Giants at Bears Betting Odds, Picks and Predictions for Week 10
Coming off yet another loss, the Giants are 2-7 heading into their Week 10 matchup against the Bears in Chicago. The Bears are 5-3, including 2-1 at home. Let's dig into this game and highlight three wagers to consider.
Mike Barner's season record: 28-26 (-3.52 units)
Giants at Bears Betting Odds
Giants: Spread +4.5 (-105 ESPN Bet, Fanatics), +190 Moneyline (ESPN Bet, Fanatics)
Bears: Spread -4.5 (-105 FanDuel), -218 Moneyline (DraftKings)
Game Total: Over: 47 points (-107 BetRivers), Under: 47.5 (-115 FanDuel)
The big news for this game is the potentially poor weather. It's supposed to be cold, windy (20-25 MPH), and there is the slight possibility of some snow showers and/or flurries.
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Giants at Bears Betting Picks
D'Andre Swift Over 55.5 rushing yards (-114 FanDuel) for 1 Unit
Swift did not play in Week 9 because of a groin injury. Rookie Kyle Monangai went off in his absence, rushing 26 times for 176 yards. Swift has returned to being a full participant in practice, setting him up to take the field against the Giants. Before his injury, he had rushed for at least 108 yards in two of his last three games.
Monangai played so well last week that he might have worked his way into an expanded role moving forward. However, that doesn't mean that Swift still won't receive a significant number of carries, especially with the winds likely leading to a more ground-based attack.
The Giants have been awful against running backs, too, allowing an average of 5.89 yards per carry to the position. In a game in which Swift could still approach 15 carries, he can hit this Over.
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Wan'Dale Robinson Over 5.5 receptions (+106 FanDuel) for 1 Unit
Robinson only had an average depth of target of 4.6 yards last season. However, he was targeted 140 times and finished with 93 receptions. His average depth of target has increased to 8.7 yards this season, but his workload hasn't changed. He has accounted for 24.8 percent of the Giants targets, which has helped him produce at least six receptions in three of his last four games.
Last week, Robinson caught nine of 11 targets with the Giants playing from behind against the 49ers. The Giants are 0-5 on the road, so asking them to keep this game close might be a tall order. Even if the weather is bad, the Giants could throw a lot of short passes Robinson's way. At plus odds, this wager is worth the risk.
Bears -4.5 (-110 DraftKings) for 1 Unit
Not only are the Giants 0-5 on the road, but they have given up at least 26 points in each of those games. In three of those losses, they were defeated by at least 12 points. Their secondary has been hammered by injuries and should continue to be shorthanded against the Bears. Paulson Adebo (knee), who was their big offseason addition at cornerback, will likely be out again. Linebacker Darius Muasau (ankle), who has been filling in for Micah McFadden (foot), could also be sidelined.
Of the Bears' five wins, three of them have come by at least five points. The two that weren't ended up as one-point wins each over the Las Vegas Raiders and Washington Commanders. However, those games were both on the road. Having home-field advantage against a team that is dealing with so many injuries on both sides of the ball gives the Bears a great opportunity to cover this number.
Giants at Bears Prediction
We've already talked about taking the Bears to cover, so let's focus on the total. If it were sunny skies and warm temperatures, the Over would be the way to go with how bad both of these defenses have been. However, we could see some run-heavy game scripts, and both teams are likely to avoid taking a lot of deep shots in the passing game. With that in mind, the lean is to the Under (47.5).
Bears 24, Giants 17
