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Best Bets for Houston Texans vs. New England Patriots | U 41.0 (-110)
The Houston Texans head to Foxborough as a +3.0 point underdog against the New England Patriots. Both defenses played well in their Wild Card game, holding the Chargers and Steelers to nine combined points with zero touchdowns scored.
41.0 is the current point total line for this AFC Divisional Round game between the Texans and Patriots. 41.0 points is relatively low, but this feels like another matchup that could be a low-scoring affair.
New England has held three straight opponents to 10 or fewer points. Houston ranks second in the NFL in points allowed per game at 17.4. No offense has recorded 400 or more yards against the Texans this season.
C.J. Stroud and Drake Maye are talented quarterbacks. However, in a game featuring a pair of top-five scoring defenses, we should side with the point total under for our first best bet.
Let's bet under 41.0 total points between Houston and New England at -110 odds ahead of Sunday afternoon's opening kickoff from Gillette Stadium.
Best Bets for Houston Texans vs. New England Patriots | New England Patriots -3.0 (-115)
New England has been the most profitable ATS team in the NFL this season. At 12-5-1, the Patriots are covering 70.6 percent of games played, tied for the best mark in the league alongside the Seattle Seahawks.
Drake Maye has played at an MVP-caliber level during his second season in the league. Head coach Mike Vrabel has elevated the entire team during his first year in this role, allowing the Patriots to play complementary football.
We've watched New England win in a variety of ways this year. Laying -3.0 at home against Houston still holds value, especially with a Texans offense that was held to 10 points for three quarters on the road against Pittsburgh during their Wild Card victory.
Maye doesn't make many bad decisions. He's accurate, mobile, and benefits from playing in Patriots veteran OC Josh McDaniels' offensive scheme.
Stroud and the Texans have committed five turnovers on offense against their last three opponents. He was bailed out by Houston's defense in the Wild Card game, yet it won't be as easy against a Patriots offense that has finished with at least 380 yards of offense in seven consecutive outings.
Let's lay -3.0 with New England on the point spread to potentially set up an AFC East rivalry matchup against the Buffalo Bills in the AFC Championship Game.
Best Bets for Houston Texans vs. New England Patriots | Hunter Henry O 38.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Drake Maye connected with TE Hunter Henry for the only touchdown during New England's Wild Card win over the Los Angeles Chargers. The veteran tight end has become Maye's second favorite target, logging a 17.3 percent target share.
Houston's top-tier defense is going to present all sorts of challenges. Henry is a big target in the middle of the field, serving as a safety valve for Maye to evade pressure in the pocket.
Henry has gone over 38.5 receiving yards in three straight games, including 64 receiving yards against Los Angeles during the Wild Card win. Expect another strong outing from the Patriots' TE1 at home against the Texans.
We're going to bet Henry's over 38.5 receiving yards for our third and final best bet in this AFC Divisional Round tilt on Sunday afternoon.
Best Houston Texans vs. New England Patriots Picks
- U 41.0 (-110)
- New England Patriots -3.0 (-115)
- Hunter Henry O 38.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
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