Welcome to the NFL Week 11 edition of Beating the Book, where we give you NFL ATS picks for every game, every week.
I'll get right down to brass tacks: we enter Week 11 with a major addition to the Whalen family. The rumors are true – I did, in fact, become a father earlier this week, and I'm thrilled to report that mom and baby are both doing very well.
With that said, I've been home from the hospital for roughly two hours as I type this, so we'll be rolling out an abbreviated, picks-only version of Beating the Book this week and this week only. To be clear, the powers that be at RotoWire are NOT forcing me to write this article, but we're in the thick of the NFL season, and skipping a week of picks simply is not in my blood.
So please forgive me for the lack of write-ups, but if we're being honest, I'm running on about 3.5 hours of combined sleep the last two nights, so frankly I'm not sure I'd be providing much in terms of actionable NFL betting advice.
Best calls of Week 10:
- Saints +5.5 at Panthers
- Texans +1.5 vs. Jaguars
Worst calls of Week 10:
- Bills -9.5 at Dolphins
- Cardinals +6.5 at Seahawks
Last week: 6-8 ATS; 10-4 SU; best bet won (DET -7.5)
On the season: 78-69-2 ATS; 101-48-1 SU; 6-4 best bets
2024 season: 146-134-4 ATS; 195-89 SU; 7-12-2 best bets
Thursday Night Football
New
Welcome to the NFL Week 11 edition of Beating the Book, where we give you NFL ATS picks for every game, every week.
I'll get right down to brass tacks: we enter Week 11 with a major addition to the Whalen family. The rumors are true – I did, in fact, become a father earlier this week, and I'm thrilled to report that mom and baby are both doing very well.
With that said, I've been home from the hospital for roughly two hours as I type this, so we'll be rolling out an abbreviated, picks-only version of Beating the Book this week and this week only. To be clear, the powers that be at RotoWire are NOT forcing me to write this article, but we're in the thick of the NFL season, and skipping a week of picks simply is not in my blood.
So please forgive me for the lack of write-ups, but if we're being honest, I'm running on about 3.5 hours of combined sleep the last two nights, so frankly I'm not sure I'd be providing much in terms of actionable NFL betting advice.
Best calls of Week 10:
- Saints +5.5 at Panthers
- Texans +1.5 vs. Jaguars
Worst calls of Week 10:
- Bills -9.5 at Dolphins
- Cardinals +6.5 at Seahawks
Last week: 6-8 ATS; 10-4 SU; best bet won (DET -7.5)
On the season: 78-69-2 ATS; 101-48-1 SU; 6-4 best bets
2024 season: 146-134-4 ATS; 195-89 SU; 7-12-2 best bets
Thursday Night Football
New York Jets at 
New England Patriots
Spread: Patriots -12.5
Total: 43.0
The pick: Patriots 31 – Jets 17
Sunday NFL Madrid Game
Washington Commanders at 
Miami Dolphins
Spread: Dolphins -2.5
Total: 47.5
The pick: Commanders 28 – Dolphins 26
Sunday Early Slate
Carolina Panthers at 
Atlanta Falcons
Spread: Falcons -3.5
Total: 41.5
The pick: Falcons 24 – Panthers 17
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at 
Buffalo Bills
Spread: Bills -6.0
Total: 47.5
The pick: Bills 28 – Buccaneers 24
Los Angeles Chargers at 
Jacksonville Jaguars
Spread: Chargers -3.0
Total: 43.5
The pick: Chargers 27 – Jaguars 17
Chicago Bears at 
Minnesota Vikings
Spread: Vikings -2.5
Total: 47.5
The pick: Vikings 26 – Bears 23
Green Bay Packers at 
New York Giants
Spread: Packers -7.0
Total: 42.5
The pick: Packers 27 – Giants 17
Cincinnati Bengals at 
Pittsburgh Steelers
Spread: Steelers -5.5
Total: 48.5
The pick: Steelers 34 – Bengals 27
Houston Texans at 
Tennessee Titans
Spread: Texans -6.0
Total: 37.5
The pick: Texans 23 – Titans 10
Sunday Afternoon Slate
San Francisco 49ers at 
Arizona Cardinals
Spread: 49ers -2.5
Total: 47.5
The pick: Cardinals 27 – 49ers 24
Seattle Seahawks at 
Los Angeles Rams
Spread: Rams -3.0
Total: 48.5
The pick: Rams 28 – Seahawks 27
Baltimore Ravens at 
Cleveland Browns
Spread: Ravens -7.5
Total: 38.5
The pick: Ravens 21 – Browns 14
Kansas City Chiefs at 
Denver Broncos
Spread: Chiefs -3.5
Total: 45.0
The pick: Chiefs 27 – Broncos 17
Sunday Night Football
Detroit Lions at 
Philadelphia Eagles
Spread: Eagles -2.5
Total: 46.5
The pick: Lions 24 – Eagles 23
Monday Night Football
Dallas Cowboys at 
Las Vegas Raiders
Spread: Cowboys -3.5
Total: 50.5
The pick: Cowboys 30 – Raiders 25
