DraftKings Fantasy Soccer: Wednesday EPL (Late) Picks

MATCHES (EST)

• 3:00 pm: Fulham vs. Brighton & Hove Albion
• 3:00 pm: Liverpool vs. Tottenham Hotspur
• 3:00 pm: West Ham United vs. Crystal Palace

For detailed stats and odds, check out the

DraftKings Fantasy Soccer: Wednesday EPL (Late) Cheat Sheet

FORWARDS

Ivan Cavaleiro, FUL v. BHA ($5,700): I'm not sure what Cavaleiro did to whoever maintains the DraftKings pricing algorithm, but he is under-priced given his recent returns and matchup. Fulham may be underdogs in the game with the lowest total, but Cavaleiro has scored at least 13.9 fantasy points in two of his last three games, which came away to Leicester City, away to Manchester City and home against Liverpool. The biggest change recently is that he took every set piece against Liverpool, which would be a fantastic opportunity at home against Brighton. It seems weird to target someone like Cavaleiro when there are high-impact forwards throughout the pricing scale, but his floor and upside (he's on penalties) make him a worthwhile target in cash games and GPPs.

Pascal Gross, BHA at FUL ($8,600): On the other side of Cavaleiro's game is Gross, who takes a vast majority of set pieces for Brighton when he's on, something that has helped him to at least 10.2 fantasy points in six consecutive games. It certainly feels weird targeting Gross on a slate that also includes Mohamed Salah ($10,600), Son Heung-Min ($10,100), Harry Kane ($9,700) and Sadio Mane ($9,100), but you can be on the side that believes two big teams against each other won't open up, especially with Jose Mourinho around, making that one less fruitful than the odds expect (it has the highest total on the slate).

Eberechi Eze, CRY at WHU ($8,800): There are two expensive set-piece-taking forwards in this game, and you can add them to the list of players worth considering in cash games over Salah, Son, Kane and Mane. Eze took all of Crystal Palace's set pieces last weekend, which was a change after sharing with Luka Milivojevic ($3,800, midfielder) the week before, and he surely has to be a consideration in cash games because of his floor from shots, crosses and chances created. You can also make the cash-game argument for Jarrod Bowen ($9,900), as he takes a good number of West Ham's set pieces and is playing against the team that has allowed the most chances created and second-most crosses among teams on the slate.

MIDFIELDERS

Luka Milivojevic, CRY at WHU ($3,800): The pricing on a slate is pretty outrageous when the most expensive midfielder who isn't grossly overpriced is Milivojevic, who is the 19th-most expensive midfield-only player. Milivojevic could have a role on set pieces for Crystal Palace, though Eze seems to be dominating the opportunities lately, but it's a risk worth taking if Milivojevic is in because of his lower price. It seems more likely that people will be playing four or five players who are forward eligible, using M/F players in the midfield spots, because it feels a bit crazy to pay $6,600 for Solomon March, $5,800 for Thomas Soucek, $5,500 for Jeffrey Schlupp or $4,800 for Jordan Henderson.

Tanguy Ndombele, TOT at LIV ($3,600): What would you pay for an attacking central midfielder for the third highest-scoring team in the Premier League playing in the match with the highest implied goal total? It is more than $3,500? Well, you're in luck with Ndombele, who plays that role for Spurs, who, unfortunately, are the biggest underdog on the slate. The Tottenham attackers are mostly expensive, though Steven Bergwijn ($3,600) is cheap as well. Neither Ndombele nor Bergwijn have much of a floor, but on a slate where everyone is over-priced, they provide some salary savings. Unfortunately, you're probably better off just playing a center-back and filling this spot with another M/F player.

Harrison Reed, FUL v. BHA ($3,300): Reed usually has a small role on set pieces when he's in, and he could be a viable pay-down option for a home team in a somewhat easier matchup (compared to the rest of the slate at least). It's not a lot to go on, but the midfield-only group on this slate is pretty brutal, and Reed theoretically could be in a position to get a bailout assist if he can hit one of his corners well enough into the box.

DEFENDERS

Adam Webster, BHA at FUL ($2,600): Given how expensive the attacking players are, it's tough to find a reasonable path to paying up for defenders. Additionally, even the full-backs on the slate aren't great fantasy scorers, so why not go all the way down to Webster, who is favored despite playing away and has taken at least one shot in eight of 11 starts this season. It's not much to go on, but there really aren't great options anywhere else so why not take the salary savings?

Andrew Robertson, LIV v. TOT ($7,300): Paying up for Robertson really doesn't seem like the optimal move on this slate, but theoretically a set-piece taker for the biggest favorite on the slate needs to be considered. Aaron Cresswell ($6,500) should be a consideration because he takes set pieces for West Ham, but he's priced to the point where he can really only be an option if it's clear he's going to take a vast majority of those opportunities, which likely means Bowen is out and Robert Snodgrass ($7,900, midfielder) nor Manuel Lanzini ($4,700) aren't starting either. 

GOALKEEPER

Hugo Lloris, TOT at LIV ($4,200): Even though the Liverpool v. Tottenham match has the highest total on the slate, there's definitely a path where it's low-scoring, potentially even scoreless, which is why it seems most people won't be playing Liverpool's attackers, at least in cash games. If that's the case, it makes plenty of sense to pay down for the cheapest goalkeeper, one who has scored at least 11.5 fantasy points in four of his last six Premier League starts.