Top MLB Betting Picks: August 11th Best Bets & Predictions
We're heading into the real dog days of summer, as it's the second full week of August. The temperatures are heating up, and the pennant races are heating up, too. On Monday night, it's not quite a full slate. We have some interesting matchups, though, including a Freeway Series opener, as the Los Angeles Dodgers and Los Angeles Angels meet up in Anaheim at 9:38 p.m. ET. We'll take a look at a solid same-game parlay and prop possibilities. Let's get started.
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Los Angeles Dodgers vs Los Angeles Angels Props
The Dodgers (68-50) and the Angels (56-62) meet at Angel Stadium in Anaheim for the beginning of a three-game interleague series on Monday night.
The Angels have been a major thorn in the Dodgers' side, sweeping a three-game series at Dodger Stadium in stunning fashion back from May 16-18, while winning each of those games as an underdog of +200 or higher. In fact, if you bet the Angels in all three wins, you would be +664! The Over cashed in two of the three meetings, including the final two matchups.
The Halos have won four straight meetings, too, while going 5-2 in the past seven in the series dating back to June 21, 2024. Despite the disparity in records between these two organizations during the span, the Angels really seem to get up when their crosstown rivals are on the schedule.
In Monday's game, the Dodgers use RHP Yoshinobu Yamamoto (10-7, 2.51 ERA, 1.04 WHIP) across 122 IP in 22 starts this season. He has been especially strong on the road, going 7-3 with a 1.63 ERA and 0.90 WHIP across 66.1 IP in 12 starts, while teams are hitting just .179 against him in those outings. He has allowed just three homers, too, while striking out 73 batters on the road.
The Angels counter with RHP Jose Soriano (7-9, 4.01 ERA, 1.40 WHIP). He was rolling along earlier in the season, and in the past seven starts, he is 2-4 with a 4.05 ERA and 1.23 WHIP in 40 IP, which is just about in line with his season totals. But, it's at The Big A where his troubles start.
Soriano is a dismal 1-7 with a 5.56 ERA and 1.56 WHIP across 68 IP in 13 home starts, as opposed to 6-2 with a 2.48 ERA and 1.25 WHIP in 11 road outings. Those might be the most stark splits in all of baseball!
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The Angels have rolled up 1,147 strikeouts across 118 games, which leads the majors, and not in a good way. That's great news for Yamamoto, so take the Over on strikeouts, even eating quite a bit of chalk at -154.
He has struck out at least six batters in three of his past four outings, and he has allowed zero home runs in that 24.2 IP span. He did not face the Angels in that stunning sweep at Chavez Ravine earlier in June. In fact, this will be his first-career start against the Halos.
While I am expecting Yamamoto and the Dodgers to get the job done, Angels OF Mike Trout could give the starting for the visitors some trouble. Trout enters on an 8-game hitting streak, going 9-for-31 (.290) with a homer, three RBI and seven runs scored. He has struck out at least once in 12 straight starts, too, so look for Yamamoto to get him at least once. Trout has 24 times in the past 12 outings, or 2.0 times per game, which is crazy considering he is also working on a hit streak.
Based on Yamamoto's solid work, his high strikeout rate, and Trout's inability to stop striking out, we'll go low on Trout's total bases. He might get aboard on a single, but he is also going to get out several times.
We'll go against the Angels, who have been a pain in the side of the Dodgers. Let's lay the run and a half behind Yamamoto, and go Over on his punchout total.
For Soriano, since he has struggled mightily at home this season, go Under on his innings total. If he goes 5.1 or more innings, it would be quite a miracle.
And, based on Soriano's poor ERA and WHIP at home, let's roll with the Over. The Over is also 4-0-1 in the past five games for the Halos, while going 9-2-1 in the past 12 games. For the Dodgers, the Under is 10-0-1 in the past 11 games on the road, so be careful.
MLB Best Bets
- Dodgers -1.5 (-104 at FanDuel Sportsbook)
- Over 8 (-120 at BetMGM)
- Yoshinobu Yamamoto - Over 6.5 Strikeouts (-154 at FanDuel Sportsbook)
- Jose Soriano - Under 15.5 Outs Recorded (-125 at Caesars Sportsbook)
- Mike Trout - Under 1.5 Total Bases (-170 at Caesars Sportsbook)
