Giants vs. Chiefs Betting Odds, Picks and Predictions for Week 3
After a brutal overtime loss to the Cowboys in Week 2, the Giants have started another season with an 0-2 record. Things won't get any easier when they face the Chiefs in Week 3. Let's dig into this matchup and highlight three wagers to consider.
Mike Barner's season record: 9-6 (+1.67 units)
Giants vs. Chiefs Betting Odds
Giants: Spread +6.5 (-110 BetMGM), +270 Moneyline (Caesars)
Chiefs: Spread -5.5 (-120 FanDuel), -280 Moneyline (FanDuel)
Game Total: Over 44.5 points (-115 DraftKings), Under 45.5 (-120 ESPN Bet)
After missing the first two games of the season, star left tackle Andrew Thomas (foot) could make his return for the Giants. WR Xavier Worthy (shoulder) has been a limited participant in practice this week for the Chiefs, potentially setting him up to return after he missed Week 2.
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Giants vs. Chiefs Betting Picks
Giants vs. Chiefs Best Bet: Wan'Dale Robinson over 4.5 receptions (-138 DraftKings Sportsbook) for 1 Unit
The Giants exploded for 37 points last week, and Robinson was right in the middle of the action. He received 10 targets, absorbing eight of them for 142 yards and a touchdown. While his final numbers weren't as gaudy in Week 1, he caught six of eight targets for 55 yards. His average depth of target is up to 10.3 yards this season, compared to 4.6 yards last year.
With opposing defenses trying to slow down Malik Nabers, Robinson might continue to benefit from some easier coverage. As good as the Chiefs can be on defense, they have allowed 30 receptions to wide receivers this year, which is tied for the fourth-most in the NFL. Robinson has the potential to at least approach 10 targets again, making the Over the way to go with his receptions prop.
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Giants vs. Chiefs Best Bet: Travis Kelce over 44.5 receiving yards (-114 FanDuel Sportsbook) for 1 Unit
Last season, Kelce recorded at least 45 receiving yards in nine of 16 regular season games. Kelce has registered at least 47 receiving yards in both games this year. He has accounted for 14.9% of their targets, which puts him in the 75th percentile in the NFL among tight ends.
The Giants allowed 8.04 yards per target to tight ends last season, which was the eighth-highest mark in the NFL. They have already allowed 13 receptions to the position this season. The Cowboys targeted Jake Ferguson 12 times against the Giants last week, and he caught nine of them for 78 yards. Regardless if Worthy plays, Kelce has a large enough role to potentially shine in this matchup.
Giants vs. Chiefs Best Bet: Kareem Hunt over 26.5 rush yards (-112 DraftKings Sportsbook) for 1 Unit
The running game has been a mess for the Chiefs. Isiah Pacheco was given 10 carries against the Eagles last week, which he turned into just 22 yards. Meanwhile, Hunt rushed eight times for 31 yards. That was an increase in his workload from Week 1, when he had five carries for 16 yards against the Chargers.
Pacheco also struggled last season when he returned from injury. It got so bad that the Chiefs only gave him a total of 13 carries over three playoff games. If he can't get going quickly, Hunt could take on an expanded role. Hunt was given at least 10 carries in a game 10 times in the regular season last year and he finished with at least 35 rushing yards in each of them. If he gets double-digit carries against this Giants defense that has allowed a league-high 5.70 yards per carry to running backs, then he could sail past this line.
Giants vs. Chiefs Prediction
The Giants and Chiefs are both 0-2. It's nothing new for the Giants, but the Chiefs starting off the season 0-3 would be a huge surprise. The Giants have struggled to run the ball, defend the run and they already have 20 penalties through two games. The Chiefs might not be as formidable as in seasons past, but it's hard to believe that they won't right the ship against the Giants and get back into the win column.
Score Prediction: Chiefs 24, Giants 13
