This article is part of our NFL Picks series.
Last week 5-4 +0.04
Overall 5-8 -4.43
I was 30 seconds away from a 7-2 week after the Seahawks ended up losing to the Titans. Alas, we press on.
Single Game Bets
Los Angeles Chargers 
at Kansas City Chiefs 
The Chiefs are just 1-11-1 ATS in their last 13 games. The Chargers played them tough in the first game last year 23-20 and won the 2nd game 38-21 (KC had already clinched a playoff spot). The key for me here is also Justin Herbert being able to match Patrick Mahomes throw for throw. The Kansas City defense is just too risky to lay any points right now. I think the Chargers are a very live dog here and can win this game outright.
BET – Chargers +7 (-110) for 1 RW buck
Cincinnati Bengals 
at Pittsburgh Steelers 
The Bengals' poor history on the road combined with the Steelers' injuries make this game a strong Under play for me. The Steelers offense has looked terrible in the first two games of the year. Ben Roethlisberger already looks toast and the offensive line woes have shown themselves with the lack of a running game. Feels like a 20-17 type of game.
BET – Under 43.5 points (-114) for 1 RW buck
New Orleans Saints 
at New England Patriots 
The Patriots have been a strong under team for me in the first two weeks and nothing changes again this week especially when they are at home. The Patriots combined scores have been 33 and 31 points while the Saints have been 41 and 33. The Saints will want to limit the number of throws by Jameis Winston to minimize interceptions while the Patriots will lean heavily on the running game. I have this Patriots 23-16.
BET – Under 42.5 points (-105) for 1 RW buck
Arizona Cardinals 
at Jacksonville Jaguars 
Using the Rotowire historical odds betting tool, I ran this scenario since 2015 (Home Dogs +7 or higher) and it is 28-56 to the under (67%). I will go with the under here as even though the Cardinals' secondary is not very good, the Jaguars' offense is horrible. Trevor Lawrence will be forced to throw a ton leading to turnovers and Chandler Jones will be able to rack up more sacks.
BET – Under 51.5 points (-112) for 1 RW buck
New York Jets 
at Denver Broncos 
Using the Rotowire historical odds betting tool again for this game, I ran home favorites of 10 points and higher. The under is 64% since 2015 (88 games). Denver has one of the best defenses in the league and the Jets offense is a mess right now. Rookie quarterback Zach Wilson already has five interceptions and sacked 10 times through two games. Easy win for the Broncos 24-10.
BET – Jets under 15.5 points (-110) for 1 RW buck
Player Props
Cincinnati Bengals at Pittsburgh Steelers
With Diontae Johnson out, Chase Claypool should see a spike in targets leading to a nice bump in receiving yards. Claypool got going last week with 70 yards receiving against the Raiders. The Steelers offensive line is as bad as everyone said it was and I will fade Najee Harris, who has rushed for 45 and 38 yards in the first two games, once again.
BET – Chase Claypool over 64.5 receiving yards (-113) for 1 RW buck
BET – Najee Harris under 67.5 rushing yards (-113) for 1 RW buck
Green Bay Packers 
at San Francisco 49ers 
Deebo Samuel has had two monster games so far and is showing what he can do when he is fully healthy. He has 282 receiving yards on 20 targets/15 receptions. It is looking like he has become their #1 wide receiver ahead of Brandon Aiyuk.
BET – Deebo Samuel over 67.5 receiving yards (-114) for 1 RW buck
