an abundance of big-play upside.

The author(s) of this article may play in daily fantasy contests including – but not limited to – games that they have provided recommendations or advice on in this article. In the course of playing in these games using their personal accounts, it's possible that they will use players in their lineups or other strategies that differ from the recommendations they have provided above. The recommendations in this article do not necessarily reflect the views of RotoWire. Juan Carlos Blanco plays in daily fantasy contests using the following accounts: DraftKings: jcblanco22, FanDuel: jc_blanco22, DraftPot: jc_blanco22, FantasyDraft: jc_blanco22, OwnThePlay: jcblanco22.
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ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Juan Carlos Blanco
Winner of the FSWA 2016 Newcomer of the Year Award, Juan Carlos Blanco has been playing fantasy sports for over 20 years and covers NBA, MLB, NFL, CFL and Arena Football for Rotowire.com, including serving as the beat writer for teams in multiple sports. He has previously written for KFFL.com and remains an avid season-long and daily fantasy player in multiple sports as well.
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