NFL Odds, Picks and Predictions: Ravens vs. Steelers
Two bitter AFC North rivals face off in the final game of the 2025 regular season with a division title and corresponding playoff berth at stake. We dive into best bets and props for the primetime clash.
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Ravens vs. Steelers NFL Odds
*Best lines at time of writing listed
- Moneyline: Ravens -200 (BetRivers) / Steelers +176 (FanDuel)
- Point spread: Ravens -3.5 (BetRivers) / Steelers +4 (theScore Bet)
- Totals: Over 40.5 points (Caesars) / Under 41.0 points (Hard Rock)
The Steelers have been consistent underdogs since this line opened. Although the number associated with that has seen some fluctuation, the Ravens remain strong favorites. The number sat at Steelers +3 before Pittsburgh's Week 17 loss to the Browns, and it was then steadily bet up to as high as +4.5 at a couple of different points before coming down slightly entering the weekend.
The total has also seen some movement, primarily downward. The number was always low, but offensive expectations have sunk even further in recent days despite the fact Lamar Jackson will return for Baltimore. There was a 43.5-point figure before the Steelers' Week 17 loss, and that number was pushed down as low as 40.5 at multiple points through the week.
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Ravens vs. Steelers NFL Picks
The Ravens looked destined for a rare non-playoff season after losing their first meeting with Pittsburgh back on Dec. 7, a defeat that dropped them to 6-7. However, Baltimore bounced back to win two of the next three and nearly pulled off an upset of the Patriots as well in the one game they lost in that sample.
The Steelers have also had an impressive final month overall that included an upset of the Lions at Ford Field. But DK Metcalf's altercation with a fan in that game led to a two-game suspension to close out the regular season, and now that looms extremely large. His absence already clearly had an influence on the Steelers' loss to the Browns in Week 17.
Pittsburgh's offense looked fairly punchless against Cleveland. While the matchup against Baltimore is arguably a bit easier, Aaron Rodgers figures to still have some issues keeping the offense consistently moving down the field while having to rely on the likes of Adam Thielen, Marquez Valdes-Scantling and Scotty Miller. Calvin Austin's return from a hamstring injury offers some solace, but the speedster is not a No. 1 receiver and doesn't carry a skill set in any way comparable to what Metcalf boasts.
On the other side, Derrick Henry put together a signature performance of 216 rushing yards and four touchdowns in the Week 17 win over Green Bay. King Henry has posted at least 100 rushing yards in three straight, and the occasionally light usage he saw earlier in the season to the consternation of some may actually now be paying dividends in the form of fresh legs at the most important point of the season.
Henry grinded out 94 rushing yards on 25 carries in the first game against the Steelers, and although T.J. Watt's return will naturally be a boon for Pittsburgh, I see Henry putting together another highly productive performance aided by attrition. The Ravens' offense simply outguns that of the Metcalf-less Steelers, and I therefore am going with a same-game parlay that combines a Baltimore win with a solid night for Henry.
Ravens vs. Steelers NFL Bets:
- SGP: Ravens moneyline and Derrick Henry 80+ rushing yards (+105 on FanDuel Sportsbook)
- Over 40.5 points (-113 on Caesars Sportsbook)
Ravens vs. Steelers NFL Prediction
Ravens 23, Steelers 20
Lamar has had plenty of trouble at AcriSure Stadium during his career, but Baltimore simply outmans Pittsburgh on offense in this spot with Metcalf unavailable. I still expect the Steelers defense to wreak some havoc, but ultimately, the Ravens should have just a bit more than their opponent and will squeak out a close win.
