Chicago Bears vs. Dallas Cowboys Betting Odds, Picks, and Predictions for Week 3

NFL Betting Expert Eric Timm takes a look at the wild line movements in the Cowboys-Bears game, and he offers up his best bet for this NFC Week 3 matchup.
Chicago Bears vs. Dallas Cowboys Betting Odds, Picks, and Predictions for Week 3
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Chicago Bears vs Dallas Cowboys Betting Odds, Picks, and Predictions for Week 3

Gather around, my friends. We need all the love and positive vibes we can muster, and it is only Week 3. Bring it in. Hugs all around. In with the good air, out with the bad. Let it out. Is it too early to start tanking for the next QB of OUR Chicago Bears? NEVER! God, how depressing. 

As if the offseason vibes surrounding Caleb Williams weren't bad enough, so far, the Bears have had a second half collapse for a loss followed by a complete no-show that was over roughly 20 minutes into the game. The locker room can't be a fun place right now. But hey, at least there's Ben Johnson, and this looks like a down year for Green B.......nah, that's just mean and uncalled for piling on. BUT, OUR Bears do get to welcome another circus into town in the form of the Dallas Cowboys. This is going to be a fascinating train wreck to watch.

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Bears vs Cowboys Odds

  • Spread: Bears +1.5 (-110 FanDuel), Cowboys -1 (-109 BetRivers)
  • Moneyline: Bears (+106 FanDuel), Cowboys (-115 Bet365)
  • Total: OVER 49.5 (-120 ESPNBet), UNDER 50.5 (-112 DraftKings)

After last Sunday's results, Chicago was a 2.5-point favorite. Since then, Dallas has moved to a consensus 1.5-point favorite, powered by 67 percent of the money coming in on Dallas despite garnering only 37 percent of the bets. That tells me the public is on the Bears, but the more powerful sharps and their high-dollar tickets are on the Cowboys. In a bit of a shock, 85 percent of bets and 81 percent of the money is on the Under despite both teams showing very little defensive resistance this year. 

However, a deeper look shows that might be buyback after bettors hammered the Over, moving it from the opening number of 46.5 all the way to where it is presently. The incredibly mild weather in Chicago may have some influence in the rise in total as well. Despite those bet and money percentages, the books have held firm around 50.5 for two days, which signals they are content taking all that Under money. 

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Bears vs Cowboys Betting Picks This Week

Seriously, where do we start here? Last week, these teams were involved in games that combined for 150 points. That's not rounding, that's not an exaggeration, that's the actual number. Now, Dallas was at home and the Bears were in Detroit, so the venue shift is drastic to the slowest surface in the NFL. 

However, Chicago has been a slight Over team at home the last three years which speaks volumes for just how bad their defense has been. Remarkably, the Cowboys' defense might be even worse. There is zero chance I'm hanging my hat on either side here, so the only way to approach this game is with a bet on the total. I'd love to be a contrarian here, and look at the Under, but I can't make a single argument to support that stance. So, let's sit back, watch these teams clown their way all over the field, and let the scoreboard roll like up like a progressive slot machine. 

Bears vs Cowboys Best Bet: OVER 49.5 (-120 at ESPNBet)

ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Eric is celebrating his 22nd season as a featured handicapper with Nelly's Sportsline! He specializes in the NFL, College Football, College Basketball, and MLB. His positive demeanor coupled with a steady and measured approach has helped his clients attain both short and long-term success, making him one of the most respected handicappers in the Midwest.
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