Top MLB Betting Picks for September 9: Expert Predictions and Best Bets

MLB Betting Expert Michael Rathburn does a deep dive Tuesday, really focusing on pitching. Find out the pitchers he is backing, and who he is fading.
Top MLB Betting Picks for September 9: Expert Predictions and Best Bets
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Top MLB Betting Picks for September 9: Expert Predictions and Best Bets

Previous article 0-3 ( +-3.00 units) 

Season 127-134-2 (-10.63 units)

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Key MLB Betting Trends and Matchups Analysis

Before locking in your MLB bets Tuesday, be sure to check out these key betting numbers.

As teams fall out of the playoff race, we will start to see inflated moneylines.

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Pittsburgh Pirates vs Baltimore Orioles Best Bets and Predictions

I usually have target starting pitchers when I look at a slate and Pirates RHP Braxton Ashcraft has been one of them. But the Pirates limited his innings last game, and I have to think more of the same Tuesday night.

(*editor's note - RHP Mike Burrows will be opener, with Ashcraft likely in relief role for a few innings)

With that being said, the Pirates have been playing better baseball, and I have written about that. But they still struggle on the road, and their offense is near the bottom of baseball. 

This is a play I usually reserve for two aces, but I want a part of Ashcraft, in some capacity, along with fading this Pirates offense on the road. Orioles RHP Kyle Bradish should be serviceable at least the first time through the lineup which makes the UNDER F3 an optimal play, assuming Ashcraft comes on after one inning from Burrows.

Best Bet: Pirates/Orioles UNDER 2.5 runs F3 for 1 unit (-125 at DraftKings Sportsbook)

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Boston Red Sox vs Athletics Best Bets and Predictions

If the Dodgers were willing to cut bait on RHP Dustin May, you know there was a reason. The Red Sox have a habit of thinking they can "fix" any pitcher, and with May it just has not worked despite the team saying they think his stuff is there. 

May has allowed four home runs in his last two starts along with 11 earned runs in 9.2 innings. When you are allowing two or more baserunners per inning, bad things are going to happen. The A's have mashed at home, and the game total is a whopping 10.5 runs. 

I was hoping to find an alternative run total and go over 3.5 runs F5 at plus money, but it was not being offered at the time of publishing.

Best Bet: Athletics OVER 2.5 runs F5 for 1 unit (-125 at DraftKings Sportsbook)

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Detroit Tigers vs New York Yankees Best Bets and Prediction

I have been taking the Yankees on the Over lately, and just seem to be missing out on some of their big offensive games. But this is also a fade of Tigers RHP Casey Mize, who has an ERA of 5.18 in his last seven starts. He has just seven strikeouts in his last 14 innings. With a lineup like the Yankees, you need to be able to get swing and misses which will not bode well for Mize. 

I really thought this line was going to come in at -130 or greater, so -105 is a great price.

Best Bet: Yankees OVER 4.5 runs for 1 unit (-105 at DraftKings Sportsbook)

Tuesday's MLB Best Bets

  • Pirates/Orioles UNDER 2.5 runs F3 for 1 unit (-125 at DraftKings)
  • Athletics OVER 2.5 runs F5 for 1 unit (-125 at DraftKings)
  • Yankees OVER 4.5 runs for 1 unit (-105 at DraftKings)
ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Known as “Rath” in the Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS) community, he has helped run operations for two prominent daily fantasy sports startups. Michael has taken his insider knowledge and expertise in daily fantasy sports to the content side. Rath won the 2016 FSWA "Baseball Article of the Year, Online" award and was a finalist for the FSWA Best Baseball Series in 2011.
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