MMA Expert Picks: UFC 311 Main Card

MMA Expert Picks: UFC 311 Main Card

This article is part of our UFC Picks series.

UFC 311 Main Card Expert Picks

Titles in the men's lightweight and bantamweight divisions headline Saturday's card in Inglewood, CA, with multiple former championship contenders setting the stage.

As a reminder, the following selections are purely picks. If you're looking for betting or fantasy-specific breakdowns of these fights, check out the following articles on RotoWire:

UFC 311 DraftKings Preview
UFC 311 Betting Preview
UFC 311 Fight by Fight Breakdowns
UFC 311 Multi-Site DFS Preview

We also have a MMA DFS Lineup Optimizer to try if you're looking to try out different combinations of fighters or generate multiple lineups, plus UFC 311 odds from every major sportsbook.

MATCHUP

WEIGHT 

CLASS

JONJAKECHRIS
(C) Islam Makhachev (-325) vs.
Arman Tsarukyan (+260)

Lightweight
Championship

MakhachevMakhachevMakhachev
(C) Merab Dvalishvili (+230) vs.
Umar Nurmagomedov (-285)

Bantamweight
Championship

DvalishviliDvalishviliNurmagomedov
Beneil Dariush (+136) vs.
Renato Moicano (-162)

Lightweight

MoicanoMoicanoMoicano
Jiri Prochazka (+114) vs.
Jamahal Hill (-135)

Light
Heavyweight

ProchazkaProchazkaHill
Kevin Holland (-108) vs.
Reinier de Ridder (-112)

Middleweight

HollandHollandHolland
     
UFC 311 RECORD 0-00-00-0
2025 RECORD 0-00-00-0
2025 PERCENTAGE TBD`TBDTBD
2024 RECORD 45-1941-2339-25
2024 PERCENTAGE .703.641.610
2023 RECORD 42-2544-2335-32
2023 PERCENTAGE .627.657.522
2022 RECORD 34-2740-2125-26
2022 PERCENTAGE .557.656.490
2021 RECORD 35-2842-2137-26
2021 PERCENTAGE .556.667.586
2020 RECORD 36-1834-2028-26
2020 PERCENTAGE .667.630.519
2019 RECORD 39-1935-2332-26
2019 PERCENTAGE .672.603.552
ALL-TIME  326-198333-191 265-205
ALL-TIME PERCENTAGE .622.635.564

 

MATCHUP

WEIGHT 
CLASS

JOE
"SUNTZU"

COLE     DRAKE
(C) Islam Makhachev (-325) vs.
Arman Tsarukyan (+260)

Lightweight
Championship

MachachevMakhachevMakhachev
(C) Merab Dvalishvili (+230) vs.
Umar Nurmagomedov (-285)

Bantamweight
Championship

DvalishviliNurmagomedovNurmagomedov
Beneil Dariush (+136) vs.
Renato Moicano (-162)

Lightweight

ProchazkaHillProchazka
Jiri Prochazka (+114) vs.
Jamahal Hill (-135)

Light
Heavyweight

MoicanoMoicanoMoicano
Kevin Holland (-108) vs.
Reinier de Ridder (-112)

Middleweight

de Ridderde Ridderde Ridder
     
UFC 311 RECORD 0-00-00-0
2025 RECORD 0-00-00-0
2025 PERCENTAGE TBDTBDTBD
2024 RECORD 40-2440-2443-21
2024 PERCENTAGE .625.625.672
2023 RECORD 41-2644-2336-31
2023 PERCENTAGE .612.657.537
2022 RECORD 38-2339-2239-22
2022 PERCENTAGE .623.639.639
2021 RECORD 38-2543-2117-14
2021 PERCENTAGE .603.672.548
2020 RECORD 36-18N/AN/A
2020 PERCENTAGE .667N/AN/A
2019 RECORD 34-24N/AN/A
2019 PERCENTAGE .586N/AN/A
ALL-TIME 264-159163-88135-88
ALL-TIME PERCENTAGE .624.649.605

THE PICKERS

Jon Litterine: RotoWire lead MMA beat writer and scribe for our weekly DrafKings preview. Lead analyst on the RotoWire MMA Podcast. Follow him on Twitter at @JonLitterine.

Jake Letarski: RotoWire.com Operations Manager, plus MMA and NCAA Hoops Senior Editor. Host on the RotoWire MMA Podcast and guest on the RotoWire Fantasy Football Podcast. Follow him on Twitter at @RotoJake.

Chris Olson: Contributor at RotoWire to "Fight IQ, presented by RotoWire," as well as The MMA MashupDFS Baseballa MMA gambling columnist and fight recaps. Follow him on Twitter at @RealChrisOlson.

Joe "SunTszu": Known more commonly by his Twitter handle @SunTszu, Joe is a Hedge Fund Executive by day and high-volume DFS player by night. He is a 2x "Bracket Challenge" & "Gotham qualifier. You can also find him as one of the original contributors of "Fight IQ, presented by RotoWire," a DFS-centric video breakdown. He is also a co-creator of the "Creating Alpha in DFS" podcast.

Cole Shelton: Cole Shelton is a full-time sports writer focusing on MMA. His work has appeared on BJPenn.com, CBC Sports, Sports Betting Dime and Blue Jays Nation. He currently pens the MMA Best Bets column on RotoWire. Follow him on Twitter at @ColeShelton91.

Drake Burden: Drake is a proven DFS winner with multiple four-figure paydays under his belt. He took an interest to writing MMA during the pandemic and is active in various Discords and other social media communities. Follow him on Twitter at @DBurdz.

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ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Jake Letarski
RotoWire Editor for College Basketball and MMA. Frequent podcaster, plus radio and video guest. Follow Jake on Twitter at @RotoJake.
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