NFL Picks: Bills and Lions

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Updated on November 7, 2018 4:05PM EST

Erickson made up some ground with a 9-4 week, and he sits in third place, two games behind me and five behind Pianowski.

This week, we all like the Bills and Lions, the best bets of Pianowski and Erickson, respectively.

	Erickson	Pianowski	Liss	Stopa	Del Don
Panthers +4 at Steelers	Steelers	Panthers	Panthers	Panthers	Panthers
Bills +7.5 at Jets	Bills	Bills	Bills	Bills	Bills
Falcons -4 at Browns	Falcons	Browns	Browns	Falcons	Browns
Saints -4.5 at Bengals	Saints	Bengals	Bengals	Saints	Saints
Redskins +3 at Buccaneers	Buccaneers	Buccaneers	Redskins	Buccaneers	Redskins
Patriots -6.5 at Titans	Patriots	Titans	Titans	Patriots	Patriots
Jaguars +3 at Colts	Jaguars	Colts	Colts	Colts	Colts
Lions +6.5 at Bears	Lions	Lions	Lions	Lions	Lions
Cardinals +16.5 at Chiefs	Cardinals	Chiefs	Cardinals	Chiefs	Chiefs
Chargers -10 at Raiders	Chargers	Raiders	Chargers	Chargers	Chargers
Seahawks +10 at Rams	Rams	Seahawks	Rams	Seahawks	Rams
Dolphins +9.5 at Packers	Packers	Packers	Packers	Dolphins	Packers
Cowboys +6.5 at Eagles	Eagles	Cowboys	Cowboys	Eagles	Eagles
Giants +3 at 49ers	49ers	Giants	Giants	Giants	49ers
Best Bet	Lions	Bills	Redskins	Colts	49ers
Last Week's Record	9-4	7-6	7-6	6-7	5-8
2018 Record	66-64-4	71-59-4	68-62-4	61-69-4	63-67-4
Best Bet Record	5-4	7-2	5-4	5-4	3-5-1
2017 Best Bet Record	8-7-2	9-7-1	12-4-1	8-7-2	11-6
Unanimous Pick Record	14-12-1
Majority Pick Record	66-64-4
2017 Record	117-125-14	128-114-14	117-125-14	119-123-14	98-144-14
2016 Record	133-102-5	122-113-5	115-120-5	108-127-5	123-112-5
2015 Record	134-114-8	120-128-8	114-134-8	127-121-8	121-127-8
2014 Record	123-128-5	140-111-5	135-116-5	124-127-5

Erickson made up some ground with a 9-4 week, and he sits in third place, two games behind me and five behind Pianowski.

This week, we all like the Bills and Lions, the best bets of Pianowski and Erickson, respectively.

	Erickson	Pianowski	Liss	Stopa	Del Don
Panthers +4 at Steelers	Steelers	Panthers	Panthers	Panthers	Panthers
Bills +7.5 at Jets	Bills	Bills	Bills	Bills	Bills
Falcons -4 at Browns	Falcons	Browns	Browns	Falcons	Browns
Saints -4.5 at Bengals	Saints	Bengals	Bengals	Saints	Saints
Redskins +3 at Buccaneers	Buccaneers	Buccaneers	Redskins	Buccaneers	Redskins
Patriots -6.5 at Titans	Patriots	Titans	Titans	Patriots	Patriots
Jaguars +3 at Colts	Jaguars	Colts	Colts	Colts	Colts
Lions +6.5 at Bears	Lions	Lions	Lions	Lions	Lions
Cardinals +16.5 at Chiefs	Cardinals	Chiefs	Cardinals	Chiefs	Chiefs
Chargers -10 at Raiders	Chargers	Raiders	Chargers	Chargers	Chargers
Seahawks +10 at Rams	Rams	Seahawks	Rams	Seahawks	Rams
Dolphins +9.5 at Packers	Packers	Packers	Packers	Dolphins	Packers
Cowboys +6.5 at Eagles	Eagles	Cowboys	Cowboys	Eagles	Eagles
Giants +3 at 49ers	49ers	Giants	Giants	Giants	49ers
Best Bet	Lions	Bills	Redskins	Colts	49ers
Last Week's Record	9-4	7-6	7-6	6-7	5-8
2018 Record	66-64-4	71-59-4	68-62-4	61-69-4	63-67-4
Best Bet Record	5-4	7-2	5-4	5-4	3-5-1
2017 Best Bet Record	8-7-2	9-7-1	12-4-1	8-7-2	11-6
Unanimous Pick Record	14-12-1
Majority Pick Record	66-64-4
2017 Record	117-125-14	128-114-14	117-125-14	119-123-14	98-144-14
2016 Record	133-102-5	122-113-5	115-120-5	108-127-5	123-112-5
2015 Record	134-114-8	120-128-8	114-134-8	127-121-8	121-127-8
2014 Record	123-128-5	140-111-5	135-116-5	124-127-5	128-123-5
2013 Record	132-114-10	118-128-10	123-123-10	111-135-10	128-118-10
2012 Record	110-140-6	125-125-6	121-129-6	143-107-6	123-127-6
2011 Record	121-128-7	134-115-7	124-125-7	123-126-7	127-122-7
2010 Record	129-122-5	134-117-5	126-125-5	136-115-5	134-117-5
2009 Record	123-130-3	132-121-3	131-122-3	130-123-3	126-127-3
2008 Record	132-114-10	128-118-10	124-122-10	125-121-10	130-116-10
2007 Record	127-120	118-129	127-120	N/A	130-117
2006 Record	118-129	N/A	139-108	N/A	N/A
2005 Record	121-126	N/A	127-120	N/A	N/A
2004 Record	124-124	N/A	130-118	N/A	N/A
2003 Record	121-126	118-129	124-123	N/A	N/A
2002 Record	113-136	123-126	141-108	N/A	N/A
2001 Record	124-113	117-120	118-119	N/A	N/A
2000 Record	123-117	134-106	141-99	N/A	N/A

Unanimous/Majority Picks

This week we have two unanimous picks: the Bills and Lions. Last week we won all three of our unanimous picks, the Dolphins, Falcons and Titans, bringing our season record to 14-12-2. We went 5-8 on majority picks (three or more writers) to bring our season record to 66-64-4. Last year we went 23-28-4 on unanimous picks and 121-121-14 on majority picks.

Comments:

Writer	Comment
Erickson	I that the Bears more than covered last week against the Bills and that the Lions were miserable last week, but I think that this line reflects recency bias more than it does the relative strength of each team.
Pianowski	I don't see what makes the Jets that much better than the Bills. I don't know what the number would have to be for me to take New York, but we're not close to it.
Liss	Three games jumped out at me, the Redskins getting the full three, the Lions and the Bills, though I'd prefer if Sam Darnold were under center instead of Josh McCown.
Stopa	Indy's offense has made a leap, even if most of America doesn't realize it yet. I'd have them as a 6 point favorite at home against a reeling Jags squad.
Del Don	I fear siding with so many big favorites, so I'm not confident this week, other than Nick Mullens and the 49ers easily handling Liss' Giants.

The players:

• Jeff Erickson: RotoWire Senior editor, 2001, 2008, 2013, 2015, 2016 Staff Picks Champ. Writes the Weekly Rankings. Covers and roots for the Bengals.

• Scott Pianowski: Fantasy expert for Yahoo! Sports, and also contributes to Rotowire.com. 2009, 2011, 2014 and 2017 Staff Picks Champ. Roots for the Patriots.

• Chris Liss: RotoWire Managing Editor, 2000, 2002, 2006 Staff Picks Champ, 2003, 2004 co-champ. Writes East Coast Offense, Beating the Book and the Survivor column in addition to Staff Picks. Covers and roots for the Giants.

• Mark Stopa: Staff Writer, 2010, 2012 Staff Picks Champ, Writes Run 'N' Shoot. Roots for the Bills.

• Dalton Del Don: Fantasy Expert for Yahoo! Sports, 2007 Staff Picks Champ. Roots for the 49ers.