DraftKings Sportsbook: Week 2 Wagers

DraftKings Sportsbook: Week 2 Wagers

This article is part of our NFL Picks series.

We're going to try a bit of a different format this week as I lick my wounds from Week 1's picks. This week we're going to dive a bit deeper into the player props which is the best place (I think) to make money.

Games

Chicago Bears -2.5 - Usually when a point spread is less than three it doesn't really matter. In other words, there's no reason to take the money line when the spread is this small; just lay the -110. The Bears are coming off a loss while the Bengals are coming off a big home win which is typically a situation I like to look for. The difference from last week is that the Bears return home while the Bengals have to hit the road. Look for the Bears to cover here.

Philadelphia Eagles +3 - Granted, the Falcons may not be much of a team which discounts last week's win but the Eagles did go on the road and won the game on both sides of the ball. The 49ers have to play their second straight away game pretty far from home field and that they let the lowly Detroit Lions back into the game last week suggests they may not be as good as advertised. 

Pittsburgh Steelers - 6.5 - I'd grab this line before it hits seven as this should be a complete blowout. The Raiders come limping in from Monday night without their starting running back and a hole or two in the offensive line. I'm sure the Steelers might have noticed Derek Carr's penchant for throwing to Darren Waller so expect him to be double-teamed most of the game. We'll get to some player props from this game in a bit.

Player Props

Jameis Winston to throw OVER 0.5 interceptions (-155) - Easily my favorite prop of the week even though I hate laying odds like this. I'm not in the camp of thinking Lasik has suddenly turned Mr. Winston into Joe Montana and think his interception-prone tendencies will come back soon enough. He actually did have an interception last week although it was called back due to penalty. This week is a different story heading on the road and he should see an increase in passes from the 20 he threw last week (thus increasing the likelihood of an interception).

Laviska Shenault OVER 0.5 Rushing Yards - Shenault was a huge part of the game plan Week 1 for the Jaguars with nine targets in the passing game and a run of nine yards. In his last seven games, he's gotten a carry in six contests and hit the over for this mark in five of them. Look for him to get at least one carry on an end-around or misdirection play when the Broncos are least expecting it.

Kyle Pitts OVER 47.5 Receiving Yards - We were all waiting for Calvin Ridley and Pitts to have these monster games but that never came to fruition. This week should be a different story with the Falcons heading into what should be a shootout with the Super Bowl champions. Pitts had eight targets last week which he turned into four catches for 31 yards. He should produce a higher catch rate and the 31 yards is only 17 yards from hitting the over here. This over may hit in garbage time but hey, a win is a win.

Najee Harris OVER 74.5 Rushing Yards - I love everything about Najee this week. He's playing a Las Vegas team traveling across the country coming off an overtime, emotional win on Monday night costing them at least a day of preparation. Harris was on the field almost the whole game against the Bills and was the only running back to get any carries. As stated earlier, I expect the Steelers to roll in this game and see Harris having a big game. His touchdown prop is -125 (hit that) and scoring two+ touchdowns is +450 (sprinkle a little on that).

DK Metcalf OVER 78.5 Receiving Yards - Last week it was Tyler Lockett's turn to shine as the wily veteran finished with over 100 receiving yards and two scores. He's a great complement to Metcalf but at the end of the day Metcalf is the more talented of the two wide receivers. The Titans have to travel to Seattle, one of the few places that has a true home field advantage with fans in the stands, and just got lit up by Kyler Murray and the Arizona Cardinals. Look for Metcalf to go over 100 receiving yards in this one.

Julio Jones OVER 63.5 Receiving Yards - Was I the only one who noticed that for once Julio didn't have any type of injury designation heading into last week's game? I'm going to start playing a stack of Ryan Tannehill, A.J. Brown and Jones every week on the DraftKings DFS side until it pays off big one of these weeks. Until then, I'm comfortable using the over in receiving yards here as Jones should have a big day against the Seahawks, even on the road. Despite the injury concerns, Julio averaged 85.7 receiving yards per game last season smashing the over set for this one.

Jakobi Meyers OVER 54.5 Receiving Yards - For me, Meyers is the wide receiver equivalent of Najee Harris this week in that I love all of his props. He played all but one offensive snap last week (74 out of 75) and received nine targets which he turned into six catches for 44 yards. Getting another 11 yards doesn't seem difficult this week and there's no one named Xavien on the Jets. His touchdown prop is +190 and number of catches is at 4.5. You know what to do there.

Ezekiel Elliott OVER 59.5 Rushing Yards - Elliott didn't look the greatest in the season opener which seems like it was a month ago. However, with the extra time to prepare the Cowboys should be ready for this matchup in Los Angeles. Elliott was up against the toughest run defense in the league a season ago (Tampa) so I wouldn't be ready to jump ship on him after he had 11 carries for 33 yards. This should be easier sledding for the All-Pro running back and he should see more than 11 carries in this game. He will only need four yards per carry if he totes the rock 15 times and he should have a bigger number than the four.

Other player props to consider without my banter: Mecole Hardman OVER 36.5 Receiving Yards, Cedrick Wilson OVER 35.5 Receiving Yards, Aaron Rodgers OVER 277.5 Passing Yards, Derek Carr UNDER 268.5 Passing Yards, Tim Patrick OVER 46.5 Receiving Yards, Allen Robinson OVER 71.5 Receiving Yards, Marquez Callaway longest reception OVER 19.5 Yards, Chase Claypool over 47.5 Receiving Yards.

Player Touchdowns

Tyler Higbee +140 - Matthew Stafford's penchant for using his tight end has carries over to the Rams as Higbee was targeted six times in the opener. Higbee scored five times in 15 games last season and with Gerald Everett now calling Seattle home the lion's share of targets for the position will come his way.

Tim Patrick +200 - The loss of Jerry Jeudy means Patrick should get more targets and he was already a popular man among the Broncos' receiving corps. Patrick has scored in three of his last six games so if he continues to score at a 50 percent rate, +200 is basically even odds. However, his role has now increased so taking the "even odds" should be tilted more in our favor.

Davante Adams -150 - This feels like grabbing the low-hanging fruit but is there any doubt the Packers will put up points against the Lions Monday night? Coming off a horrible beat down in Jacksonville, Green Bay has had a week to regroup and get ready for the lowly Lions. Their home opener, everyone will be ready to play and this should be a blowout. Adams scored in 13 out of 16 games (81 percent) last season so -150 seems like nice odds.

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ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Kevin Payne
Kevin has worked for RotoWire over a decade and has covered basketball, baseball and football. A glutton for punishment, he roots for his hometown Bills, Sabres and the New York Yankees. You can follow him on Twitter @KCPayne26.
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