Champions League Best Bets: Picks, Odds & Predictions for March 12, 13

Champions League Best Bets: Picks, Odds & Predictions for March 12, 13

This article is part of our Soccer Picks series.

There's more Round of 16 action this week starting with a seemingly one-sided clash between heavy favorite Arsenal (-425), home against Porto, while Barcelona get a slight edge (-115) against Napoli. The matches will be more evenly contested Wednesday, at least according to the odds, as Dortmund (+110) host PSV Eindhoven and Inter Milan (+150) visit Atletico Madrid. 

Champions League Best Bets for Tuesday, March 12

Arsenal to Win and Kai Havertz to Score (+190)

Odds courtesy of the DraftKings Sportsbook. If you need to sign up, click through our DraftKings promo code page for a deposit bonus.

You'll have to get creative when looking for some value given that the Gunners are playing at the Emirates and have racked up 12 goals in their last three Premier League matches while giving up just two. Still, Porto enter this contest with the 1-0 lead on aggregate, so you could chase the upset and grab Porto to advance at +225. 

Of those aforementioned 12 goals, three have come from Havertz, who has scored in four of his last five outings. Of course, the game he was left off the scoresheet was the reverse fixture versus Porto. He'll return solid +160 value as an anytime goalscorer, while also being +175 for two or more shots on target and +160 for four or more shots. I'm doubling down and taking a player parlay on DraftKings with Havertz to score and Arsenal to win at +190.

Barcelona to beat Napoli (-115)

Napoli winning on the road is a tough ask, which is why they are +310, but at least they don't have to go into Camp Nou (this match is being played at Barcelona's Olympic Stadium near downtown). The Italian side hasn't lost since Feb. 1 versus AC Milan, though they have had four 1-1 draws over that stretch, including the reverse fixture with Barcelona.

I really want to back Napoli, in part to the higher payouts, but I think it makes the most sense to just give up a little juice and take Barcelona to win at -115. Despite some injury concerns, this is still a deep squad that can field the likes of Robert Lewandowski, Joao Felix and Ilkay Gundogan to try to put the tie out of reach.

UCL Best Bets for Wednesday, March 13

Donyell Malen Anytime Goalscorer +200

The moneylines are pretty close to even for the two Wednesday matchups with Dortmund heading into a home matchup with PSV currently tied 1-1 on aggregate. For the away side, PSV haven't lost in eight straight dating back to Jan. 24.

I'm staying away from the game lines, though the total at over 3.5 (+140) is tempting, and looking to the player props. I won't get overly creative and stick to Malen to score a goal. He's scored in each of his last four starts for a combined five goals, including the clash in the Netherlands in the first leg. He's +200 to score in the second leg despite his recent form, which is behind Luuk de Jong (+150) and teammates Niclas Fullkrug (+150) and Youssoufa Moukoko (+180).

If you're looking for some boosts and can't decide which one, check out RotoWire's sportsbook promo codes.

Inter Milan Draw No Bet (-135)

Betting for a road win normally seems a little risky, but it's hard to ignore that Inter Milan have won every match in 2024, a run of 13 straight victories that includes the first leg 1-0 win over Atletico Madrid and a SuperCoppa Italiana title over Napoli. 

In Serie A action, Lautaro Martinez has accounted for 34 percent of the team's goals but has scored just twice in the Champions League, which factors into him being a +200 anytime goal scorer Wednesday. 

That said, I like Inter draw no bet at -135 to capitalize on a continuation of their winning streak while also avoiding the fairly possible draw result, as a 1-1 correct score play sits as the favorite at +390. 

UCL Betting Picks Round of 16

  • Arsenal to Win and Kai Havertz to Score +190
  • Barcelona to beat Napoli -115
  • Donyell Malen Anytime Goalscorer +200
  • Inter Milan Draw No Bet -135

Visit RotoWire all season for exclusive sports betting picks and our weekly Kits & Wagers betting show. Remember that betting apps vary in terms of odds, so we have an easy-to-use odds page that allows you to shop for the best lines at DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and PointsBet. You can also use the WynnBET promo code for $100 in free bets.

RotoWire Community
Join Our Subscriber-Only Soccer Chat
Chat with our writers and other RotoWire Soccer fans for all the pre-game info and in-game banter.
Join The Discussion
ABOUT THE AUTHOR
AJ Scholz
Co-Host of PuckCast with Statsman and AJ and unabashed Penguins fan.
DraftKings DFS Euros Strategies for Tuesday, June 18: Fade Everyone
DraftKings DFS Euros Strategies for Tuesday, June 18: Fade Everyone
DraftKings DFS Euros Strategies for Monday, June 17: Golden Generation
DraftKings DFS Euros Strategies for Monday, June 17: Golden Generation
DraftKings DFS Euros Strategies for Sunday, June 16: Coming Home
DraftKings DFS Euros Strategies for Sunday, June 16: Coming Home
DraftKings DFS Soccer: Euro Picks for Saturday, June 15
DraftKings DFS Soccer: Euro Picks for Saturday, June 15
DraftKings DFS Euro 2024 Strategies for Saturday, June 15: Let's Ride
DraftKings DFS Euro 2024 Strategies for Saturday, June 15: Let's Ride
DraftKings DFS Euro 2024 Showdown Preview for Germany vs. Scotland
DraftKings DFS Euro 2024 Showdown Preview for Germany vs. Scotland