This article is part of our MLB Picks series.
MLB Picks Tonight: Expert MLB Bets for Phillies-Padres Game 3
Last Article's Record: 2-1 +1.02 units
Season Record:216-200-6 +28.32 units
If you're not yet signed up at FanDuel Sportsbook, use RotoWire's FanDuel Promo Code to take advantage of a $1,000 no-sweat first bet offer.
San Diego Padres 
at Philadelphia Phillies 
The Padres and Phillies are tied 1-1 with Game 3 back in Philadelphia off a day's rest. The Padres have a significant edge in starting pitching with Joe Musgrove vs. Ranger Suarez. Suarez also has a higher ERA and WHIP at home this year with a 4.27 ERA vs. 3.20. The problem with Suarez against this Padres lineup is his lower strikeout rate and higher walk rate.
Suarez home splits vs right-handed batters - 52.1 innings, 7.2 K/9, 4.1 BB/9, 17.9% K, 10.2% BB, .292 AVG, 1.62 WHIP. The right-handed Padres bats will be able to get to him in this spot.
Musgrove road splits vs. right-handed batters - 38.2 innings, 9.3 K/9, 1.2 BB/9, 21.6% K, 3.1% BB, .257 AVG, 1.14 WHIP, 2.93 xFIP. Musgrove will have to keep left-handed Kyle Schwarber and Bryce Harper at bay, but his BVP numbers are 5 for 30 against them.
I think the Padres win tonight rather easily and take a 2-1 series lead.
MLB Best Bets for Padres at Phillies
- Padres OVER 3.5 runs for 1.3 RW buck (DraftKings -130)
- Padres -1.5 for 1 RW buck (DraftKings +145)
- Manny Machado to hit HR for 0.5 RW buck (DraftKings +425)
- Brandon Drury to hit HR for 0.5 RW buck (DraftKings +550)
Sign up at the DraftKings Sportsbook using RotoWire's DraftKings Promo Code for $200 in free bets.
Visit RotoWire all season long for exclusive sports betting picks from our group of handicappers with their expert MLB picks each day of the campaign. Remember that betting apps vary in terms of odds and available MLB player props, so we have an easy-to-use MLB odds page that allows you to shop for the best lines at DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and PointsBet. With the playoffs in full swing, stay up to date with the latest World Series odds and all other MLB Futures.
Before you place your bets, be sure to use all of RotoWire's MLB resources, like our MLB Lineups page, MLB Weather page, and the best batter vs. pitcher stats.
