Butterfield Bermuda Championship Betting Preview
Two events remain the in the FedExCup Fall as the PGA Tour heads from Mexico to the Atlantic for the seventh edition of the Butterfield Bermuda Championship at Port Royal Golf Club. Typically the weakest field of the fall portion of the schedule, there are only two players in the top-50 of the OWGR making the trip, highlighted by tournament favorite Rico Hoey at 16-1 odds. Last year, longshot Rafael Campos (300-1) captured his maiden Tour victory by three strokes over Andrew Novak.
For a second week in a row, we don't have any strokes gained data to draw from but do have several years of seeing the course. Port Royal plays as a par 71 at just over 6,800 yards, and you're not going to find a shorter course on Tour. Despite the lack of length, it's not nearly as easy as last week with only seven of the holes playing under par last year. Sitting in the middle of the Atlantic Ocean, the island is susceptible to heavy winds, which tends to be the course's main defense along with tight fairways that puts the premium on precision off the tee and negates the longer hitters' advantage.
All of the par-5s will be reachable in two and are the main scoring opportunities, with two of them being short at under 520 yards. Don't be afraid to dig deep with your wagers this week - we've seen three winners at over 100-1 since 2020 with short hitters such as Brendon Todd and Brian Gay coming out on top. In addition to accurate drivers, I'll be looking towards those that hit their wedges well as we will see a lot of approaches from inside of 150 yards, and this is also a week I give a bump to strong putters.
All odds via DraftKings Sportsbook as of 11:30 AM ET Wednesday
Tee-to-Green Tacticians
These five golfers, on a per-round basis, have gained the most strokes from tee to green across their last 20 rounds:
- Rico Hoey: 1.65
- Ben Kohles: 1.54
- Doug Ghim: 1.13
- Steven Fisk: 0.92
- Greyson Sigg: 0.82
Once again, it's Hoey at the top of a statistical list as his strong fall has included four top-25s and zero missed cuts in seven events. That has him up to 58th in the FedExCup Fall Standings, with the top-60 securing their spot into the first two signature events in 2026. He's no longer slipping under the radar as the betting favorite, and he posted a top-20 in his tournament debut here last year. Much farther down the odds board we find Sigg (65-1 odds), who ranks a solid 35th in SG: Tee-to-Green this season and is 25th in driving accuracy. That makes him a strong course fit, which has shown in his results here. The veteran has performed better every trip to Port Royal, posting results of T22-T11-T9. Keep your eye on him as a darkhorse.
Butterfield Bermuda Championship Bets: Outright Picks
Pierceson Coody (25-1)
Coody 'cooled' off with a T31 last week, ending a streak of three consecutive top-15 finishes. The recent Korn Ferry Tour graduate has contended often this year with five top-3 results – two of which have come at the upper level.
Vince Whaley (40-1)
Whaley's track record at the event is about as good as it gets for a non-winner. He's finished in the top-10 in three straight appearances, shooting 68 or better nine times during that stretch. He's 5-for-5 in made cuts this fall, highlighted by a top-5 in Mississippi.
David Lipsky (80-1)
Lipsky is just one spot outside of the top-100, which is impressive considering he didn't have a top-30 individual finish through the first six months of the year. He contended to win at the John Deere and has played well here with a top-10 last year.
Butterfield Bermuda Championship Bets: Top-10 Wagers
Thomas Rosenmueller (11-2)
Rosenmueller's one of the best ball strikers in this field as he ranks 20th in SG: Off-the-Tee, 34th on approach and fourth in GIR. He gained shots with his short game in Utah and followed it up with a top-20 last week.
Zac Blair (7-1)
Blair is one of the shortest hitters on Tour but this is obviously one of the few venues where that's essentially a non-factor. He's gained strokes with his ball striking in every tournament this fall, most notably finishing T20 in Utah.
Blades Brown (10-1)
The 18-year-old already has seven PGA Tour starts under his belt, making the cut in three with a best finish of T26. He'll spend next year on the Korn Ferry Tour, which he joined in April and had a T2 in his third start. He looks like a potential future star.
Butterfield Bermuda Championship Bets: Head-to-Head Matchups
Chad Ramey (-105) over Matti Schmid
I'll bank on Ramey as the small underdog coming off a T2 finish, which should lock up his card for next year. He's a much better course fit than the long hitting and inaccurate Schmid, who is prone to boom-or-bust weeks and not what I'm looking for in matchups. Ramey has a pair of top-30s in three trips to Bermuda.
Sam Stevens (-120) over Max McGreevy
I'll side with Stevens in this head-to-head, as he's the superior player and an accurate driver with a much better wedge and short game. McGreevy is battling to keep his Tour card at exactly 100th on the points list, but he's struggled for much of the year with only two top-25s across his last 15 starts.
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