NFL Picks: Broncos vs. Raiders Thursday Night Football Odds & Bets

Broncos vs Raiders takes center stage on Thursday Night Football this week. Mike Barner breaks down the odds and offers his best NFL bets and props for the action.
NFL Picks: Broncos vs. Raiders Thursday Night Football Odds & Bets
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Broncos vs. Raiders Betting Odds, Picks and Predictions for Thursday Night Football

We have the potential for a blowout with the 7-2 Broncos hosting the 2-6 Raiders on Thursday Night Football. Let's try to spice things up on the betting side of things. Here are three of the top wagers to consider when sifting through all of the options.

Mike Barner's season record: 27-24 (-2.15 units)

Broncos vs. Raiders Betting Odds

Broncos Spread -9.5 (-110), -475 Moneyline (BetMGM)
Raiders: Spread +9.5 (-110), +430 Moneyline (FanDuel)
Game Total: 42.5 points (DraftKings)

Marvin Mims Jr. (concussion) will miss his second straight game for the Broncos. While the Raiders don't have any offensive skill players of note on their injury report, they did send Jakobi Meyers to the Jaguars at the trade deadline.

Keep up with the latest NFL odds to find the best prices at the leading sports betting sites. If you're looking to sign up with a new sportsbook, check the best sportsbook promos to boost your bankroll this season. The BetMGM bonus code gets new players up to $1,500 in bonuses.

Broncos vs. Raiders Betting Picks & Props

Geno Smith over 0.5 interceptions (-158 DraftKings) for 1 Unit

Smith has had problems with turnovers during his career. In his rookie season with the Jets, he threw 21 interceptions. He followed that up with 13 picks the following year. He also played for the Giants and Chargers in a backup role before re-establishing himself as a starter with the Seahawks. Over three seasons in a starting role with Seattle, he accumulated 35 interceptions.

Smith's propensity for being picked off has carried over to his tenure with the Raiders. He has thrown a pick in six of his eight games and he has 11 total interceptions for the season. When he faced the Broncos in Week 1 with the Seahawks last year, he threw yet another interception. The Raiders might need to throw a lot in this game as they are significant underdogs, which could lead to even more opportunities for Smith to be intercepted.

Courtland Sutton over 57.5 receiving yards (-114 FanDuel) for 1 Unit

Sutton only had one reception for 30 yards against the Texans last week, although it was a touchdown catch. Another positive was that he was targeted six times. That marked the seventh time over nine games that he has been targeted at least six times. A lot of targets should be coming his way again this week with the Broncos shorthanded at wide receiver.

This game being played in Denver is significant because Sutton has posted at least 61 receiving yards in all four of his home games. He has averaged 74.0 receiving yards per game at home, compared to 54.0 receiving yards per game on the road. Also working in favor of him hitting this over is that the Raiders have allowed the fifth-most receptions to wide receivers in the league.

J.K. Dobbins anytime touchdown scorer (-105 DraftKings) for 1 Unit

Dobbins has not recorded a touchdown in any of his last four games. However, he was given six carries inside the red zone during that span. That included three rushing attempts inside the five-yard line. Prior to this recent scoreless streak, Dobbins had posted a touchdown in four of his first five games.  He received 12 red zone carries during that stretch, which included four carries inside the five-yard line.

RJ Harvey had two rushing touchdowns against the Cowboys in Week 8, but those are his only rushing scores of the season. The Broncos have given him a total of five red zone carries this season, so it's clear that they prefer to give the ball to Dobbins when they get in close. The Raiders are tied for the third-most rushing touchdowns allowed to running backs in the league, which leaves Dobbins with a favorable opportunity to end his touchdown dry spell.

Broncos vs. Raiders Prediction

Things can get crazy on Thursday Night Football with teams being on a short week. Divisional battles can also be tricky. Still, the Broncos are the vastly superior team here. The Raiders have already had problems scoring this season, so playing one of the best defenses in the league after they just traded away Meyers is not exactly a recipe for success.

Broncos 27, Raiders 17

ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Mike started covering fantasy sports in 2007, joining RotoWire in 2010. In 2018, he was a finalist for the FSWA Basketball Writer of the Year award. Mike also won the 2022-23 FSGA NBA Experts Champions league. In addition to RotoWire, Mike has written for Sportsline, Sports Illustrated, DK Live, RealTime Fantasy Sports, Lineup Lab and KFFL.com.
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