NFL Player Props: Monday Night Football Week 7
Week 7 is almost in the books, but first we have another sexy MNF DOUBLE DIPPER! JohnnyVTV does love a little double action on a Monday. Heading into another year around the sun, I'm looking to hit big on the last NFL action in my 31st (yeah, absolutely nuts) year on this Earth.
We have some big-time matchups in this window with Tampa vs. Detroit and Houston vs. Seattle. The degens need all the bangers in this one.
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Amon-Ra St. Brown O/U 75.5 receiving yards
Amon-Ra St. Brown is a DAWG! St. Brown is the engine of the Lions' offense. The thing is, the Lions offense is a machine in its own right. Sometimes that leads to other players getting more burn.
However, ARSB has been off to a red-hot start this year. Despite a high catch, low total, output in KC last week (9/45), this seems like the matchup he gets back on track. St. Brown is facing a tough Tampa team in a bounce-back spot from last week's SNF loss at KC. The ball shall surely be moving up and down the field, points should be scored in bunches in this one.
Coming into Week 7, Tampa's defense is top 12 in allowing the most yards to WRs this season. Considering the fact that the Bucs are sticking to their usual stout run defense, Detroit may need to rely a little more on the pass game in this one. And who better than the Sun God? One of my favorite aspects would be the Bucs' abhorrent defense in the YAC department, where they've allowed the fourth-most yards after the pass this season, something ARSB thrives at (7th among WR is YAC in 2025).
This has the makings of a shoot-out and an Amon-Ra hundy piece monster.
Side note: this is a Tampa Royal Mint spot at the moment (road dog closing at +5 or +5.5), an absolute cash cow. I love me some Tampa Bay to cover the spread, with a sprinkle on the ML.
Pick: ARSB O75.5 yards -114 (FanDuel)
Jaxon Smith-Njigba O/U 6.5 receptions
If you have followed me at all this season, then you know this is lather, rinse, and repeat. I'm on Jaxon Smith-Njigba receptions every single week. I have him to lead the NFL in catches 20/1 from the preseason, and we are looking really nice at the moment.
JSN has been a target hog this year, grabbing at least eight catches in four of six games. It's not only the fact that he's a dawg, but he is blossoming into a true WR1 in the NFL. Also, he is the primary weapon on the Seattle offense. Sam Darnold realizes this, thus he's been getting fed non-stop this year. Coming off a monster 8/162/1 game at Jacksonville, JSN is primed for another biggie on MNF.
Despite the fact that Houston has a very good defense, which includes against the pass, the path for success with the Seattle offense resides through the air. Houston's top-five run defense makes it unlikely that the Seahawks will be successful on the ground in this one, which leaves the air as their best chance to win. Yes, the Texans have been strong against the pass game as well, so it's a pick-your-poison type of matchup for Seattle.
We saw Houston get cooked earlier in the year by Puka Nacua (10/130), so beating them through the air isn't impossible. The Texans' defensive numbers could also be a bit inflated since they played the Titans, Jags, and Ravens without Lamar Jackson.
Regardless, this is me saying my guy is better than yours. I'm going to keep hitting on the JSN catch props every week.
Pick: JSN O6.5 catches -106 (FanDuel)
