MLB Picks Tonight: Expert MLB Bets for September 22

MLB Picks Tonight: Expert MLB Bets for September 22

This article is part of our MLB Picks series.

MLB Best Bets Today: Free MLB Picks for September 22

RotoWire.com's Michael Rathburn has dug into the best sports betting sites across the country to identify his MLB bets and MLB player props to target today.

Last Article's Record: 3-2 +0.62 units

Season Record:188-167-5 +33.78 units

Chicago Cubs at Pittsburgh Pirates

I usually stay away from games like these especially on the sides because it is two teams with nothing to play for. But I did like the pitching matchup of Hayden Wesneski vs. Mitch Keller and I saw a line move on the total that went from 8.0 to 7.5. 

This had me looking at the UNDER, and boy did we find a gem. Both teams are trending heavily on UNDERs over the last three weeks. The Cubs are 10-3 to the UNDER in their last 13 games and both teams are only averaging about 3.2-3.3 runs per game over the last 3 weeks. With both offenses struggling and two decent starting pitchers, I will look at UNDER. I was hoping to get 8 here, but it was at -140. 

MLB Best Bets for Cubs at Pirates 

  • Cubs/Pirates UNDER 7.5 runs for 1 RW buck (FanDuel -108)

Toronto Blue Jays at Tampa Bay Rays

I have written about this series before when the Jays play in Tampa. There are strong trends on the UNDER in the series as the Jays see a significant negative park shift. The Rays are trending UNDER in their last 21 games (14/7), and the series has seen 11 out of the last 13 go UNDER. 

Jose Berrios has struggled this year, but his recent outings have shown improvement and his two starts against the Rays have been decent with a 2.19 ERA and 1.30 WHIP. 

A lot of the totals in the past have been in the 8.0-8.5 range, and get a 7.5 here but I would still play it at 7. 

MLB Best Bets for Blue Jays at Rays 

  • Blue Jays/Rays UNDER 7.5 runs for 1.1 RW buck (FanDuel -110)

New users can take advantage of the Fanduel promo code that nets a $1,000 no-sweat first bet.

Houston Astros at Baltimore Orioles

I'm a big trends guy, and some days things just fall into place and everything ends up the same. More of the UNDER theme here as the Astros are 17-7 to the UNDER in their last 24. 

We get Justin Verlander vs. Kyle Bradish as the pitching matchup and of course we know about JV, but Bradish has a 2.93 ERA in his last 7 starts.  He is coming off a gem against the Astros on August 22 where he went 8 innings with 0 runs, 2 hits, 6 strikeouts, and 2 walks. That is enough for me to go back to the well on the UNDER here again. 

MLB Best Bets for Astros at Orioles

  • Astros/Orioles UNDER 7 runs for 1.05 RW buck (DraftKings -105)

Sign up at the DraftKings Sportsbook using RotoWire's DraftKings Promo Code for $200 in free bets.

MLB Best Bets Today Recap

  • Cubs/Pirates UNDER 7.5 runs for 1 RW buck (FanDuel -108)
  • Blue Jays/Rays UNDER 7.5 runs for 1.1 RW buck (FanDuel -110)
  • Astros/Orioles UNDER 7 runs for 1.05 RW buck (DraftKings -105)

Sign up at Caesars Sportsbook using our Caesars Sportsbook promo code for your $1,250 First Bet on Caesars plus tier and reward credits.

Visit RotoWire all season long for exclusive sports betting picks from our group of handicappers with their expert MLB picks each day of the campaign. Remember that betting apps vary in terms of odds and available MLB player props, so we have an easy-to-use MLB odds page that allows you to shop for the best lines at DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and PointsBet.

Before you place your bets, be sure to use all of RotoWire's MLB resources, like our MLB Lineups pageMLB Weather page, and the best batter vs. pitcher stats.

RotoWire Community
Join Our Subscriber-Only MLB Chat
Chat with our writers and other RotoWire MLB fans for all the pre-game info and in-game banter.
Join The Discussion
ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Michael Rathburn
Known as “Rath” in the Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS) community, he has helped run operations for two prominent daily fantasy sports startups. Michael has taken his insider knowledge and expertise in daily fantasy sports to the content side. Rath won the 2016 FSWA "Baseball Article of the Year, Online" award and was a finalist for the FSWA Best Baseball Series in 2011.
The Z Files: OK, I'm SOLD
The Z Files: OK, I'm SOLD
Collette Calls: Beltway Pitching Projects
Collette Calls: Beltway Pitching Projects
MLB Dynasty Rankings + 10 Rookies for 2023
MLB Dynasty Rankings + 10 Rookies for 2023
The Z Files: Projections and the New Rules
The Z Files: Projections and the New Rules
Aaron Judge Next Team Odds: Where Will Judge Sign?
Aaron Judge Next Team Odds: Where Will Judge Sign?
MLB World Series Game 6 Picks: MLB Best Bets for Saturday, November 5
MLB World Series Game 6 Picks: MLB Best Bets for Saturday, November 5